New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Game 5 Predictions, Picks, Odds

  • An early start will be key
  • New York needs to run the board ASAP
  • Tampa Bay must keep the door shut

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New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

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Islanders vs Lightning Odds
Islanders +162
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Lightning -190
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Islanders vs Lightning Predictions and Picks

Thanks to a miraculous goal-line stand from Isles’ defenseman Ryan Pulock in game four, the Islanders have new life in this series. However, New York only has one first-period goal to their name in this conference final. That needs to change in a hurry if they want to prolong that momentum.

Our Pick

We like Tampa Bay to take the series lead at home.

Our Pick
Although home-ice advantage hasn’t really come in handy for either team just yet, we feel the Bolts will put up a better fight in Tampa on Monday.
The best odds for this match Odds provided by DraftKings
Lightning to win (-190) Bet Now

How to Watch New York vs Tampa Bay

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Game Information
Teams New York vs Tampa Bay
Location Amalie Arena, Tampa, FLA
Time June 21, 2021, 8:00 PM EST
How to watch NBC Sports, Sportsnet

The difference in this game will be the two-goal lead. Whoever can find it first, should walk away with this contest. That’s been the story all series-long so far. Whoever can buoy themselves up first, has walked away with it. So, with that, the first goal is absolutely paramount.

The Islanders have had a lot of trouble escaping the first 20-minutes with any goal support thus far so that needs to change. They’ve only got a few shots left though and accomplishing that feat in this series is no gimme. A 3-2 series stranglehold doesn’t mean the end for most teams, but when you’re playing the Stanley Cup favorites, it could mean curtains.

In a New York Minute

As the Eagles song goes, “In a New York minute, everything can change”. This has never been more true for a New York hockey team.

These Isles, who have been tabbed the “Saints” in this playoff run, have been relentless and have found a way to claw back time and time again. At some point though, that need for clawing back has to get kicked.

Scratching the scoreboard first should be their primary focus in game five.

While scoring first is always every team’s strategy, it goes double for the N-Y-I.

Tampa finished tied for second for the best home record (21-7-0) in the regular season and have been consistent on home ice in this postseason. Not perfect by any means, but consistent.

So, what do you do if you’re Barry Trotz? You load up the crease. You get in Andrei Vasilevskiy’s crease, you get in his head and you throw everything at the net early. The Isles have found great success this season and playoffs with garbage goals and they’ll need to get them early and dirty to rattle the hometown Bolts in this one.

Tampa Needs to Stand Tall

The Tampa Bay Lightning did lose a bit of momentum at the end of game four with Pulock’s miracle save on Ryan McDonagh, but it should be a moot point by now. 24-hours have past, we’ve seen the highlights, we’ve all read up on Twitter, but now it’s folklore. Everyone’s moved on.

The Bolts are a quality scoring team, but they’ll need to rely on their defense in this one.

If Tampa can establish that early lead, they’ll have to find a way to shut the door.

There’s a reason Victor Hedman took the Conn Smythe one year ago and it wasn’t all because of his points. He was a beast in the corners and in front of the net and the same will have to be said again on Monday night. He’ll need to lead his back-end troops by example.

As mentioned, no team has been able to come back from a two-goal deficit in this series, so it’s absolutely paramount that the Bolts erect a shutdown defense to pull the final gusts out of the Islander sails.

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

As of the writing of this article, 72% of bettors are leaning in Tampa’s direction. The Islanders are 4-9 in their last 13 at the Amalie Arena. The good news for New York, though, is that the road team is actually 5-2 through the last seven tilts between these two.

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Ryan Sullivan

Expert on Hockey

Ryan has worked as a sports writer for the past decade and sports journalism for almost 15 years. He has worked in television, radio, print, digital, and podcasting since 2006. He is also the former co-host of the NFL Weekly Pick 'Em and Best Bets Podcast along with the Prop Drop on WSN.com.