We’ve definitely got our mojo back after going 4 for 5 with Thursday’s props, resulting in a profit of over two units. Naturally, the goal is to finish the week strong. For whatever reason, we’re favoring pitchers with most of our picks on Friday. Of course, we’re also staying aggressive with multiple picks that have plus odds. Our odds for Friday’s picks are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook, which is giving new users a no-sweat bet up to $1,500 for their first wager.
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On top of having a 1.79 ERA on the season, Lugo has been the winning pitcher in seven of his 10 starts this season. In the other three games, the Royals lost, largely because they scored one run or less in two of those games. In other words, when Lugo pitches, Kansas City usually wins and he's usually the winning pitcher. It’s also worth mentioning that the Rays have lost four in a row, dropping them below .500 on the season. They also have a losing record at home this year, so all of the ingredients are there for the Royals to win on Friday with Lugo being the winning pitcher.
There aren't many hitters in baseball who are hotter than Garcia right now. He has a 10-game hitting streak, including four multi-hit games in his last five games. In other words, Garcia has gotten better as the streak has gone along. He also has six extra-base hits in his last six games. It’d be foolish not to get behind a hitter this hot who has plus odds to collect multiple bases. The only caveat is that Tampa is starting an opener on Friday, so Garcia will face a different pitcher every at-bat. But he’s been too good lately for that to cool him down.
Bet on Royals vs Rays Props at DraftKings
It’s been surprising and a little sad to see Carroll struggle as much as he has this year. It feels mean to bet on him striking out, but it makes sense. Carroll is down to a .191 batting average, and that's with a five-game hitting streak. Amidst that hitting streak, Carroll has struck out eight times in his last four games. He’s still pressing and having a hard time getting the bat on the ball. Carroll is also 0 for 5 with two strikeouts in his career against Miami starter Braxton Garrett, so we expect his strikeout woes to continue.
Bet on Marlins vs Diamondbacks Props at DraftKings
At 41, Verlander isn't the strikeout artist he once was. In four of his six starts this year, he’s left the game with four strikeouts or less. But he also has two starts with at least seven strikeouts, so he’s still capable of blowing hitters away. Friday’s game is a strategic time to capitalize on Verlander’s lingering strikeout potential. For starters, both of his 7+ strikeout games have come on the road. More importantly, the A’s have the second-most strikeouts in the majors this year. Also, Oakland’s roster has a total of 13 strikeouts in just 36 career at-bats against Verlander. This is a lineup that he can dominate, giving Verlander a chance to get to seven strikeouts.
On the other side, Stripling is an easy choice to fade, even against an inconsistent Houston offense. To go over 16.5 outs, Stripling will have to get at least two outs in the sixth inning. While he was going deep in games early in the season, Stripling hasn’t gone beyond 15 outs in four of his last six starts. The last time he pitched at home, Stripling was forced out in the second inning. He barely got through five innings when he faced the Astros earlier this month, so we’re anticipating another brief outing against Houston on Friday.
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