NFL Picks Against the Spread Divisional Round

Picks Against the Spread Divisional Round

  • Get the most recent odds for the NFL Playoff’s Divisional Round of games in 2021
  • Our top predictions and picks for the season’s Divisional Round of postseason games
  • View stats from past seasons to help give you an edge over the sportsbooks

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After an exciting 6-game weekend of pro football playoffs, the Wild Card smoke has finally cleared from the NFL postseason, and eight teams are left to duke it out for a chance to move on to the Conference Championship round, with the matchups that remain looking promising.

Now the two conference #1-seeds – the Green Bay Packers and the Kansas City Chiefs – get to step in and take on the lowest seeds left in their conference – the Los Angeles Rams and the Cleveland Browns, respectively – with both of those battles featuring some serious underdogs (or under-Dawgs in Cleveland’s case) taking on what some expect to be the favorites to make it to the Big Game.

There is also an exciting GOAT battle taking place this weekend between Tom Brady’s Tampa Bay Bucs and Drew Brees’s New Orleans Saints, while the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills play each other to see which team’s young QB can go further than they have ever taken their teams in the postseason.

It looks like the perfect Divisional Round of pro football matchups to break open that betting kitty, so here are our predictions, picks, spreads, and odds to help you make some wise wagers.

Good luck!

Divisional Round Games on Saturday, January 16

Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers (-7)

How to watch: Saturday, 4:35 PM ET, FOX

Not even QB Jared Goff’s recently broken thumb could prevent the Rams from beating the Seahawks in their Wild Card Matchup, though it did seem to affect his play, with Goff completing just 9-of-19 passes in that win, the team counting more on rookie RB Cam Akers (131 rushing yards, 45 receiving yards, 1 TD) who should do well against the Packers midland run defense, ranked 13th in the regular season.

Nothing like a playoff bye week to get a team rested and healed up, not to mention the mental break from the regular season routine they receive, and the Green Bay Packers got all that and more, already one of the favorites to get to the Super Bowl, with their veteran QB Aaron Rodgers now fully ready to take on this Rams team and their top-ranked defense.

As tough as LA’s defense is with DT Aaron Donald leading the way, the Packer seems to be too strong on both sides of the ball to be beaten by the low-seeded Rams.

Pick:

Packers -7   (-106)

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Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills (-2.5)

How to watch: Saturday, 8:15 PM ET, NBC

Some thought that Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson was incapable of winning in the postseason, but he proved them wrong with a 20-13 Wild Card win over the Titans, the defense able to neutralize RB Derek Henry, something they will also need to do to Bills RBs Devin Singletary and rookie Zack Moss so that all the pressure lands on their young and inexperienced QB, Josh Allen.

The Bills are on a tear, their entire 2020 season dynamite with the final half being even better, their third-year QB Josh Allen proving to be their franchise answer under center with a cannon for an arm and quick legs to keep defenses guessing, throwing two TD passes in the team’s Wild Card win over the Colts, final score 27-24, now looking to move past the Ravens’ strong D.

QB Jackson carries his Ravens on his quick and elusive legs, but QB Allen is almost as effective on the run but has a far better throwing arm, which could be the difference in this game.

Pick:

Bills -2.5   (-112)

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Divisional Round Games on Sunday, January 17

Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs (-10)

How to watch: Sunday, 3:05 PM ET, CBS

Sure, the Cleveland Browns are just happy to be at the dance but watching them take apart the highly favored Pittsburgh Steelers in the Wild Card round – final score 48-37, with the Browns posting an NFL record 28 points in the first quarter alone – made it obvious that this version of the Browns is different, starring just enough offense via quarterback Baker Mayfield and running back Nick Chubb and former Chief Kareem Hunt to make this lopsided matchup interesting.

The Kansas City Chiefs won it all last season, and after a week of rest from the first-round bye they earned with a 14-2 record, quarterback Patrick Mahomes and HC Andy Reid have another whole seven days to game plan around the Browns powerful run game and elusive QB, which should not be too difficult unless they make the same mistake the Steelers did, which is to underestimate their talented and hungry opponent.

The Chiefs might very well win this one, but the way the Browns have been on offense, it does not seem likely that KC will cover this broad spread, so take Cleveland and the points.

Pick:

Browns +10  (-110)

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints (-3)

How to watch: Saturday, 6:40 PM ET, FOX

The way Tampa Bay Buccaneers GOAT QB Tom Brady regularly steps up in the postseason is reason enough to fear this upwardly evolving NFC team, but now that he has such powerful weapons at his disposal – wide receiver Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Antonio Brown and TD Rob Gronkowski – his playoff limits know no bounds, and HC Bruce Arians’ squad looks fit enough to take care of even the strongest of Brees.

This could be Saints veteran QB Drew Brees last season, so, therefore, this could be his last game, so expect the future Hall-of-Famer with one of the most accurate arms in the league (70.5 completion % in 2020) to show up ready to play, bruised ribs and all, and with WRs Michael Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders plus RB Alvin Kamara at his disposal, the offense should light up, if only their 4th ranked defense can take care of that pesky other GOAT.

The Saints have already beaten the Bucs twice this season – by a score of 34-23 in September and 38-3 in November – so the chances of them doing it a third time in a row seem unlikely.

Pick:

Bucs +3  (-108)

Odds from DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.

New Users Only. Min. $5 Deposit. Eligibility restrictions apply. See DraftKings.com for details.

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New Users Only. Min. $5 Deposit. Eligibility restrictions apply. See DraftKings.com for details.

21+ | T&Cs apply

  • tick markFree play options
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  • tick markUse bonus code WSN50
  • tick mark2nd half contests
  • tick markBeginner friendly

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Mike Lukas

Expert on NFL

Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager.



Email: [email protected]