The Fortinet Championship Predictions, Picks, Odds
- The first event of the PGA Tour’s 2021/22 season
- The tournament returns to the Silverado Resort in Napa Valley, California
- World No. 1 Jon Rahm is the hot favorite ahead of next week’s Ryder Cup
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The Fortinet Championship Odds
|Jon Rahm||+400 |
|Webb Simpson||+1600 |
|Kevin Na||+2000 |
|Hideki Matsuyama||+2200 |
|Will Zalatoris||+2200 |
|Cameron Champ||+4000 |
|Cameron Tringale||+4000 |
|Harold Varner III||+4500 |
|Charley Hoffman||+5000 |
|Emiliano Grillo||+5000 |
The Fortinet Championship Predictions and Picks
Chez Reavie is the outright pick at +5000 with Caesar’s Sportsbook
Max Homa can land a top 10 at +550 with DraftKings Sportsbook
Hideki Matsuyama to beat Webb Simpson in a matchbet at +105 with bet365
The Fortinet Championship Profile
A clean slate for everyone on the PGA Tour at the start of this week and for many in the field there is quite a contrast inexperience.
On the one hand, there are three reigning major champions ready to tee it up on Thursday: Hideki Matsuyama (Masters), Phil Mickelson (PGA Championship), and Jon Rahm (US Open).
On the other hand, there are also no less than 27 PGA Tour rookies set to make their bow at the top table this week, all of them hoping to emulate Will Zalatoris who is also in the field and has just been revealed as last season’s Rookie of the Year.
That was not the only award announced this week. Patrick Cantlay won the Player of the Year vote, pushing Jon Rahm into second.
In truth, it is far from the most important bauble in the world of golf, but it might put the bit between the teeth of the Spaniard who might argue, as many do, that he deserved the honor himself.
The tournament has a new name (it was previously the Safeway Open) but it returns to the North Course at the Silverado Resort in Napa Valley.
It’s a course that has favored Californian and course specialists down the years, a consequence of the poa annua grass on the greens – it’s stubbly and often produces a bumpy surface in the afternoon.
It’s also a test that has tended to suit steady long game performers unless, as in the case of Cameron Champ two years ago, an aggressive game plan is executed in exceptional style.
Chez Reavie does rather sound like a down-at-heel French bistro, but in reality, he’s a fine performer who in recent years has played much of his best golf in California – and on this course in particular.
He’s not among the favorites this week, but I’m happy to avoid those who are. Rahm is an exceptionally short price and the others below +2500 are not consistent enough winners for such quotes.
Reavie has played this event seven times and he’s played the weekend every single time.
Moreover, in his last six starts, he’s been T33rd or better every time and he closed with two rounds of 66 last year for tied third.
Look further and you see that he’s got few problems with poa annua greens.
He has finished both tied seventh and T10th at Riviera in Los Angeles, then second and tied third at Pebble Beach, on the latter occasion in the 2019 US Open.
At that event he credited his straight-hitting, patience and happiness on the greens as key to his success – and they are all qualities that will suit him well this week.
He closed the 2020/21 season by making eight cuts in his last 10 starts and he can start the new campaign with a bang.
Take him each way in the outright at +5000 with Caesar’s Sportsbook which pays out a generous eight places.
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Californian Homa Boy
Max Homa was a very emotional winner of the Genesis Invitational earlier this year, on a course he used to walk as a fan when a youngster.
In fact, his local links have been put to really good use in recent seasons and that win had definitely been coming.
His last nine starts in regular PGA Tour events on poa annua in California have reaped seven top 20s, five of the top 10s, including that win.
Among that number have been two top 10s at Pebble Beach, two at Riviera, and one at Torrey Pines.
He’s still waiting to land a first one at Silverado, but he has made three cuts in five starts, and in this recent run of rich form he’s only played the North Course once.
He looks great value to add another quality Californian finish to his logbook.
Take him to make the top 10 with DraftKings offering +550.
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Matsuyama Can Better Simpson
Majors champions Hideki Matsuyama and Webb Simpson have been matched up at Bet365 with the latter made favorite and I’m not sure that’s quite correct.
At first glance, their head-to-head count in 2021 explains the edge, with Simpson leading 7-6.
Yet in the last 10? Matsuyama leads 6-4.
Course form also just about favors the Japanese golfer. They’ve both played Silverado three times.
Matsuyama has finished third, T17th, and missed a cut – a weekend off was his exception.
Simpson has twice missed the cut and finished T17th – the top 20 was his exception. But the real clincher is what happens when we take a close look at the records of the pair on poa annua in California. Suddenly, Matsuyama has a 6-2 advantage.
He’s worth supporting at +105 with bet365.
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How to Watch the Fortinet Championship
|The Fortinet Championship Information|
|Tournament||The Fortinet Championship|
|Location||North Course, Silverado Resort and Spa, Napa, California|
|Time||Thursday September 16 – Sunday September 19|
|How to watch||Thursday & Friday 6pm & 9.30pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday & Sunday 6pm & 11.30pm ET (Golf Channel). And all four days on Sky Sports.|
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Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics. Email: [email protected]