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On Wednesday, the Atlanta Braves are a convincing favorite against the Cincinnati Reds, as they look to complete a three-game sweep over the Reds. Spencer Strider takes the mound for the Braves to start this contest, as he looks to boost his NL Cy Young candidacy with another strong early-season performance. In this contest, we like Strider to pick up his second win of the season with a strong start.
Strider comes into this contest with a 1-0 record and a respectable 2.45 ERA in his 11 innings of work thus far. His strikeout numbers have been excellent to this point, as Strider has struck out 18 batters, with more than half of his recorded outs coming via the strikeout. Against a Reds team that is in the middle of the pack in team batting average, Strider should have a good outing again here.
To pick up the win in this contest, Strider will need to outperform the opposing starting pitcher, who is Hunter Greene of the Reds. Greene has struggled early this year, giving up five earned runs in eight innings of work. The Braves bats should be able to get to Greene here, helping Strider pick up the victory when this game is done.
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The Toronto Blue Jays scored nine runs in a win over the Detroit Tigers in their series opener on Tuesday night. On Wednesday, the Blue Jays have another matchup that is favorable for their offense. And Vladimir Guerrero Jr. should be among the beneficiaries of that favorable matchup, as we like him to go yard against the Tigers on Wednesday.
Guerrero has been absolutely raking early this season, hitting .400 over the first couple of weeks of the season. But his numbers get even better against left-handed pitching, which he is set to face in this contest. Against lefties, Guerrero is batting .467 and has a great chance to hit a longball against left-handed pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez here.
Rodriguez has really struggled early this season for the Tigers, losing both of his first two starts and giving up seven runs in 10 innings of work. He has allowed three home runs in those two starts and will be vulnerable to giving up at least one more in this game to a dangerous right-handed hitter in Guerrero.
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So far this season, Marcus Stroman has been one of the best pitchers in Major League Baseball. He has won both of his first two starts of the season and has yet to allow an earned run in 2023. On Wednesday against the Seattle Mariners, we like Stroman to strike out at least five batters at home.
Stroman has struck out 14 batters in his 12 innings of work in two starts against the Milwaukee Brewers and Texas Rangers. In this game, he faces a Mariners team that has piled up the strikeouts on offense this year. Seattle is tied for the seventh most strikeouts of any team in the league this year, striking out 108 times as a team going into Wednesday’s action.
As long as Stroman can maintain his control in this game, he should have no problem lasting long enough to cash this strikeout total over. Stroman has walked three batters in each of his first two starts of this season. As long as he does not see an increase in that department, his pitch count should remain manageable for him to put together five or more strikeouts.
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Our final MLB prop bet for Wednesday is for Jose Urquidy to allow under 2.5 earned runs against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Urquidy has given up four earned runs through two starts in 2023, giving up three earned runs to the White Sox and one against the Twins. Here, we like him to finish on the lower end of that spectrum against a Pirates team that is in the bottom half of the league in team batting average and runs scored.
A big reason we anticipate Urquidy not allowing many runs in this game is his control early in the year. The Astros right-hander has walked just two batters across his first two starts of the year. Not putting runners on base cheaply through walks will help him avoid putting too many runners in scoring position and getting into too many jams.
Urquidy has also not pitched into the seventh inning yet this year. He has pitched a total of 9.1 innings in two starts. Fewer innings pitched could mean fewer runs allowed, making this prop worth playing at plus money.
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