Best YRFI Bets Today: Patrick Corbin to Struggle Against the Surging Mets

Written by: Kody Malstrom
Published July 10, 2024
5 min read
Best YRFI Bets Today 2024 07 10 Nationals Patrick Corbin

Wednesday’s slate of YRFIs kicks off with a NL East divisional showdown between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets as we get the opportunity to fade Patrick Corbin against a surging Mets offense. At the same time as that matchup, we also focus on the battle between the Cincinnati Reds and Colorado Rockies as both offenses are in a position to continue to succeed against a pair of underwhelming pitchers.

For more information about the YRFI market and what factors make them worth a wager, take a look at our breakdown of what are YRFI bets.

As for where to wager on YRFIs, FanDuel Sportsbook has been the top choice for the market as they routinely put out lines before everyone else and at very favorable odds when compared to the rest of the mobile sportsbooks.

If you have not signed up yet with FanDuel sportsbook and are looking to get in on the action, you can claim $200 in bonus bets by simply creating an account and winning your first bet of at least $5 wagered. Be sure to wager the $5 on a heavy favorite or alt line immediately after signing up, maximizing your chances of winning and collecting the $200 in bonus bets.

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Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets - Patrick Corbin vs. Luis Severino (7:10 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-125) at FanDuel

Our favorite fade target in Patrick Corbin makes his return to our daily YRFI series as he is set to take the mound against a red hot Mets offense that ranks well above league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Once looking like their season was over after a rough start to the year, the Mets have managed to find life and are now within contention of a wildcard spot after a hot stretch of play.

Crazier yet, the Nationals are right behind them as they are currently two games back from the Mets in the NL East standings. While the Nationals continue to be one of the more pleasant surprise success stories in the league by nearly ranking 0.500 past the midway point of the season, it’s safe to say Corbin has yet to play his part in their success as he continues to perform as one of the worst starting pitchers in the league.

Entering Wednesday’s matchup against the Mets, Corbin takes the mound with an ERA of 5.49, a WHIP of 1.530, a FIP of 4.74, just 68 Total Strikeouts, 35 Batters Walked, an astonishing 118 Hits Allowed, and 61 Earned Runs Against in 18 games played. To make matters worse, Corbin gets little help from his backend as their defense as a whole ranks near dead last in Defensive Efficiency.

While the Mets offense has managed to round back into competitive form, their defense has yet to get the memo as they continue to struggle with their lack of pitching production. Luis Severino has been no exception, entering the contest with a WHIP of 1.200 and a FIP of 4.35. His inability to avoid opposing contact with 90 Total Hits Allowed bodes well for an anemic Nationals offense, giving them the chance to match the Mets offensive production and get into scoring position early and often.

Bet on Over 0.5 Run (-125) at FanDuel 

Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds - Kyle Freeland vs. Frankie Montas (7:10 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-124) at BetRivers

Speaking of teams currently in contention for a wildcard spot, the Cincinnati Reds have managed to stay within reach after a sluggish start to their season. A disappointing start for a team that was projected to compete for the NL Central division title, yet the Reds are currently in fourth place and 10 games back from the current leader Milwaukee Brewers.

Luckily for Cincinnati, Colorado’s Kyle Freeland presents them an opportunity to build some midseason momentum and make a push for a playoff berth as he takes the mound with a ERA of 6.62, a WHIP of 1.670, 47 Hits Allowed, and 26 Earned Runs Against in 7 appearances so far this season.

As for the Rockies, their offense has remained sneakily competitive as they rank above league average in Team Total Hits. The issue for the Rockies is that their Hits are far and few inbetween as they dip to below league average in RBI’s, Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. With the Reds Frankie Montas struggling to keep opposing runners out of scoring position with a WHIP of 1.319, expect positive regression to swing towards the Rockies way with an uptick in Runs Scored.

Bet on Over 0.5 Run (-124) at BetRivers 


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Kody Malstrom

Sports Betting Analyst

Betting Picks
Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Finance
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
6 years
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