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Aljaz Bedene to beat Marton Fucsovics at +120 at William Hill
Miomir Kecmanovic to beat Ugo Humbert at +162 at bet365
First-set tie-break in Kecmanovic v Humbert at +280 at William Hill
|ATP Halle and London Information|
|What||ATP Mallorca Championships and ATP Viking International|
|Location||Santa Ponca, Mallorca, Spain; Eastbourne, England, UK|
|Time||Sunday, June 20 to Saturday, June 26|
|How to Watch||Tennis Channel|
Odds taken from DraftKings. Click on ‘bet now’ below to head to the sportsbook and place your bet. Get a $1000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings.
We took on Fucsovics with great success in Stuttgart recently – he won just four games against Ugo Humbert as the favorite.
Bedene doesn’t have the same attacking mindset of Humbert but again it’s a little strange to see Fucsovics priced up as the clear favourite.
He’s now 4-10 at tour level on grass, a surface which is even more unforgiving to errors from his flat-hit forehand. Two of those four wins came against players outside the top 100.
Bedene, beaten in a tight first-round encounter at Queen’s by Frances Tiafoe, is a decent server and should give himself every chance of winning this match.
He served up 21 aces in that three-set loss to Tiafoe, a player who was well bedded in on grass having won a Challenger Tour event in Nottingham in the days before. In contrast, Fucsovics hasn’t played since that Humbert loss.
With Bedene also holding a 2-0 win-loss record against his Hungarian foe, backing him at +117 makes plenty of sense.
Odds taken from William Hill. Click on the links in the table below to head to the sportsbook, sign-up, and place your bet!
Humbert arrives in Mallorca straight off the biggest win of his career in Halle.
Having beaten both Alex Zverev and Andrey Rublev, he’s clearly in good nick but the quick transition is far from ideal – conditions will be quite different – and this promises to be an awkward first match on Tuesday.
— NOVENTI OPEN (@ATPHalle) June 20, 2021
Kecmanovic made the Antalya final in this week of the 2019 season, proving he has the game for grass, while he also holds a 3-1 lead in the pair’s head-to-head. One of those wins came in that Antalya tournament.
Admittedly this is his first match of the year on grass but the +150 on offer still looks a bit big.
A first-set tie-break is also worth considering here with both men possess strong serves.
Three of Kecmanovic’s last four grasscourt matches have seen a first-set breaker, while Humbert’s recent run on the surfaces has resulted in seven consecutive matches containing a tie-break. Three of the seven saw one in the first set.
A price of +280, therefore, looks worth a small wager.
With the top seeds all getting a first-round bye this week, it’s worth looking ahead to round two where some potential upsets could lie in store.
The top seed in Mallorca, Daniil Medvedev, lost his opener in Halle last week and could find early trouble again here with Lloyd Harris an awkward potential opponent.
Harris used his big serve to good effect in Halle last week as he reached the quarter-finals and will likely go off at a big price if the pair meet.
In Eastbourne, tournament favorite Alex de Minaur will need to avoid a banana skin in the shape of Frances Tiafoe.
The American has been racking up the wins on grass recently, claiming a Challenger title in Nottingham before reaching the quarter-finals at London’s Queen’s Club last week.
The Australian also played well at Queen’s with a run to the semi-finals but Tiafoe could well be a tempting price if he comes past Liam Broady in round one.
American Sam Querrey’s odds of +2000 to win in Mallorca this week look big.
He’s rediscovered some form since the tour hit the grass with a run to the semi-finals in Stuttgart, while last week in Halle he only lost 7-6 in the final set to eventual champion Ugo Humbert.
Most Grass-Court Wins (Active Players)
1 @RogerFederer 187
2 @Andy_Murray 107
3 @DjokerNole 95
4 @Feliciano_Lopez 82
5 @IvoKarlovic 74
6 @Cilic_Marin 73 (@MercedesCup Champion)
7T @RafaelNadal 71
7T Sam Querrey 71
9 @RichardGasquet1 70
10 @NMahut 67#MercedesCup
— ATP Media Info (@ATPMediaInfo) June 13, 2021
The aces have been flowing from the Querrey racquet again – always a good sign in the big man’s game.
It’s often a concern backing a player the week before a Grand Slam but that’s not a major worry with Querrey as he has form for going well in this pre-Wimbledon week – he’s been to finals in Eastbourne and Nottingham in this slot in the calendar in previous years.
The leading seeds in the bottom half, Dominic Thiem and Roberto Bautista Agut, can both be taken on with Querrey representing value at the price.
Andy is a sports journalist of more than 20 years’ experience and is a former betting editor of the UK-based website, Sporting Life. He has specialized in tennis for many years, previewing hundreds of ATP Tour events and reporting from tournaments such as the ATP Finals and Davis Cup final. Andy has also covered numerous other sports, with a particular interest in soccer and cricket.More info on Andy Schooler
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