Bundesliga 2020/21 Title Winners Predictions, Odds & Picks

Bundesliga Title Winners

  • Bayern Munich, as ever, are the team to beat in the upcoming campaign in Germany
  • Borussia Dortmund should be their closest challengers, just like the last term
  • RB Leipzig are the best of the rest and could mount a challenge

Bundesliga Title Winners Odds

Odds taken 16 September 2020 from DraftKings

Title WinnersOdds
Bayern Munich-670
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Borussia Dortmund+650
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RB Leipzig+2000
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Borussia Monchengladbach+5000
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Bayer Leverkusen+6600
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Bundesliga Title Winners Predictions and Picks

All sports bettors are looking for value, but the market for the Bundesliga title winners is not the easiest place to find it. Bayern Munich has won the title every year since 2012, triumphing by a comfortable 13-point margin the last term despite slipping as low as seventh in the standings at one stage.

Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig are good enough to push Bayern some of the ways, but it is unlikely that either will be able to keep pace with German soccer’s giants for the entirety of the 34-game campaign. Hansi Flick’s deserve their status as heavy favorites to finish first, but perhaps the best betting option is to pair a Bayern title win with one or two more selections from across the Bundesliga – either the top-four race or the relegation battle. Backing Bayern alone offers very little value.

Pick:

Bayern Munich -670

How to Watch Bundesliga

Bundesliga Information
What2020/21 Bundesliga season
WhereGermany
When18 September 2020 – 22 May 2021
How to WatchWatch on ESPN+ here!

Bayern Munich Arguably the Best in Europe and Will Be Too Strong Again

Flick did an extraordinary job at the Allianz Arena in 2019/20. Handed the reins, initially on a temporary basis, following Niko Kovac’s dismissal in November, he steered Bayern back to the top of the table within three months. After a 2-1 defeat by Borussia Monchengladbach in the middle of December, the champions did not lose another game all season. In fact, they won all but one of their remaining 20 league fixtures, ultimately amassing 82 points and scoring 100 goals to finish comfortably in advance of Borussia Dortmund and the rest of the chasing pack.

Bayern was also victorious on the European front, beating Paris Saint-Germain 1-0 in the final to win the Champions League for the sixth time in the club’s history. They were worthy winners, having dispatched Barcelona 8-2 in an astonishing quarter-final, before knocking Lyon out in the last four. Bayern’s attacking firepower was on display throughout the knockout stage, while they also kept three clean sheets in five of those post-group phase matches.

Bayern was not entirely flawless, and their high defensive line looked vulnerable on occasion against the likes of PSG, Lyon, and Barcelona. However, domestic opponents are unlikely to be in a position to take advantage of Bayern’s minor shortcomings given the sheer dominance of the Bavarians in the Bundesliga. The signing of Leroy Sane from Manchester City means Bayern should be even stronger this season, which does not bode well for those teams who will hope to compete for the championship.

Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig Will Hope to Challenge

Borussia Dortmund finished second the last term, with a 1-0 loss to Bayern in late May essentially ending their title tilt with six games remaining. They were knocked out of both the Champions League and DFB-Pokal in the round of 16, so Lucien Favre will be eyeing an improvement across the board, even if a sustained challenge for the Bundesliga crown will be difficult.

A youthful attack featuring Jadon Sancho and Erling Haaland is undoubtedly exciting, and a repeat of the 84 goals in 34 games that BVB managed in 2019/20 is not beyond the realms of possibility. But if Dortmund is to push Bayern all the way, they must master the knack of grinding out wins even when they are not at their best. Favre’s team also needs to tighten up defensively – they conceded two or more goals on 11 occasions last time out.

RB Leipzig will be looking to kick on in their second season under Julian Nagelsmann. The upstarts of German soccer made Europe sit up and take notice when they knocked on Atletico Madrid out of the Champions League to reach the semi-finals, and there is reason to believe they can continue making strides at home and on the continent.

Nevertheless, replacing Timo Werner’s goals will not be easy, and Leipzig must become more adept at turning draws into wins – the scores finished level in 12 of their 34 matches in 2019/20 – if they are serious about being title contenders. Leipzig was tough to beat last season, though, and in Nagelsmann they have one of the most astute coaches in Europe. It would not be a surprise to see them start quickly before being outstripped by Bayern after the winter break.

Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach Will Struggle to Compete

Borussia Monchengladbach is one of the outsiders to top the table. Marco Rose’s side was dreaming of the title at one stage the last term – the club is among Germany’s most historic but they have not won the league since 1977 – and were sitting at the summit of the standings as late as the middle of December, when a 2-1 victory over Bayern Munich seemed to suggest they were genuine contenders.

A collapse in the second half of the season ultimately saw them finish fourth, however, and that is likely to be the height of their ambitions once more, particularly as Bayern will almost certainly make a stronger start to this season than last.

Bayer Leverkusen is in a similar position. They narrowly missed out on Champions League qualification last season, finishing two points behind fourth-placed Gladbach, and it is difficult to see them mounting a challenge for the biggest prize of all in 2020/21. That would have been the case even if they had been able to retain the services of star man Kai Havertz for another campaign, but the Germany international has moved to the Premier League with Chelsea.

In truth, it is difficult to see anyone other than Bayern finishing on top of the pile this season, and it is difficult to see anyone other than Borussia Dortmund or RB Leipzig pushing them close.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts.



Email: greg.lea@wsn.com