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Steyn City Championship Predictions, Picks, and Odds

Contributors
Updated October 14, 2022
6 min read
  • The DP World Tour stays in South Africa for a second straight week
  • This is a brand new tournament on the DP World Tour
  • The Club at Steyn City is a lengthy par 72 but plays shorter due to altitude

Steyn City Championship Odds

The odds for this tournament are provided by Caesars Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to Caesars Sportsbook and place a bet.

Player Odds
Jordan Smith +1600
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Dean Burmester +1600
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George Coetzee +1800
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Pablo Larrazabal +1800
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Romain Langasque +2500
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Marcus Armitage +2500
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Justin Harding +2500
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Shubhankar Sharma +2800
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Matthieu Pavon +2800
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Oliver Bekker +2800
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Laurie Canter +3300
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Steyn City Championship Our Picks

In-form Ross Fisher is a past winner in South Africa and does well on Jack Nicklaus courses. Back the Englishman for the win at +4000 Caesars Sportsbook.

Thriston Lawrence and Ashun Wu are both recent winners but the South African (-115 DraftKings Sportsbook) won their duel last week and can repeat the trick here.

Hennie du Plessis won a pairs event at the course and has four top 10s in his last six starts in South Africa. Back him for a top 10 at +500 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Steyn City Championship Ross Fisher

Steyn City Championship Predictions

South Africa has been one of the mainstays of the European/DP World Tour schedule in recent times but, for the second week running, we have an unfamiliar tournament and venue to de-code.

Following on from the inaugural MyGolfLife Open won by Spain’s Pablo Larrazabal, the Tour makes a short hop to Johannesburg for the Steyn City Championship.

The Club at Steyn City is the imaginatively-titled venue but, reassuringly, it has the hand of an icon on it having been designed by the great Jack Nicklaus.

If that gives a sense of deja vu, so was last week’s venue, Pecanwood.

Given the similar geographical location (The Club at Steyn City is only 30 miles away from Pecanwood) and same course designer, it’s certainly a fair strategy to focus on players who performed strongly last week.

Nicklaus courses have similar traits – generous off the tee and an emphasis on approaches – so form should translate well.

The Club is a new course that only opened for business in 2015.

On the DP World Tour website, it’s listed as 7,716 yards which initially looks extremely long. However, Johannesburg is high above sea level so the ball will fly further.

Beyond that, it’s a stock par 72 with four par fives while water comes into play on seven holes so there’s the potential for double bogeys.

Do the locals have an edge?

Last week we had two Spaniards (Larrazabal and Adri Arnaus) and an Englishman (Jordan Smith) contesting a play-off while two well-known South Africans (George Coetzee and Richard Sterne) finished fourth and fifth.

The only real course form available comes from a two-man team event held here in 2018 when South African duo Jean Hugo and Hennie du Plessis lifted the trophy.

Back Fisher for the win

MyGolfLife Open winner Larrazabal had some decent results coming into last week but one other obvious clue was his previous impressive form in South Africa where he’d won the 2019 Alfred Dunhill Championship.

So I’m going to pull a few lines of thinking together and back Ross Fisher for the win at +4000.

Like Larrazabal, the Englishman has plenty of confidence after some strong recent displays.

He was runner-up at the Ras al Khaimah Classic two starts ago having posted 18th in the previous week’s Ras al Khaimah Championship.

And last week he opened with a 62 and finished sixth in the MyGolfLife Open.

That latter display is important for two reasons.

First, it added to his excellent displays in South Africa which include a win at the Tshwane Open, a second and a fourth at the Nedbank Golf Challenge and a third and fourth at the Alfred Dunhill Championship.

Second, it was on a Nicklaus course and Fisher has done well on those before so the planets are starting to align when we assess his chances.

Finally, a check of his stats shows that he’s picked up a combined 21.181 strokes Tee To Green in his last two events, ranking 1st in that category at the Ras al Khaimah Classic and 4th last week at the MyGolfLife Open.

The long game is there so it’ll just take a little spike in his putting stats but that has happened a couple of times when looking at Fisher’s last 10 events.

Back Fisher for the win at +4000 with Caesars Sportsbook.

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Lawrence can outscore Wu

This week’s match bet can probably be given cult status as the two players involved rarely pop up in this market.

Both are recent winners but I’m going to take South Africa’s Thriston Lawrence to beat China’s Ashun Wu.

Wu is one of the DP World Tour’s more curious characters. He’s bagged four wins at this level but spends much of his time off the radar.

The key here is that he tends to vanish again soon after those peaks so having won the Kenya Open at the start of the month, it would be no surprise if that process repeats.

He was going quite well last week but fell away in the final round to drop outside the top 20 and maybe that’s the start of his drop.

Lawrence had his big breakthrough moment at the end of October when winning the Joburg Open. That has to be worth bonus points given that we’re back in Johannesburg this week.

He’s kicked on again after a little dip of his own and in the last two weeks we’ve seen the local man finish runner-up in Kenya and ninth in the MyGolfLife Open last Sunday.

Lawrence beat Wu by four shots last week and I’ll back him to win their duel again in a -115 pick ‘em at DraftKings.

Du Plessis can crack the top 10

As mentioned, Hennie du Plessis won a pairs event at this week’s course a few years ago and that nugget shines brighter when noting that he finished sixth at the MyGolfLife Open last Sunday.

That’s now four top eights in his last six starts in South Africa and another of those was a top 20.

It’s a short and sweet course form/current form argument but sometimes that’s good enough.

Back him at an attractive +500 to make the top 10.

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How to Watch Steyn City Championship

Steyn City Championship
Tournament Steyn City Championship
Location The Club at Steyn City, Johannesburg, South Africa
Time Thursday, March 17 – Sunday, March 20
How to Watch Thursday-Friday 6.30am-11.30am ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 6.30am-11am (Golf Channel), Sunday 6.30am-11am (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sport
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Dave Tindall WSN Contributors

Dave Tindall

Golf Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Golf
Betting Picks
Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: British
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Psychology and Media)
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 25 years
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