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A new episode of Ride the Line with Grant Mitchell and Tanner Kern is now live on all WSN platforms!
The main topic of Wednesday’s show is the upcoming Thursday Night Football matchup between the New York Giants and the San Francisco 49ers.
Before the boys discuss their favorite bets, however, they take a few minutes to weigh in on the ongoing debate surrounding refunds at sportsbooks. The opinion of the show is that sportsbooks sending out refunds is the best move for their business and customer retention but also should not be an expectation for customers no matter the context.
Jumping into TNF, the boys are stuck on opposite sides of the spread. Grant likes the Giants at +10, although he recommends buying the half-point to take the line to +10.5 for added security.
The reason he’s on the G-Men is that Daniel Jones did something that no quarterback in the history of the league has done before: throw for 250+ yards, run for 50+ yards, throw 2+ TDs, and run for a TD in the second half of a game in a 31-28 comeback against the Arizona Cardinals.
There is an argument that the Giants never should have trailed the Cardinals in the second half, but the point remains that Jones was able to spin the ball like never before.
Tanner is not convinced and is sticking with the 49ers. Saquon Barkley is expected to miss the contest with an ankle sprain, which he believes makes the Niners—who rank in the top three for points scored and points allowed—all the more likely to cover the spread.
The Giants also rank 26th in rush defense, and although they have a top-10 pass defense (in yards allowed per game), San Fran’s game plan is always to dominate the ground and assume control of the clock.
As an anecdote, the Giants had the best road record against the spread (7-2) in 2022, while the Niners had the best home record ATS (9-2). But despite that, they have only managed one cover between them thus far.
While the boys disagree on the game side, they both like the over more than the under. The Niners can be penciled in for a consistent 25-35 points, while the Giants’ variance is vast but gives them the ability to drive the total over the 44.5-point line.
Grant’s favorite player prop in the TNF matchup is Daniel Jones as an anytime touchdown scorer for as high as +275 depending on the sportsbooks. Jones is averaging 11 carries per game and has scored just about one touchdown per two games ever since Brian Daboll took over as the head coach last year.
Jones also scored last week and should be an even more prominent figure due to Barkley’s absence. The Niners have an excellent run defense, but Jones should get at least a few cracks at the end zone if the Giants are able to get anywhere near the goal line.
Tanner doesn’t mind the pick for the value but also noted that his passing touchdowns line is set at 1.5. That’s significant because he doesn’t see the Giants scoring more than two TDs, which means bettors need to be careful whether they think those will cash through the air or on the ground.
Tanner’s favorite player prop is Christian McCaffrey over 113.5 rushing+receiving yards. The Niners’ star running back leads all players at his position with 304 yards from scrimmage and has gone over this line in both outings with his rushing yards alone.
The Giants, as previously mentioned, rank 26th in rushing defense and have allowed opponents to gain 136.5 yards per game. James Conner and Tony Pollard both found success against them, and McCaffrey is far better than both.
Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field.
In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.More info on Grant Mitchell
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