Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire Predictions, Odds, Where to Bet

Written by: Frank Monkhouse
Updated October 14, 2022
6 min read
  • The WBC, WBA and IBF world bantamweight titles are on the line here
  • Nonito Donaire won his last bout by fourth-round stoppage
  • Naoya Inoue was last seen scoring an eighth-round TKO win

Naoya Inoue and Nonito Donaire face off in a rematch that has been a long time in the making, and fans can’t wait to see these two stars of the bantamweight division come to blows. This bout will be fought at the Super Arena in Saitama, Japan.

Inoue and Donaire met at the same venue back in November 2019 when the Japanese fighter came out on top courtesy of a unanimous points decision. The margin of victory was all over the place, with one judge scoring it by five rounds, one by one round and the last by eight rounds. It was a close match, but the right fighter got the win.

Who will come out on top in this rematch that could shape the future of the bantamweight division and could even force a trilogy between the pair? Both Inoue and Donaire have already shown they are head and shoulders above the chasing pack, with this rematch being the next logical step.

Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire Odds

Betting odds taken from the Caesars Sportsbook.

Winner Odds
Naoya Inoue -600
Draw +2000
Nonito Donaire +375

The odds mentioned above have been taken from the Caesars Sportsbook online gambling app and cover the fight-winner market. The prices quoted in this table are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change and may have moved in the time between us publishing this article, you reading it, and placing your bets.

The odds of Naoya Inoue winning are short and price many average boxing bettors out of an interest in a home victory for the Monster of Japanese boxing. There is more value to be found in the specials, including the method of victory betting, and our team bring you the best of the betting.

Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire Pick

Inoue by KO/TKO (-200)

Inoue Vs Donaire Pick

Inoue already has the edge over Donaire after beating him on points earlier in their careers, and we are going with a similar outcome here. The Filipino speedster is out for revenge and would have saw enough from his first meeting in Japan to encourage his team that they can pull off an upset here.

The pre-match betting odds are dead against the visiting fighter, and the betting odds available on the fight winner market suggest Inoue need only turn up to get the desired result. That’s not the case, and if anyone makes the mistake of taking Nonito lightly, they could be made to pay a heavy price. That extends to the Japanese monster.

We respect the challenge brought by Donaire and make no apologies for admitting we are huge fans of the underdog, but we won’t be backing him to win this bout. Our money is on Inoue doing the double over Donaire, but to get a worthwhile bet from this fight, we must dig a little deeper.

Inoue Has Stopped His Last Three

When backing Inoue, we play the method of victory market that gives us a crack at higher odds. The Japanese fighter has fought three times since beating Nonaire on points, winning each outing inside the distance and another KO/TKO lies in wait.

He stopped Jason Maloney in round seven before dealing with the challenge of Michael Dasmarinas in round three. His most recent bout produced a stunning eighth-round stoppage win over Aran Dipaen at the end of last year.

Inoue arrives in Japan looking to nail down a fourth KO/TKO win on the bounce, and we’re happy to trust him on that front. If you are happy to follow our thinking and back Inoue in the specials, you may want to bet him by KO/TKO in the method of victory.

There are bigger prices if you are looking to push your luck a little further and play the round group betting. With this market, you are aiming to predict a KO/TKO win for Inoue but also in which rounds it will fall. Instead of picking just one round, we play the group betting, and you can go between rounds 1-6 or 7-12.

Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire Prediction

Donaire was beaten on points last time but gave a great account of himself, losing narrowly on at least one of the scorecards, which isn’t easy to do when boxing on foreign soil. A slim points win for the home fighter often tells us the visitor came extremely close to causing an upset. Donaire will be eager to get the job done at the second time of asking.

He is as experienced as you’d hope to find at this level, with a record showing 42 wins against six defeats, with 28 of those wins coming inside the distance. He has been stopped only once himself with that early night inflicted by Nicholas Walters in six rounds at the StubHub Center, Carson, in 2014.

Donaire has lost two of his last six, with both defeats coming on points, beaten by Inoue and Carl Frampton. The four wins recorded during that run came by stoppage, and he’ll be eager to make another fast start, pushing his opponent off of his game plan.

Nonito has been over course, and distance and that experience has taught him there’s nothing to be gained from rushing in and going for the knockout too early. He has the skills and power to score an early stoppage but is more likely to take his time and ease his way into the contest. He will hope to remain competitive in the opening rounds, but at almost 40 years old, he is slowing and already past his best.

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How to Watch Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire

Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire Information
Fight Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire
Promoter Phoenix Promotions
Location Super Arena, Saitama
Date and Time Tuesday 7 June, 06:00 EST
How to watch DAZN
21+ | Terms and conditions apply
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Frank Monkhouse

Boxing Betting Analyst

Betting Picks
Former professional boxer at the world-famous TRAD TKO Gym in London, I am now a full-time freelance content writer, pundit, and podcast contributor working with some of the biggest names in the sports betting industry. I love boxing, football's most successful team Glasgow Rangers, and horse racing.
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