When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >

Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire Predictions, Odds, Where to Bet

Written by: Frank Monkhouse
Updated October 14, 2022
13 min read
  • The WBC, WBA and IBF world bantamweight titles are on the line here
  • Nonito Donaire won his last bout by fourth-round stoppage
  • Naoya Inoue was last seen scoring an eighth-round TKO win

Naoya Inoue and Nonito Donaire face off in a rematch that has been a long time in the making, and fans can’t wait to see these two stars of the bantamweight division come to blows. This bout will be fought at the Super Arena in Saitama, Japan.

Inoue and Donaire met at the same venue back in November 2019 when the Japanese fighter came out on top courtesy of a unanimous points decision. The margin of victory was all over the place, with one judge scoring it by five rounds, one by one round and the last by eight rounds. It was a close match, but the right fighter got the win.

Who will come out on top in this rematch that could shape the future of the bantamweight division and could even force a trilogy between the pair? Both Inoue and Donaire have already shown they are head and shoulders above the chasing pack, with this rematch being the next logical step.

Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire Odds

Betting odds taken from the Caesars Sportsbook.

Winner Odds
Naoya Inoue -600
BET HERE 
Draw +2000
BET HERE 
Nonito Donaire +375
BET HERE 

The odds mentioned above have been taken from the Caesars Sportsbook online gambling app and cover the fight-winner market. The prices quoted in this table are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change and may have moved in the time between us publishing this article, you reading it, and placing your bets.

The odds of Naoya Inoue winning are short and price many average boxing bettors out of an interest in a home victory for the Monster of Japanese boxing. There is more value to be found in the specials, including the method of victory betting, and our team bring you the best of the betting.

Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire Pick

Inoue by KO/TKO (-200)

Play Fantasy Sports Here!

🔥 Claimed by 172 people this week!

DraftKings

4.8/5

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Instantly

21+ | T&Cs apply

Inoue Vs Donaire Pick

Inoue already has the edge over Donaire after beating him on points earlier in their careers, and we are going with a similar outcome here. The Filipino speedster is out for revenge and would have saw enough from his first meeting in Japan to encourage his team that they can pull off an upset here.

The pre-match betting odds are dead against the visiting fighter, and the betting odds available on the fight winner market suggest Inoue need only turn up to get the desired result. That’s not the case, and if anyone makes the mistake of taking Nonito lightly, they could be made to pay a heavy price. That extends to the Japanese monster.

We respect the challenge brought by Donaire and make no apologies for admitting we are huge fans of the underdog, but we won’t be backing him to win this bout. Our money is on Inoue doing the double over Donaire, but to get a worthwhile bet from this fight, we must dig a little deeper.

Inoue Has Stopped His Last Three

When backing Inoue, we play the method of victory market that gives us a crack at higher odds. The Japanese fighter has fought three times since beating Nonaire on points, winning each outing inside the distance and another KO/TKO lies in wait.

He stopped Jason Maloney in round seven before dealing with the challenge of Michael Dasmarinas in round three. His most recent bout produced a stunning eighth-round stoppage win over Aran Dipaen at the end of last year.

Inoue arrives in Japan looking to nail down a fourth KO/TKO win on the bounce, and we’re happy to trust him on that front. If you are happy to follow our thinking and back Inoue in the specials, you may want to bet him by KO/TKO in the method of victory.

There are bigger prices if you are looking to push your luck a little further and play the round group betting. With this market, you are aiming to predict a KO/TKO win for Inoue but also in which rounds it will fall. Instead of picking just one round, we play the group betting, and you can go between rounds 1-6 or 7-12.

Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire Prediction

Donaire was beaten on points last time but gave a great account of himself, losing narrowly on at least one of the scorecards, which isn’t easy to do when boxing on foreign soil. A slim points win for the home fighter often tells us the visitor came extremely close to causing an upset. Donaire will be eager to get the job done at the second time of asking.

He is as experienced as you’d hope to find at this level, with a record showing 42 wins against six defeats, with 28 of those wins coming inside the distance. He has been stopped only once himself with that early night inflicted by Nicholas Walters in six rounds at the StubHub Center, Carson, in 2014.

Donaire has lost two of his last six, with both defeats coming on points, beaten by Inoue and Carl Frampton. The four wins recorded during that run came by stoppage, and he’ll be eager to make another fast start, pushing his opponent off of his game plan.

Nonito has been over course, and distance and that experience has taught him there’s nothing to be gained from rushing in and going for the knockout too early. He has the skills and power to score an early stoppage but is more likely to take his time and ease his way into the contest. He will hope to remain competitive in the opening rounds, but at almost 40 years old, he is slowing and already past his best.

See what’s the best online sportsbook for payouts before you sign up!

Play Fantasy Sports Here!

Logo #1

FanDuel

4.8/5

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets

21+ | Terms and conditions apply

Logo #2

BetRivers

4.1/5

$500 Bonus Bet

21+ | VA only | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-532-3500

How to Watch Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire

Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire Information
Fight Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire
Promoter Phoenix Promotions
Location Super Arena, Saitama
Date and Time Tuesday 7 June, 06:00 EST
How to watch DAZN
Image for Frank Monkhouse

AUTHOR

Frank Monkhouse

67 Articles

Former professional boxer at the world-famous TRAD TKO Gym in London, I am now a full-time freelance content writer, pundit, and podcast contributor working with some of the biggest names in the sports betting industry. I love boxing, football's most successful team Glasgow Rangers, and horse racing. Email: [email protected]

More info on Frank Monkhouse
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork

© Rebel Penguin ApS 2024 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)

We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.

WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.

Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.