Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Valuable Prop Bets for Limited MLB Schedule

Thursday is one of the toughest days of the season for MLB prop bets. There are just five games on the schedule, and the double-header between the Braves and Phillies doesn’t make things easier. However, we’ve dug deep and done our research to come up with five prop bets we like.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Athletics vs. Blue Jays (7:07 PM, EST)

Jose Berrios Under 5.5 Hits Allowed

With a 4.22 ERA, Berrios doesn’t fit the profile of an ace for the Blue Jays right now. Toronto has also lost the last four games that he’s started. However, Berrios hasn’t been quite as bad as that record indicates. He’s held opposing lineups to five hits or less in three of his last four starts and seven of his 11 starts on the season. Based on that, we’re thrilled to be getting plus-odds for this bet. It doesn’t hurt that Berrios is facing the Athletics, who have just one win in their last 13 games.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Rays vs. Astros (8:10 PM, EST)

Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Total Bases

Pena is one of the hottest hitters who’s playing on Thursday, making him an obvious player to target. He has at least one hit in five of his last six games and is 6 for 17 over his last four games. With a surge of power during that span, Pena has collected multiple bases in three of his last six games, so there is good value with this bet. Houston’s shortstop also has a good track record in limited at-bats against Tampa starter Shane Bat, going 3 for 6 with a double and a home run against him. The data is a little limited, but the timing appears to be right to target Pena.

Shane Baz Under 17.5 Outs Recorded

Speaking of Baz, he’s had an atrocious month of May, which is why he’s a good pitcher to fade right now. We decided to focus on how long Baz will stay in this game, because this has been problematic for him over the last month. He’s only managed to get through six full innings once in his last five starts, despite doing so in four of his five starts in April. Baz has had two starts this month in which he failed to finish five innings. Even if he’s shown signs of turning things around, Baz is facing a Houston lineup that’s won five of its last six games and scored 21 total runs over its last three games. That puts Baz in a tough position, which could lead to a shorter outing on Thursday.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Nationals vs. Mariners (9:40 PM, EST)

Emerson Hancock Over 5.5 Hits Allowed

With a 5.95 ERA, Hancock is a pitcher to fade. In fairness, some of that ERA is still inflated from his first start of the season, when he gave up six runs and recorded just two outs. But even with the Mariners winning three of his four starts in May, he has a 5.40 ERA with 27 hits allowed in 21.2 innings this month. More importantly, Hancock has allowed over 5.5 hits in three straight starts, as well as four of his last five starts. Even if the Nationals don’t have the most intimidating lineup, they are fresh off scoring nine runs on 12 hits on Wednesday night. With Hancock being so unreliable this season, we’ll back the Nationals to have another good offensive showing.

James Wood Over 1.5 Total Bases

Hancock’s struggles are even more reason to target Wood, who is Washington’s best hitter right now. The 22-year-old outfielder has a four-game hitting streak with three home runs and two doubles during that stretch. Wood also had a recent stretch with five multiple-hit games in a seven-game stretch. The bottom line is that Wood has collected multiple bases in nine of his last 12 games, including four in a row. That’s enough to take a chance on him.

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