Charles Schwab Challenge Predictions: Rai to Ride High in Texas

• Famed Colonial Country Club plays host once more

• This is the PGA Tour’s fourth and final 2025 stop in Texas

• Fresh off his PGA Championship win, Scottie Scheffler is a hot favorite

Charles Schwab Challenge 2025 Odds

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Charles Schwab Challenge 2025 Predictions

• Aaron Rai each-way (1/5 odds, 6 Places) +3000 with BetMGM

• Harris English to beat Robert MacIntyre in 72-hole match at -134 with bet365

• Harry Hall for Top 10 at +550 with bet365

Charles Schwab Challenge 2025 Intro

The emotion poured out of Scottie Scheffler after he captured the PGA Championship at Quail Hollow last week.

So maybe it’s not the smartest of ideas to back him at short odds to win the annual trip to Colonial Country Club for the Charles Schwab Challenge.

Think again though.

When Scheffler won his second Masters Green Jacket last year, he headed down to Hilton Head for the RBC Heritage and won that too!

As he also showed in the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational and PLAYERS Championship, the World No.1 is no stranger to winning in back-to-back weeks.

Storied Colonial Country Club is famous for being the scene of five wins for local resident Ben Hogan. 

Nicknamed ‘Hogan’s Alley’ as a result, it opened in 1936 and staged the 1941 US Open soon after.

The 7,289-yard par 70 is a classic tree-lined layout with 12 doglegs. In other words, a shotmaker’s course.  

It’s been a good one for home players and 14 of the last 17 editions have been won by Americans. 

Davis Riley was the latest, blitzing Scheffler and Keegan Bradley by five in 2024.

That was atypical though as three of the previous four had gone to extra holes.

Last 5 Winners of the Charles Schwab Challenge

Course Notes

• The course was designed by John Bredemus and opened in 1936

• It’s one of five invitational events on the PGA

• The inaugural edition took place 79 years ago, the year after WWII

• It underwent a $20m renovation after the 2023 event

• The course record is 61 and has been shot seven times, the last in 2018

• Zach Johnson (2010) holds the 72-hole record of 259

Favorites to Win the Charles Schwab Challenge 2025

Scottie Scheffler (+250) at bet365

Scheffler was winless in 2025 until his last two starts. Now he has an eight-shot victory at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson and a five-shot triumph at the PGA Championship, his third major title. But, make no mistake, the Texan will want to add this prestigious Lone Star state event too. He’s gone 2-3-2 the last three years so can he hit the bullseye this time? Scheffler’s odds suggest he’ll be very hard to stop.

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Tommy Fleetwood (+2000) at bet365

Scheffler now has an incredible 15 PGA Tour wins having only started the trophy haul in February 2022. Second favorite Tommy Fleetwood has none. Not that the Englishman hasn’t knocked on the door numerous times. He was a low-key 41st at Quail Hollow last week but went into the PGA on the back of 4th at the Truist Championship and 7th at the RBC Heritage. He’s yet to shine at Colonial, though, with 35th on debut in 2022 and MC on his only other visit in 2023.

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Jordan Spieth (+2200) at bet365

Spieth’s bid for Grand Slam glory quickly evaporated as he missed the cut at the PGA - the only major still missing from his collection. But he’s got a win (2016) and three second places (2015, 2017 and 2021) in this event along with four further top 10s so is very much a course horse. More recently, he has a pair of top fours this season (Phoenix, CJ CUP Byron Nelson).

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Rai Ready for Challenge 

It may well be that no-one gets near Scheffler this week but Aaron Rai certainly looks a good each-way bet and has the game to get the ‘W’ if Scottie isn’t quite at the races.

We want a ball-striker this week and the Englishman is certainly that.

Rai ranks 1st for Driving Accuracy, 20th Approach and 21st Tee To Green.

He’s 3-for-3 at Colonial Country Club and that includes 12th in 2023 when he was in the top 10 with a round to go.

Other strong Texas efforts include a pair of sevenths in the Houston Open and fourth in this year’s CJ CUP Byron Nelson.

Par being 70 suits him too.

Rai has made the top 25 in six of his last seven starts on par 70s, the highlight a victory in the 2024 Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield.

Back him each-way (6 Places) at +3000 with BetMGM.

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English to Beat Scotsman

Last week’s 72-hole match landed easily as Corey Conners (T19) beat Russell Henley (MC) at the PGA Championship.

For Colonial, I’m taking Harris English to beat Robert MacIntyre.

English is coming off a fast-finishing tied second at the PGA where MacIntyre had to settle for 47th.

A closing 65 rocketed English up the leaderboard and by falling late into a runners-up spot it meant he was never under the gun so should be fresh for this.

It followed 11th at the Truist while his Colonial record shows a second, a fifth and a 12th two years ago. 

MacIntyre missed the cut on his Charles Schwab Challenge debut last year and hasn’t cashed in his last three starts in Texas.

English gets the nod at -134 with bet365.

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Hall to Land Top 10

Harry Hall is in the groove again after 19th on his PGA Championship debut followed 20th in the Myrtle Beach Classic.

Either side of Christmas he connected six top 25s, including a trio of top 10s at the Shriners, The Sentry and the Sony Open.

The Englishman has course form too after posting third place here on his first look in 2025 when leading after 18, 36 and 54 holes.

Back him for a top 10 at +550 with bet365.

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How to Watch the Charles Schwab Challenge 2025

• Tournament: Charles Schwab Challenge

• Location: Colonial Country Club, Fort Worth, TX

• Date: Thursday, May 22 - Sunday, May 25

• How to watch: Thursday-Friday 4-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel). Saturday-Sunday 1-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3-6 p.m. (CBS). And all four days on Sky Sports.