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While we’re about to dive into conference championships in college basketball and things are ramping up for March Madness, we still have plenty of exciting NBA action to address, including this Monday night’s NBA TV doubleheader. To start it off, we have the Miami Heat hosting the Atlanta Hawks once again—they just did this on Saturday—followed by the Sacramento Kings hosting the New Orleans Pelicans.
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Having just played one another on Saturday, the Heat are coming off a 117-109 road win thanks to a 50 points outburst from Tyler Herro (20) and Bam Adebayo (30). As for the Hawks, they had six players score double digits. Still, it wasn’t enough to overcome the efforts of Herro and Adebayo.
At FanDuel, the Heat are 3-point home favorites, and the total sits at 227.5 (-110 for both the over and under).
The loss for the Hawks sent them to .500, now at 32-32, while the Heat are just above that at 34-31.
The Heat have 20 wins at home this season, but they’re not winning with authority as they’re just 9-21-2 at home against the spread.
This is the fourth meeting this season between these two teams, and the Hawks are 1-2, averaging 109.3 points against them, which makes sense as the Heat rank second in the league in opponent points per game, allowing just 108.8.
The problem for the Heat this season has been a consistent offense. They rank dead last in the NBA in points per game at just 108.1. A big part of that could be that they rank 28th in pace of play.
Meanwhile, the Hawks are eighth in the pace of play and seventh in points per game but allow 116.9 points per game to their opponents (21st in the league).
Considering they scored a combined 226 just a few days ago and have only gone over 227.5 once this season, we’ll take the under—we’re not entirely sure why the total went up 1.5 points from their output over the weekend.
Location: Mami-Dade Arena, Miami, FL
Game Time & Date: 7:30 EST, Monday, Mar. 6
TV Network: NBA TV
Streaming: NBA TV
With what is easily the best Kings team in years, we have a matchup between the No. 3 seed Kings and the No. 9 seed Pelicans in the Western Conference.
At home, the Kings are 5.5-point favorites, and the total is 238.5—expect some scoring here.
The Kings are a bit Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde as they score a lot of points (121.1; first in the league) and allow over 118 points per game (28th in the league).
Led by point guard De’Aaron Fox and his 25.5 points per game, the Kings are scoring this way despite ranking just ninth in the pace of play.
The Pelicans are under .500 at 31-33. This is important because, despite the Kings success, they’re just 13-18 against teams with a winning record. This was shown in their last outing, losing 138-134 against the Minnesota Timberwolves, a team above .500.
We mentioned the Kings lack of defense, but they’ve had a few decent performances recently, holding the Oklahoma City Thunder to 115 and the Portland Trailblazers to 116.
The Pelicans continue to deal with numerous injuries. While the Kings' defense could be better and will play a major factor down the line for them, the Pelicans are not the team to take advantage of that.
Over their last 10 games, the Kings are 7-3 and are averaging over 130 points per game. Even if the Pelicans manage 120 here, the Kings should still cover this 5.5-point number.
Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Game Time & Date: 10:00 EST, Monday, Mar. 6
TV Network: NBA TV
Streaming: NBA TV
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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