Charles Schwab Challenge Predictions, Picks & Betting Odds

• Jordan Spieth seeking to maintain his magnificent tournament record
• Daniel Berger defends the trophy
• Last week’s PGA Championship winner Phil Mickelson will receive a hero’s welcome

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The Charles Schwab Challenge Odds

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The Charles Schwab Challenge Picks

Collin Morikawa is the outright pick at +1400 with William Hill

Jordan Spieth can land another top 10 at +125 with DraftKings Sportsbook

Back Matt Kuchar to beat Brendon Todd in their matchbet at -125 with DraftKings Sportsbook

How to Watch The Charles Schwab Challenge

The Charles Schwab Challenge Profile

It’s been through many names down the years and is probably still best known as the Colonial National Invitation, but the Charles Schwab Challenge has never been anything other than one of the most-loved tournaments on the PGA Tour schedule.

Its history stretches back to 1946, an era when the great Ben Hogan ruled the roost and, such was his dominance of the event, the course at Colonial Country Club became known as ‘Hogan’s Alley.

The tournament has been won by the greats (perhaps Tiger Woods is alone among them in not having lifted the title) and in recent years Jordan Spieth, Justin Rose, Adam Scott, and Phil Mickelson have added their names to the winner’s roster.

The layout utilizes traditional design principles: the length is not vast (7,204-yards), the fairways are tight and tree-lined and the greens are small. The grass on the fairways and in the rough is Bermuda, but the putting surfaces have bentgrass. The par-4s play a big part in the examination and not just because there are only two long holes in the par of 70 – the key is that so many of the holes have doglegs.

Jordan Spieth is the favorite and with very good reason: the Texas man has played the tournament eight times, has always made the cut, only once finished outside the top 15, landed second place twice and he won in 2016.

Morikawa Can Clear The Final Hurdle This Year

A little under 12 months ago this event was the first on the schedule after enforced lockdown and Collin Morikawa took swift control, carding 65-66 to open up a three-shot halfway lead.

A Saturday 72 left him three shots behind the lead, but he responded in style with a Sunday 66 and really ought to have clinched the title before losing to Daniel Berger in a play-off. It seemed before that tournament debut that this was a course made for him – and the majority of the week backed up that notion.

This week he can correct the few mistakes of last June and lift the trophy because whichever way you look at it, he’s genuinely perfect for the test. It’s a track that demands a neat long game. Strokes Gained Approach and Tee to Green matter, and Morikawa leads the Tour in both categories this season (and in Greens in Regulation, too).

Scoring well on the par-4s is also essential and it is something else Morikawa does well, ranking sixth this season against his peers. Even the worst aspect of his game – his putting – was largely well-suited at Colonial last year: he ranked second for Putting Average and 19th for Strokes Gained Putting.

Here’s another plus: he’s been a regular visitor to the course for years, playing for the Ben Hogan Award. “It’s a pretty special place to me,” he said last year. “It’s a great course.”

He’s the standout each-way option in the outright market at +1400 with William Hill.

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Spieth Can Land Yet Another Top 10

Some books quote Jordan Spieth as an odds-on shot to make the top 10 this week, a stance that is backed up by the stats – so take the battle to the books that offer odds against. Let’s reiterate just how much he likes Colonial: eight starts at the course, six top 10s recorded.

What about his form? Seven top 10s in his last 10 starts. In Texas? Five top 10s in his last six appearances. Whichever way you look at it, Spieth looks a good thing. The only worry is that it looks *too* good!

Take the +125 at DraftKings Sportsbook for him to finish in the top 10 yet again.

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Kuchar Can Take Down Todd

The fun and games of a match-up are always intriguing – is this a week to focus on course form, or one where current trends need to be adhered to, or is it even a case of utilizing anecdotal evidence?

This week I’m going to take on a man who leads in recent trends because Colonial suits some golfers and flummoxes others. The man in question is Brendon Todd, who DraftKings have paired with Matt Kuchar. Over the course of their careers, Kuchar leads by a dominant 69-34, but he didn’t enjoy a great couple of years from mid-2019 whilst Todd did the opposite, playing the best golf of his life.

As a consequence, since January 2020 Todd leads the head-to-heads 13-10 and in 2021 alone his advantage is 6-3. But Todd hasn’t made a top 30 in his last six starts, whilst Kuchar has four top 20s in his last half dozen appearances – the tide is turning back toward the class act. The clincher is that Kuchar is 10-for-12 at making the Colonial cut with seven top 30s, but Todd is 1-for-4 with just one top 30. Kuchar also leads the head-to-head 3-1.

Back Kuchar to maintain his recovery at -125 with bet365.

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