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Best MLB Prop Bets Today | MLB Player Props April 17

Written by: Max Heering
Published April 17, 2023
18 min read
MLB Player Props April 17

Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits (-150) vs Hunter Greene

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The Rays may have cooled off during the weekend, but that doesn't mean Lowe will cool off moving forward. He’s been a huge part of Tampa’s success early in the year, betting .310. Lowe has already hit five home runs to help lead the Rays, but he also has at least one hit in 10 of his 14 games this season, making him a safe bet to get a hit against the Reds and starter Hunter Greene on Monday night.

Lowe has never faced Greene but the right has already allowed 17 hits over his 14 innings this season. Greene has racked up a lot of strikeouts but he’s also been hittable. A player like Lowe should have a good night against Greene, giving him a lot of value at -150 to get just one hit.

Ronald Acuna Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120) 

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While Acuna has never faced San Diego starter Ryan Weathers, he’s an excellent candidate to stay hot against the lefty on Monday. On the season, Acuna is hitting .373 with seven extra-base hits. But he’s been even better lately, getting at least one hit in six of his last seven games. That stretch includes five multi-hit games, making Acuna an excellent candidate to tally multiple bases in Monday’s game. After all, he’s averaging 2.7 bases per game over his last seven games.

Granted, Weathers and the San Diego bullpen will be a tough matchup for Acuna because the young lefty has thrown the ball well this year. Plus, right-handed batters are hitting a respectable .259 against Weathers this year. A red-hot Acuna should be able to stay hot on Monday, especially with a lot of help around him, as the Braves have scored at least five runs in six straight games.

Brandon Nimmo Over 0.5 Walks (-135) 

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Few big leaguers are better at drawing walks than Nimmo. He’s patient in the leadoff spot and understands the strike zone as well as anyone. He’s already had five multi-walk games this season, including a game with four walks. Nimmo has drawn five walks in his last five games and is also 8 for 19 (.421) during that stretch, so it’ll make sense for the Los Angeles pitchers he’ll face on Monday to be extra careful facing him, increasing the chances that Nimmo can draw a walk.

At the same time, LA starter Dustin May was unusually wild in his last start, allowing four walks. Despite allowing just seven hits over his 18.1 innings this season, May has allowed just as many walks. If he’s not perfect with control against the Mets, May could easily issue a few more walks, and Nimmo is the most likely candidate to draw one, giving him a lot of value at -135.

Jack Flaherty vs Diamondbacks Under 15.5 Outs (-105)

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With injuries limiting him to just nine appearances last season, Flaherty is off to a great start in 2023. Through three starts, he’s allowed just three earned runs on nine hits over 15.1 innings, giving him a 1.76 ERA. He’s in good shape to have another strong performance on Monday against the Diamondbacks. However, Flaherty’s one weakness this year is going deep in games, which is why he’s not a good bet to change that on Monday.

Flaherty lasted just five innings in his first two starts of the season and then went 5.1 innings last time around against Colorado. Keep in mind that he’s also walked 14 in 15.1 innings, so he’s hurting himself with walks and running up his pitch count. Between his control issues and the Cardinals likely being careful with him given his injury history, it’s hard to envision Flaherty going much deeper than five innings in this game, especially against an unpredictable Arizona lineup that could cause Flaherty trouble if he continues to issue a lot of walks.

Kyle Freeland vs Pirates Under 3.5 ER (-160)

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Pitching at Coors Field has not been a problem for Freeland thus far. His last two starts have come at home with the southpaw allowing just two runs on 10 hits over 12.2 innings. That was after he tossed six scoreless innings against the Padres in his first start of the season. That makes him an excellent candidate to hold the Pirates under 2.5 runs in Monday’s game. Even if Freeland goes six-plus innings, he’s yet to allow more than two runs in a game this season, giving him a 0.96 ERA.

The Pirates aren’t exactly a good candidate to do any damage against a pitcher who’s in the lone the way Freeland is right now. Despite scoring at least four runs in four of their last six games, the Pirates have also been shut out twice in that span while scoring two runs or less in four of their last eight games. Pittsburgh’s lineup is already weakened by the absence of Ji-Man Choi and Oneal Cruz, who are on the IL, while Bryan Reynolds, Carlos Santana, and Ke’Bryan Hayes are a combined 1 for 13 against Freeland in their careers, giving Colorado’s ace an excellent chance to put together a strong outing on Monday.

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Max Heering

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Max Heering graduated from the University of Kansas Sport Management program in May 2020. Max follows and writes about the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, MLS, college football, and college basketball. In his free time, you can catch Max draining threes on the basketball court. Email: [email protected]

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