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USFL South Division Finals Breakers vs Stallions Predictions, Odds & Picks

Written by: Mike Lukas
Updated October 14, 2022
5 min read
  • The Breakers are coming off a Week 10 blowout loss to the Houston Gamblers, 3-20
  • Stallions defense held strong in the team’s ninth win, that one against the Bandits, again
  • Watch Breakers vs Stallions live on Saturday, June 25, 2022, at 8:00 PM ET on NBC

Breakers vs Stallions Odds

Odds taken from BetMGM. Click on the links below to head to the sportsbook and place your bet.

Breakers vs Stallions Odds Point Spread Points Total Money Line
New Orleans Breakers +5 (-115)
O 45.5 (-115)
Birmingham Stallions -5 (-115)
U 45.5 (-115)

Breakers vs Stallions Pick

The Generals seem to have the Stars’ figured out, so count on them to cover the spread when it really matters in the postseason.

New Orleans Breakers (+5)

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Breakers Vs Stallions 2022 06 25 Jordan Ellis

USFL Player Jordan Ellis (1) as running back on the Virginia Cavaliers

The USFL’s South Division Final features HC Larry Fedora’s 6-4 New Orleans Breakers taking on HC Skip Holtz’s 9-1 hometown Birmingham Stallions, a potential trap game for the Stallions who have won both times these two have played, though the Breakers are due for a win.

The Breakers are coming off a Week 10 blowout loss to the Houston Gamblers, 3-20, whose defense and special teams did something that New Orleans struggled to do, which was put points on the board, and now they face the best team in the South in a do or die matchup.

Last week, the Stallions defense held strong in the team’s ninth win, this one against the Tampa Bay Bandits who came close to a second-half comeback, 21-18, but their “comedy of errors,” which included two turnovers and some bad snaps, had best get cleaned up fast.

Here are our best predictions, odds, and picks for Breakers vs Stallions – good luck, win big!

Take a look at the predictions and odds for USFL 2022 Championship Winner, here!

Breakers vs Stallions Predictions

Can the Breakers Starting QB Kyle Sloter Win Big?

Breakers HC Larry Fedora was wise to rest a few of his starters in Week 10 (which explains the blowout loss, perhaps?), including his favorite QB Kyle Sloter, the second ranked at his position in the league behind Tampa Bay’s Jordan Ta’amu who played one more game than him.

Sloter is not the most accurate passer – he’s completed 57.7 percent of his passes and he has the second most interceptions (11) in the league – but he has completed 168 passes for almost 1,800 yards and 9 touchdowns, a field general who seems to have the respect of his offense.

New Orleans faces a Birmingham defense that keeps opponents to less than 174 passing yards per game, so Sloter and company will have their hands full here, that Week 10 rest he received no doubt a help for the guy with 54 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown on the season.

Can the Stallions Run Game Carry the Day?

For the first time all season, the Stallions will not have hometown advantage, though also for the first time the stands might actually be full, that fan surge the result of this being the playoffs as well as the first USFL game being played outside of Birmingham where all the others took place.

One advantage the Stallions do have is a top notch rushing attack, the best in the North and the second-best in the league, their RB room posting 304 carries this season for 1,365 total yards and 12 rushing touchdowns averaging 136.5 yards on the ground all season, also second best.

Watch for Birmingham’s two best RBs to be featured in this Finals matchup – CJ Marable (102 carries, 401 yards, 5 TDs) and Bo Scarbrough (84 carries, 352 yards, TD) – and expect them to hit hard and early so that the passing attack can have more success in the second half.

Breakers Key Player: (RB) Jordan Ellis

The Breakers rushing attack is ranked just fourth in the league, and that’s despite the fact that their roster contains the most productive RB in the league, Jordan Ellis, the dual threat back who has posted 596 yards on the ground this year along with 83 yards as a checkdown receiver.

Ellis has been in the endzone four times this season, all on the ground, the 26 year old former Virginia player tough to tackle when he has the ball, a 5’ 10” 220 pound versatile player who was taken in the 28h round of the USFL Draft by New Orleans.

This will be a good game for Ellis to show off his effectiveness early on, these Stallions talented against the run having allowed opponents to gain just 95.5 yards on the ground per game, the last chance for this RB to help his team advance plus it will be a great showcase for NFL scouts.

Stallions Key Player: (QBs) J’Mar Smith and Alex McGough

Last week in their ninth win, the Stallions went go into halftime with a dominant lead, a game in which both QBs got some playing time, though J’Mar Smith struggled with a 31.3 QBR throwing for an interception, no TDS, and completing 37.5% of his targets, not good enough at all.

Fortunately for HC Skip Holtz, QB Alex McGough was also available, and he did a bit better, with a passing TD and a rushing TD and an interception, completing 14/25 for 183 yards plus 30 rushing yards including a heroic twisting and turning dive into the endzone in the first half.

Both QBs will most likely see playing time in the South Finals, but whichever one has the hotter hand will probably play in the 4th quarter, a must win game that USFL fans expect Birmingham to win so that next week they can face the best team from the North in the USFL Bowl.

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How to Watch Breakers vs Stallions

Breakers vs Stallions Information
What New Orleans Breakers vs Birmingham Stallions
Where Tom Benson Hall of Fame Stadium; Canton, Ohio
When Saturday, June 25, 2022; 8:00 PM ET
How to watch NBC
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Mike Lukas

Sports Betting & Gambling Industry Analyst

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Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager.
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