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Jermell Charlo vs Brian Castano Predictions, Odds, Picks

Written by: Frank Monkhouse
Updated October 14, 2022
13 min read
  • This is a rematch after the pair fought out a draw last time
  • Jermell Charlo carries a 34-1-1 record with 18 KOs
  • Brian Castano is unbeaten in 19 fights but has two draws

It’s the rematch boxing followers have been looking forward to as Jermell Charlo and Brian Castano renew rivalries. Four versions of the super welterweight world title will be on the line at Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, and this promises to be a thriller. Charlo and Castano ended all square last time when forcing a split decision draw at the AT&T Center, San Antonio, last summer. Who will come out on top here?

Traders working at the leading betting apps offer fight fans an opportunity to make their predictions and place bets on the outcome of this bout. Charlo is the champion and the pre-fight betting favorite. Still, the American already knows the danger Castano brings, having been pushed all the way by the Argentine warrior less than a year ago. 

Jermell Charlo vs Brian Castano Odds

Below you’ll find the fight-winner betting odds, which have been taken from the Caesars Sportsbook.

Winner Odds
Jermell Charlo -200
Draw +2000
Brian Castano +150

The odds featured in the table above show Charlo as a favorite but also demonstrate the respect the betting industry has for Castano after watching him come close to causing a huge upset in the pair’s first meeting. The odds quoted are correct at the time of writing, but please keep in mind that they are subject to change and may move between this article being published and you placing your bets on the fight.

In addition, to fight winner betting, there are also many other exciting markets available, including method of victory, winning rounds, and total rounds. There is something for everyone, and we investigate the best options in this preview. Our team of fight fans and sports betting experts has scoured the markets and the betting, picking out the best bets and the most generous odds.

Jermell Charlo vs Brian Castano Pick

Charlo by KO/TKO (+275)

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Jermell Charlo Vs Brian Castano

Jermell Charlo enters the latest defence of his world championship belts with a professional CV detailing 34 wins against one defeat and a draw with 18 wins by knockout. The sole defeat on his card to date was inflicted by Tony Harrison in Brooklyn back in December 2018 when losing a points decision. The WBC super welterweight crown was on the line that evening, with Iron Man losing his belt by scores of two rounds, two rounds and four rounds. It was a tough one to take for the American, but he had no problems bouncing back to form.

Charlo has fought four times since that defeat to Harrison, winning three and drawing one. Those three victories have all come inside the distance, including a stunning 11th round knockout win over Harrison in December 2019 to get his revenge and win back the WBC strap. That victory was an impressive one and showed Jermell is good enough to improve and adapt the following the defeat. He’ll aim to do something similar here.

Since blasting his old foe in the penultimate round, we have seen Jermell fight twice, stopping Jeison Rosario in eight rounds before that draw with Castano last time. His form now shows that he has struggled over the distance in recent bouts, drawing with Castano, losing to Harrison and edging Austin Trout on a majority decision. He’ll want to deal with this rematch inside the distance, taking the decision out of the judges’ hands.

Focussing on that incredible comeback win over Harrison, we believe Charlo is good enough to repeat the feat in this fight and will be backing him to win by KO/TKO. He has the power to hurt his opponent and with Brian expected to go on the attack from the opening bell, also reluctant to leave his fate to the scorers at ringside, he will take risks and walk himself into trouble.

Jermell Charlo vs Brian Castano Prediction

Castano boxed well last time, but he came in as the underdog, and not much was expected of him. He has lost that advantage and will now get the respect he deserves from the champion. That draw with Charlo isn’t the first time the Argentine has rocked the boat and forced a split decision draw with Erislandy Lara back in 2019. That was another fight Brian had a chance of winning heading into the later rounds, and a few shrewd fight fans thought he had done enough.

Castano isn’t afraid to head into an opponent’s backyard and take the fight to the favourite, often winning over the crowd with his work rate and fearless attitude. We’ll see plenty more of that on Saturday when he attempts to pick up where he left off. The challenger is unbeaten in 19 fights with a dozen KO wins already on his card. Prior to the first bout with Charlo, he had stopped Wale Omotoso in round five before beating Patrick Teixeira in Indio, getting the job done in a comfortable fashion. He won the WBO world title that night.

The 32-year-olds boasts a 63% KO average, but three of his last four have gone to points, and four of his five most recent outings have travelled 12 rounds. As he steps up through the levels, he is finding it more difficult to land his power shots which means he must rely on his boxing skills and strong defence to match the top fighters of the division.

We expect Castano to come and try to force the pace, having suffered from some questionable scoring in the United States more than once in his career already. His willingness to get forward will get his success, but it’ll also leave him in danger.

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How to Watch Jermell Charlo vs Brian Castano

Jermell Charlo vs Brian Castano Information
Fight Jermell Charlo vs Brian Castano
Promoter TGB Promotions
Location Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson
Date and Time Saturday 14 May, 20:00 EST
How to watch USA Showtime
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Frank Monkhouse

67 Articles

Former professional boxer at the world-famous TRAD TKO Gym in London, I am now a full-time freelance content writer, pundit, and podcast contributor working with some of the biggest names in the sports betting industry. I love boxing, football's most successful team Glasgow Rangers, and horse racing.

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