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The odds for Augsburg vs Bayern Munich are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.
|Spread (Regular Time)
|Bayern Munich -0.5
|Bayern Munich -1.5
|Bayern Munich -2.5
|Bayern Munich -3.5
Julian Nagelsmann’s side have played some scintillating soccer this season and a three-goal victory over Augsburg is well within their grasp.
Back Bayern Munich -2.5 in the spread (+120)
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A 2-1 win was almost disappointing in the circumstances. That was the scoreline by which Bayern Munich overcame Freiburg before the recent international break – a noticeably slender margin of victory for a side which has posted the following results this term: 5-0, 4-1, 7-0, 4-0, 5-1, 5-2. In fact, the defeat of Freiburg was only Bayern’s second triumph by a single-goal margin in 2021/22, compared to seven wins by two goals or more.
Yet even this narrower victory could be interpreted as a sign of Bayern’s dominance. For a start, Freiburg’s goal came in the third minute of second-half stoppage time. There was never any real threat of them mounting a comeback from two goals down. The visitors to the Allianz Arena played well in other parts of the match, and their energetic pressing caused problems for Bayern in the first half. But even then, Julian Nagelsmann’s side found a way to triumph.
It is often said that being able to win when not at your best is the mark of champions. There is no manager in the world who would prefer to perform badly than perform well, but it is true that the very best sides have a knack for getting the job done whatever it takes. Even a team as strong as Bayern cannot blow opponents away every week. Their victory over Freiburg, who was unbeaten prior to their trip to Munich, showed they can grind out wins when they need to.
The worry for the rest of the Bundesliga is that Bayern could in effect have the title wrapped up before the winter break. They are only four points clear at present, but Borussia Dortmund might struggle to keep pace with the champions in the coming weeks. If they lose to Bayern on December 4, it could be game over already.
Augsburg successfully steered clear of relegation trouble last season. The lowest position they occupied in the standings was 14th, and that was for a single week in May. Despite a 5-2 thrashing by Bayern Munich on the final weekend, Augsburg finished five points clear of the bottom two and three in advance of the relegation play-off spot. Had they not lost four of their last five matches, they could easily have finished in lower mid-table.
The current campaign is still relatively young, but it is starting to look as though Augsburg might face a more sustained battle against the drop this time around. They head into Friday’s battle of Bavaria down in 16th, the relegation play-off place, after winning just two of their first 11 matches. Greuther Furth are already nine points adrift of safety and look set to finish last, but as things stand Augsburg appear to be part of the fight to avoid the second automatic demotion spot.
The underlying numbers suggest Markus Weinzierl’s side are not in a false position. Their xG (expected goals) tally of 9.3 is the worst in the division and shows that Augsburg are not creating enough good chances. They also rank bottom for xGA (expected goals against). In effect Augsburg are both the worst attacking and worst defensive team in the Bundesliga. Needless to say, that does not bode well for Friday’s meeting with Bayern or the season as a whole.
When you look at the results and performances of Bayern Munich and Augsburg so far this term, it is hard to look beyond another one-sided contest on Friday. You could even argue that odds of +120 on a Bayern victory by three goals or more are extremely generous.
Augsburg will hope that the international break has disrupted the champions’ rhythm, while the home fans will do their best to generate a hostile atmosphere under the floodlights. Yet that is not enough to stop a juggernaut like Bayern. Nagelsmann has got this attack purring and scoring goals on the road has not been a problem up to now: Bayern have found the back of the net 18 times in just five away encounters.
Freiburg showed two weeks ago that it is still possible to give Bayern a game. Yet Christian Streich’s team are much tougher to beat than Augsburg, who have struggled at both ends against opponents far inferior to Bayern. Augsburg have shipped four goals each to Hoffenheim and Mainz this season. Keeping Robert Lewandowski and co. quiet will be altogether tougher.
Bayern have the chance to move seven points clear at the summit of the standings on Friday, at least until Dortmund play the following day. After a relatively slender triumph over Freiburg, we could see the champions administer another demolition here.
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|Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Information
|Augsburg vs Bayern Munich
|Augsburg Arena, Augsburg, Germany
|Friday, 19 November 2021, 14.30 PM EDT
|How to watch
Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]More info on Greg Lea
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