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Ryan Fox was top 15 at this course last year and continued some fine play with a strong first 54 holes at Southern Hills. Back him for the win at +2500 with Caesars Sportsbook.
Thomas Detry has made the top four in two of the last three editions of this event and can beat Dean Burmester in their 72-hole match at +100 with bet365.
Joachim B Hansen was tied 22nd here last year and has two wins in his last 42 starts. Back him for a Top 20 finish at +300 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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DP World Tour watchers got their first view of Bernardus Golf in Cromvoirt last year although that edition of the Dutch Open – a tournament first staged in 1912 – was held in September, the week after the BMW Championship.
Ahead of that event the intelligent guesses included looking over results at Kingsbarns, The Grove and Dundonald Links.
Why, Bernardus Golf and those other tracks were all designed by American architect Kyle Phillips.
Victory went to Swede Kristoffer Broberg, with German Matti Schmid, Spain’s Alejandro Canizares, Belgium’s Thomas Detry and local Dutchman Darius Darius van Driel rounding up a top five consisting of players entirely from Continental Europe.
Broberg went on to shoot 69 at Kingsbarns on the way to tied ninth in the three-course Alfred Dunhill Links Championship in Scotland later that year while Detry had fired a brilliant 63 at Kingsbarns in 2019.
So the logic did pay off to some extent.
In terms of stats at Bernardus in 2021, three of the top five ranked in the top six for Putting Average while winner Broberg was 1st in Scrambling.
Driving Accuracy wasn’t important at all. Nearly everyone hit over 75% of greens in regulation so the real test seemed to be holding putts when on them.
Broberg won with 23-under, the lowest score in the tournament’s history since it was first played on the European/DP World Tour.
That’s worth noting as often the event has been held by the seaside when high winds have made scoring more challenging.
If this plays out like last year, it’ll likely be a case of setting up a string of birdies chances and taking them via a hot putter.
However, a breezy forecast suggests something below 20-under could be the number this time.
Ryan Fox had three good days at the PGA Championship last week, firing 70-70-70 Thursday to Saturday and threatening to get in the mix after entering Sunday in a tie for 17th spot.
The New Zealander eventually ran out of gas on the final day, dropping all the way back to 54th but there were still plenty of positives to take.
Before that Major, he’d been one of the DP World Tour’s in-form players.
He headed to Tulsa on the back of second place at the Soudal Open and that completed a run of 1-14-9-8-2, the sequence beginning with a win at the Ras al Khaimah Championship.
Strong putting has helped fuel his good play and in four of those five DP World Tour events he ranked in the top seven for Putting Average.
Fox has course form too.
Last year at Bernardus he was somewhat slow out of the blocks with a 72 but recovered with laps of 68-69-68 to finish in the top 15.
A fine links player, he’ll be able to handle the forecast windy conditions better than most and one of his strong performances by the coast came when he took fourth at Dundonald (same course designer as this week).
Back Fox for the win at +2500 with Caesars Sportsbook.
Thomas Detry disappointed the local Belgian fans, and himself, by missing the cut at the Soudal Open last time but he’d made six cuts out of six prior to that and I’m going to back him to beat Dean Burmester in a 72-hole match bet.
The short hop to the Netherlands from Belgium for Detry contrasts with Burmester’s long flight from Tulsa where he missed the cut after a Friday 78.
Burmester had also crashed out at halfway in the British Masters prior to that and he only managed 36 holes in this event last year after shooting a 74 in round two.
Detry, by contrast, seems to love playing in this event.
He was third at The Dutch in 2018 after firing 63-66 on the weekend and on this course last year Detry took fourth place after opening 67-66 to lie second at the midpoint. As noted earlier, he seems to have a liking for Phillips tracks.
Detry is also the better putter, ranking 27th for Putting Average to Burmester’s 116th.
The odds favor Burmester, probably due to his higher world ranking, but with the South African having doubts over both course and current form, Detry is the bet at +100 with bet365.
We landed the Top 20 bet last week thanks to Talor Gooch (+500) at the PGA Championship.
This time, I’ll try Joachim B Hansen at +300 for a Top 20 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
The Dane ranks 22nd for Putting Average this season and was tied 22nd on this course last year.
He hasn’t quite had his best stuff in 2022 but a top five at the Steyn City Championship five starts ago was promising and he was 15th at halfway on his latest start, the Soudal Open, before a weekend drift.
With two wins in his last 42 starts, he’s clearly a class act at this level and a Top 20 seems well within his grasp.
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|Dutch Open Information|
|Location||Bernardus Golf, Cromvoirt, Netherlands|
|Time||Thursday May 26 – Sunday May 29|
|How to Watch||Thursday-Friday 7.30am-12.30pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday-Sunday 7.30am-12pm (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports|
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Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
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