Dutch Open Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds
- The European Tour heads from England back to Continental Europe
- The tournament has been rebranded from the KLM Open to the Dutch Open
- Bernardus Golf in Cromvoirt will play host for the first time
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Dutch Open Odds
|Thomas Pieters||+1200 |
|Branden Grace||+1600 |
|Sam Horsfield||+1600 |
|Joost Luiten||+2000 |
|Thomas Detry||+2000 |
|Dean Burmester||+2200 |
|Johannes Veerman||+2200 |
|Andrew Johnston||+2500 |
|Jacques Kruyswijk||+2500 |
|Rory Sabbatini||+2800 |
|Justin Harding||+3000 |
Dutch Open Prediction and Picks
Branden Grace looks in a different class to the vast majority of this field and can push for a ninth European Tour win. Back him each-way with bet365 at +1600 (1/4 1-2-3-4-5).
Santiago Tarrio has been in sensational form on the Challenge Tour/European Tour. He can beat the inconsistent Rory Sabbatini in a 72-hole match at +100 with bet365.
Joakim Lagergren has cracked the top 10 in two of his last three starts in this event. Back the Swede to repeat the trick at +450 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Dutch Open Profile
After American Billy Horschel rode into town and won a thrilling final-round shootout at the prestigious BMW Championship at Wentworth last Sunday, it’s rather more low-key action on the European Tour this week.
The big-name Europeans are preparing to do battle at next week’s Ryder Cup so the field for this traditional fall event is weak.
The locals will be more than happy to have golf back on Dutch soil though after this tournament fell victim to the pandemic last year.
Most will know this as the KLM Open, the national Dutch airline sponsoring this event from 1981 to 1990 and again from 2004 to 2020. This year they’ve withdrawn so it’s back to the tournament’s original name.
The Dutch Open has a long history and was founded in 1912. It’s been a regular on the European Tour schedule although this year it continues a recent theme of moving to newer venues after regular stops at Hilversumsche, Kennemer, and Noordwijk.
Playing host for the first time is Bernardus Golf in Cromvoirt, a 7,425-yard par 72 designed by American architect Kyle Phillips.
He’s also responsible for Kingsbarns, one of three courses used for the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, The Grove, Dundonald Links, and PGA Sweden National so results at those tracks could offer some clues.
Bernardus Golf is a heathland course with the standard split of four par 5s, four par 3s, and 10 par 4s. Water is in play on 11 holes, there are numerous bunkers and it’s generous off the tee.
The rough looks sparse too so, in theory, we should be a week of low scoring.
Thomas Pieters of Belgium heads the betting from England’s Sam Horsfield and South African Branden Grace while Joost Luiten – a two-time winner of his home Open – will be the biggest focus of the local Dutch crowds.
The list of storied winners of this event includes Seve Ballesteros (three times), Bernhard Langer (twice), Colin Montgomerie, Jose Maria Olazabal, Lee Westwood, and Sergio Garcia.
Grace Can Show Class
Not too long ago Branden Grace was showing up strongly on leaderboards in the majors. The South African was fourth at halfway and fifth with a round to go in the PGA Championship before falling away. And a fast finish in the US Open elevated him to seventh place.
Only last month he finished runner-up in the Wyndham Championship after shooting 64-66 on the weekend.
Now he’s +1600 to win a very poorly-contested European Tour event so that surely has to smack of value.
His odds have drifted a little after a couple of poor weeks but there’s hardly much wrong given that he’s shot under par in three of his last four rounds.
Obviously, there is some guesswork involved this week on a course that has never been seen before on the European Tour.
But, as mentioned, one clue is that the layout was designed by Kyle Phillips.
Grace often pops up in the same google search as Phillips as he once shot a stunning 60 at the American architect’s most famous design, Kingsbarns.
This track should suit him and it looks a good opportunity for Grace to land his ninth European Tour title.
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Tarrio Can See off Sabbatini
We continued our good run with 72-hole match bets last week as Justin Rose got the better of Adam Scott at Wentworth to make it four-in-a-row in this market
With a lack of course form, current form is an obvious path to tread and that leads me to one of Europe’s hottest players although one that most won’t even have heard of.
Santiago Tarrio has been tearing it up on the Challenge Tour this season and he’s carried that form to the main European Tour too. He won twice in June with scores of -17 (Czech Challenge) and -20 (Challenge de Espana) and since the first of those victories, Tarrio has added another five top fives on Europe’s second tier.
The Spaniard played on the main Tour in August and enjoyed finishes of tied 15th at the ISPS Handa World Invitational and third in the Hero Open in Scotland. Tarrio also played a Challenge Tour event in the Netherlands recently and posted tied 15th.
Sabbatini hit the headlines by finishing super-fast (61) to gain a Silver medal at the Olympics and was then 10th at the Wyndham.
But he’s been only tied 33rd (Czech Masters) and tied 60th (European Masters) in two recent European Tour events and had missed six cuts in eight starts before his medal in Tokyo.
Tarrio should be very much in his comfort zone in a field lacking in quality and can get the better of the inconsistent Sabbatini over 72 holes despite being the dog at +100 (bet365).
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Lagergren Can Crack the Top 10
Joakim Lagergren has enjoyed his trips to the Netherlands in recent years.
The Swede finished ninth at The Dutch in 2017 and added seventh at The International the last time the event was played in 2019. He also made the top 20 in 2016.
There’s a decent chance he may enjoy this course to given that, like Grace, he has form at Kingsbarns having shot a 62 at the Scottish track in 2019.
Also tied 18th at The Grove (Phillips design) in 2016, Lagergren has started to find some form again after a dip.
He was tied 17th in the Czech Masters last month and tied 27th in an elite field at Wentworth last week.
Let’s back him for a third top 10 in his last four starts in the Netherlands at +450 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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How to Watch Dutch Open
|Dutch Open Information|
|Location||Bernardus Golf, Cromvoirt, Netherlands|
|Time||Thursday, September 16 – Sunday, September 19|
|How to Watch||Thursday 7.30am-12.30pm (Golf Channel), Friday 7.30am-12.30pm (Golf Channel), Saturday 7am-11.30pm (Golf Channel), Sunday 7am-11.30pm (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports|
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Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
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