Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Predictions and Picks: Brewers Need Road Win to Inch Closer to 1st Place

Written by: Max Heering
Updated October 14, 2022
5 min read
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have lost three of their last five games.
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have won eight of their last ten games.
  • The Cardinals are 7-6 against the Brewers this season.

Brewers vs Cardinals Odds

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Brewers Vs Cardinals 8 13 2022

Moneyline Analysis

The Milwaukee Brewers will take on the St. Louis Cardinals in the second of a three-game set. There is a full slate of games today, but this may be the one to watch. The Cardinals have sole possession of first place in the NL Central but only by 1.5 games. St. Louis got a huge win last night against the Brewer, pushing them from 0.5 games ahead of Milwaukee to 1.5 games. These next two games are make or break for both teams. If the Cardinals sweep, they will have a 3.5-game lead over the Brewers, but if the Brewers win the series, they will take sole possession of first place by 0.5 games.

The Cardinals’ 3-1 victory last night was largely due to starting pitcher Jordan Montgomery. Montgomery threw six scoreless innings and had eight strikeouts. Today, the Cardinals will be bringing another solid pitcher to the mound. However, he is not as solid as Montgomery. The man of the hour will be veteran Adam Wainwright. Wainwright is 40 years old and in the last few seasons of his career, but he is still putting up surprisingly good numbers for someone in his twilight years. He is 8-8 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. His ERA is not very high, but his longevity in games is the more impressive. In an era where pitchers are being pulled early, Wainwright is averaging a little over six innings a start.

As good as Wainwright is, the Brewers are bringing a far better pitcher to the mound in Corbin Burnes. Burnes is also throwing a little over six innings a game but putting up some of the best numbers in the league. His 2.45 ERA is the sixth-best in the MLB, his 175 strikeouts are the second-best, and his 0.94 WHIP is the fourth-best in baseball. 

These two teams have similar bullpens, so the starting pitching will be the difference. Since Milwaukee is bringing better starting pitching to the mound, I am picking them to win this game on the road. Regardless of who wins, this is a divisional battle between two teams fighting for first place, so emotions will run high.

Over/Under Analysis

The over/under is placed at a lowly 7.5 runs. This is probably because of the pitching duel that will ensue in this highly contested game.

I do not expect this to be a high-scoring game, so I will pick the under. Both of these teams know how to hit and are averaging well over four runs a game, but they also only managed to score four runs last night. If you throw in last night’s performance with the fact that Milwaukee’s ace is getting the start, you can see why the under is the better bet.

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks

Milwaukee Brewers beat St. Louis Cardinals 4-3

Cardinals cover the spread, Under 7.5 runs.

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Injury Report

Team Player POS Status
Brewers Taylor Rogers RP Day-to-Day
Brewers J.C. Mejia RP Day-to-Day
Brewers Hendry Mendez CF Day-to-Day
Brewers Tyler Black SS Day-to-Day
Brewers Freddy Zamora SS Day-to-Day
Brewers Clayton Andrews RP Day-to-Day
Brewers Caden Lemons SP Day-to-Day
Brewers Abner Brismaury Uribe RP Day-to-Day
Brewers Logan Blake Henderson SP Day-to-Day
Brewers Omar Narvaez C 10-Day IL
Brewers Jace Peterson 3B 10-Day IL
Brewers Adrian Houser SP 15-Day IL
Brewers Jandel Gustave RP 15-Day IL
Brewers Trevor Rosenthal 2B 10-Day IL
Cardinals Ian Bedell SP Day-to-Day
Cardinals Ljay Newsome RP Day-to-Day
Cardinals Jake Walsh RP Day-to-Day
Cardinals Joshua Baez CF Day-to-Day
Cardinals Juan Yepez RF 10-Day IL
Cardinals Steven Matz SP 15-Day IL

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Predictions

This will be a fun game to watch. These two teams do not like each other, and it shows. They are division rivals and fighting for the same Playoff spot. I will not be at the game, but I would bet a lot of money that there will be an intense energy in Busch stadium.

The situation will create for a great game, but the pitching duel will only add to that. Corbin Burnes is coming off a six-inning outing that saw him only give up one earned run and having another tremendous season. Burnes won the NL Cy Young Award last year and is in the race for it again this year. He will be facing another tougher hurler for the Cardinals in Adam Wainwright. Wainwright has lost a step from where he was a few seasons ago, but he is still reliable. The man affectionately known as “Waino” has a mediocre 8-8 record, but his 3.42 ERA has helped keep St. Louis in many games.

That is enough talk about the pitching. Let’s talk about the hitters. I would be on the lookout for Nolan Arenado again this game. He has hit three home runs in the last three games, so do not be surprised if he hits another one. For the Brewers, look out for Rowdy Tellez and Willy Adames. Tellez is putting together his best season yet and has 71 RBIs, and Adames has a knack for getting hits at the right time; he has 64 RBIs in 89 games. I expect most of the runs in this game to come from both teams’ big hitters. 

Bet on the Brewers’ moneyline, Cardinals to cover the spread, and on the under.

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How To Watch Brewers vs Cardinals

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Information
What Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals
Where Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri
When Saturday, August 13, 7:15 PM EST
How to Watch MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, Bally Sports Midwest, Bally Sports Southwest, Bally Sports Wisconsin
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Max Heering

Sports Betting Analyst

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Max Heering graduated from the University of Kansas Sport Management program in May 2020. Max follows and writes about the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, MLS, college football, and college basketball. In his free time, you can catch Max draining threes on the basketball court.
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