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Bayern Munich advanced to the quarter-finals of the Champions League in midweek
Augsburg are 13th but they are unlikely to suffer relegation from the Bundesliga
Bayern Munich should prove too strong for Augsburg in this match on Saturday
The odds for Bayern Munich vs Augsburg are from the DraftKings sportsbook, which has a special offer of a deposit bonus up to $1000.
A clean sheet should be well within reach for Julian Nagelsmann’s side this season.
Back Bayern Munich to beat Augsburg and both teams not to score. (-105)
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Bayern Munich have not had everything their own way since the turn of the year, but they are in a pretty decent position as the March international break approaches. Top of the Bundesliga and through to the quarter-finals of the DFB-Pokal, Bayern booked their spot in the last eight of the Champions League on Wednesday.
A 2-0 victory over Paris Saint-Germain at the Allianz Arena built on a 1-0 win at the Parc des Princes in the first leg. It was ultimately pretty comfortable for Bayern, who made reasonably light work of the French champions.
Julian Nagelsmann’s side are currently the second-favorites to win the Champions League with the best online sportsbooks, behind only Manchester City. Back home, they are widely expected to win the Bundesliga title, even though Borussia Dortmund are currently level on points with the champions in top spot.
BVB have been impressively consistent since the resumption of the Bundesliga following the winter break. Whereas they have won eight games on the bounce, Bayern have dropped points in exactly half of their eight encounters post-World Cup 2022.
Dortmund are an excellent team, so Bayern cannot afford to take their eye off the ball. But if Nagelsmann’s men play at the level they are capable of, they should be able to beat BVB to the prize. Bayern have greater strength in depth at their disposal, not to mention plenty of title-winning experience.
Progression to the quarter-finals of the Champions League should give Bayern a boost. They will face Dortmund in a crunch clash on April 1, before which they will be targeting maximum points against Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen - starting with this weekend’s Bavarian derby at the Allianz Arena.
Augsburg have been consistently inconsistent in 2023. Or perhaps it is more accurate to say that they have been inconsistent in a consistent way. Their results since the turn of the year read: defeat, win, defeat, win, defeat, win, defeat, win.
But it is not a completely random pattern. In short, Augsburg have won 100 percent of their home games and lost 100 percent of their away matches since the winter break.
This is a new phenomenon which did not occur before the World Cup. Indeed, taking the campaign as a whole, Augsburg rank 11th in the Bundesliga’s home table and 11th in the away table.
But given the evidence of the last few weeks, Enrico Maassen’s charges may be relying on results at the WWK Arena to get over the line in the relegation battle.
In truth, Augsburg are on course to survive in the top flight. They were among the favorites to go down at the beginning of the season, but have so far managed to stay out of the drop zone since early September.
They cannot start celebrating just yet, though. Schalke have shown signs of life recently, leaving the bottom four level on points.
The two automatic spots and the play-off place are likely to be filled by sides currently in the bottom five, with 13th-placed Augsburg currently possessing an eight-point cushion above the danger zone.
After Bayern drew a third consecutive Bundesliga game 1-1 in late January, Nagelsmann sounded a warning. He linked his team’s performances in seemingly run-of-the-mill league fixtures with bigger contests in the Champions League, suggesting that Bayern could not simply forget about the former and focus on the latter.
"In order to be able to play big games, you have to play the small ones in such a way that you are in a good run from the psychology point of view," he said after the draw with Eintracht Frankfurt.
"We do not have too much time before the big games to get into this run. So, we must start at some point - the first step is always the hardest. It is a results crisis.”
There are certainly signs that Bayern have now turned a corner, with seven wins in their last eight outings in all competition And who knows, perhaps the fact they are being pushed all the way by Borussia Dortmund will keep them focused.
Bayern may have subconsciously taken their eye off the ball from time to time if they were 10 points clear at the summit of the standings. With BVB breathing down their neck, every game matters.
That should ensure there is no slip-up on Saturday. It is difficult to predict Augsburg games, but even a top performance from Maassen’s men might not be enough to halt Bayern, particularly at the Allianz Arena. Go for a home win and both teams not to score in this one.
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Teams: Bayern Munich vs Augsburg
Location: Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany
Time: Mar. 11, 2023, 9:30 a.m. EST
How to Watch: ESPN+
Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]More info on Greg Lea
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