The AT&T Byron Nelson Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

AT&T Byron Nelson

  • The tournament heads to new venue TPC Craig Ranch
  • Jordan Spieth seeking to maintain an excellent record in his home state of Texas
  • Jon Rahm and Bryson DeChambeau lead the betting

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The AT&T Byron Nelson Odds

Player Odds
Jon Rahm +700
Bryson DeChambeau +800
Jordan Spieth +1000
Daniel Berger +1400
Matthew Fitzpatrick +1800
Brooks Koepka +2000
Hideki Matsuyama +2000
Scottie Scheffler +2000
Will Zalatoris +2500
Marc Leishman +3300

Odds from BetMGM. Get up to a $600 sign-up bonus at BetMGM today or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.

The AT&T Byron Nelson Picks

Will Zalatoris is the outright pick at +2800 with William Hill

Marc Leishman can land another top 10 at +300 with DraftKings Sportsbook

Back Harris English to beat Jason Day in their matchbet at -110 with bet365

How to Watch The AT&T Byron Nelson

The AT&T Byron Nelson Information
Tournament The AT&T Byron Nelson
Location TPC Craig Ranch, McKinney, Texas
Time Thursday, May 13 – Sunday, May 16
How to watch Thursday 3.30pm & 7.30pm ET (Golf Channel), Friday 2pm & 7.30pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday & Sunday 1pm & 7pm ET (Golf Channel). And all four days on Sky Sports.

The AT&T Byron Nelson Profile

It’s an entirely new course for the tournament and the regular PGA Tour this week – TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas – but it’s not entirely new to absolutely everyone in the field.

Among those with the sneaky course, form is the Texan veteran Ryan Palmer (who owns the course record of 61), the recent Valspar Championship winner Sam Burns (who won the Second Stage of 2017 Qualifying School), and Luke List (who was a fast-finishing T13th in the 2012 Tour Championship).

It is a little difficult to know what to make of Palmer’s experience of the course and those few second-tier events that have been held on it. Palmer insists that the track is wide open, vulnerable to bombers, and will eventually be a putting contest.

The way in which Burns decimated the field suggests that is exactly what might happen. However, when List competed at the course in 2012, and when it held the same tournament in 2008, although the leading contenders all thrived on the greens, it was finding them in regulation, not hitting it miles from the tee which seemed to matter.

Just to throw further shade on the issue, Palmer added that the gusty wind might be a defense, but the forecast argues that anything more than a breeze is unlikely. Jon Rahm leads the betting and will be keen to bounce back from a rare missed cut last time out, a few weeks after the birth of his first child and fifth place at the Masters.

He’s closely followed by Bryson DeChambeau, who might hope the course can be defeated with big-hitting, and Jordan Spieth, who is more likely to thrive if it becomes Palmer’s predicted putting contest.

Where There’s a Will There’s a Zee

A subtle, but potentially key, a feature of the Craig Ranch test is the Zoysia on the fairways. It’s a bristly grass that permits the ball to sit up invitingly, asking to be hit – although it so happens that plenty of high-quality golfers don’t necessarily like it that way. It suits sweepers of the ball rather than those who descend on the object with a steep blow and it’s a surface that Will Zalatoris knows all about.

In fact, he’s very familiar with it on this very course, living and growing up nearby and saying, “I’ve been competing here basically half my life.”

He further explained that the Zoysia adds to the advantage for big-hitters, taking roll out of the equation, and it also allows players to hit darts at the flag, knowing scrambling from Zoysia is a little more straightforward than Bermuda.

“The only pressure is the pressure I put on myself,” he added. “My goal is the same, to go out and win a tournament.”

Off the back of a missed cut at Quail Hollow last week, his price has stretched, but I’m happy to recall just how good he’s been all season, racking up nine top 20 finishes.

He’s the standout each-way option in the outright market at +2800 with William Hill.

Leishman Can Land Another Top 10

It’s been a fine month for Australia’s Marc Leishman and, moreover, he has plenty of reason to believe that the good times are far from over.

He wasn’t mentioned above as one of the few golfers in the field with course experience, but back in 2008 he finished tied seventh in the second tier’s Tour Championship and that bodes very well given his tournament experience.

When the event was hosted by Las Colinas he landed three top 10s in nine starts and on another three occasions he was just one blow from adding to that tally.

Then, the one time he played when the tournament moved to Trinity Forest, he thrashed a first-round 61 on his way to tied third.

What about his form in Texas as a whole? A total of nine top 10s in 33 starts.

And in recent weeks, as mentioned, he’s been flying: fifth at the Masters and then triumphant alongside Cameron Smith in the Zurich Classic.

Take the +300 at DraftKings Sportsbook for him to finish in the top 10 once more.

English Can Last All Day

At first glance, it seems pure folly to oppose Jason Day in this tournament. He has, after all, a superb record in it: victory on debut in 2010, then fifth, ninth, T27th, and second to follow. But all of those results came at Las Colinas and he no longer has that course advantage.

Moreover, his form is regressing quite badly. He finished seventh at Pebble Beach, but since then has gone T18th, T31st, T35th, T42nd, MC, and MC.

It’s far from encouraging a state of affairs and bet365 has matched him up with Harris English who has undoubtedly gone off the boil since opening the year with a win, but he has made four of his last five cuts.

Just as importantly, when playing the same events as Day he leads 13-5 since the start of 2020 and 6-2 in their last 10 match-ups.

Back English to repeat the dose at -110 with bet365.

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Matt Cooper

Expert on Golf

Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics. Email: [email protected]