Best NRFI Bets Today: Fade the Dodgers Against Erick Fedde

For the second time in three days, we fade the Dodgers elite top of their batting order as they face off against another productive pitcher when Erick Fedde takes the mound for the Chicago White Sox. Well before that game kicks off, we focus on the matchup between the Seattle Mariners and Tampa Bay Rays as early scoring opportunities should come far and few inbetween. For more information about the NRFI market and what factors into them being worth a wager, check out our breakdown of Daily No Run First Inning.

When looking to make a wager on a NRFI, it’s vital to have as many sportsbooks as you can get in order to line shop the very volatile market. Each sportsbook also has their own unique signup bonus, giving new users a boost to their bankroll to wager with. The FanDuel Sportsbook for example is giving new users $150 in bonus bets for simply creating an account and winning their first bet of at least $5 wagered. Be sure to wager the $5 on a heavy favorite immediately after signing up, maximizing your chances of winning and collecting the $150 in bonus bets.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox - Gavin Stone vs. Erick Fedde (8:10 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-104) at FanDuel

After cashing the NRFI in the first game of their series, we go back to the well as the Dodgers elite top of their order is set to face off against another productive pitcher. Erick Fedde has been one of the few bright spots for a wildly lackluster White Sox organization, providing their defense a second reliable arm to pair along with surging AL Cy Young contender Garrett Crochet.

While Fedde is further down the oddsboard than his counterpart, his production can not be overshadowed as he enters the contest with an ERA of 3.05, a WHIP of 1.145, a FIP of 3.85, 86 Total Strikeouts, and just 32 Earned Runs Against in 16 games played. While certainly not enough to make a case for the Cy Young award, Fedde possesses enough production to at least give the Dodgers fits and bring their offense back down to reality.

Every bit of his production will be needed against the best offense in the league, a unit that ranks near the top of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Even without Mookie Betts, the Dodgers boast plenty of depth to mask his loss of production by slotting in the speedster Will Smith into the top of the order to play beside the likes of new MVP front runner Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman.

As for the Dodgers defense, they roll out Gavin Stone who has been turning around his year after a rough start to his 2024 campaign. While his WHIP is still at a less than ideal 1.200, he has mitigated the damage in the scoring department with an ERA of 3.04. He gets a perfect opportunity to continue to build some momentum against a White Sox offense that ranks dead last across the board in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics.

Bet on Under 0.5 Run (-104) at FanDuel

Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays - George Kirby vs. Ryan Pepiot (12:10 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-128) at FanDuel

It hasn’t exactly been a banner year for the Tampa Bay Rays, a team that was projected to rival the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles for the top spot of the AL East standings, but have struggled to get past .500. They are also currently sitting a handful of games back from the Boston Red Sox, Minnesota Twins, and Kansas City Royals for one of the highly coveted three wildcard spots.

Should they want to build some midseason momentum and make a run up the standings, then their defense will need to take advantage of an anemic Mariners offense that ranks near dead last in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. That bodes well for starting pitcher Ryan Pepiot who is flirting with positive regression, possessing an ERA of 4.61 but a lowly WHIP of 1.131.

As for the Mariners, they have backed their early season success on the play of their defense as they currently rank second overall in Defensive Efficiency. A big reason for their defensive success stems from their pitching staff, a group that ranks top-10 in Team Total Pitching ERA. George Kirby has played a role in their high marks, entering the contest with an ERA of 3.47, a WHIP of 0.986, a FIP of 3.16, and just 9 Batters Walked.

Bet on Under 0.5 Run (-128) at FanDuel

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