Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Predictions, Betting Odds, Picks

• Brewers offense continues to roll, Atlanta in do or die territory
• Milwaukee has edge in pitching matchup 
• X-factors to watch

Brewers vs Braves Odds

The odds for the Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves are provided by DraftKings. Get a $1000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Picks

Atlanta has alternated wins and losses for its past 15 games. Since they lost Friday, you might think they will win Saturday. Well, we don’t think so. Woodruff is due for a bounceback game and Milwaukee’s offense is humming too well right now — we like the Brewers to cover the spread.

Brewers to cover the spread -1.5 (+105).

Garcia’s 2021 record: (41-38-2)

Brewers vs Braves Betting Trends to Watch (as of 7.31)

• Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite
• Brewers are 12-2 in their last 14 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5
• Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game
• Brewers are 29-8 in their last 37 vs. a team with a losing record
• Brewers are 38-14 in their last 52 Saturday games
• Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 games as a favorite
• Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 overall
• Under is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter
• Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 Saturday games
• Braves are 21-10 in the last 31 head-to-head meetings in Atlanta
• Braves are 14-3 in their last 17 games following a loss
• Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog
• Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 games as a home underdog
• Over is 5-2 in Braves last 7 home games

How to Watch Brewers vs Braves

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Predictions

Brewers Roll, Atlanta Trying to Make One Last Push

There was a time where offense was a problem for Milwaukee this season. That feels like a very, very long time ago for Brewers fans. Down 4-0 after the first — with ace Corbin Burnes on the mound no less — Milwaukee never waivered, instead scoring four runs in separate innings en route to a 9-5 win.

The Brewers aren’t doing it with big names, or big hitters — they’re just getting timely contributions all the way throughout the lineup. Willie Adames has a team-high 3.1 WAR, Omar Novarez has been one of the best hitting catchers in baseball this year and Kolten Wong has been on fire since last June with an OPS above .900 over the past two months.

And it appears to be contagious — on Friday the newest Brewer, Eduardo Escobar had quite the team debut: walking twice, hitting a home run in the ninth inning and scoring a game-high three runs.

Atlanta meanwhile continues to alter wins and losses — that’s 15 straight games where it hasn’t had consecutive victories or defeats. And despite being below .500 with fewer than 60 games to play in the season, the Braves aren’t in a terrible spot, just four games back of the Mets for the division lead.

Milwaukee with the Pitching Advantage

His numbers aren’t as dominant as they once were earlier in the season, but Brandon Woodruff has been the ace the Brewers have needed in the 2021 season.

Woodruff is 7-5 overall, leads baseball in WHIP (0.84) is second in ERA (2.14) and is tied for eighth with 146 strikeouts in 126 innings. That said, Woodruff hasn’t been as sharp the past two months.

After posting a microscopic 1.07 ERA across six starts in the month of May– he averaged seven innings per outing — he’s had a 3.29 ERA in nine appearances in June and July. During that time he’s watched his season-long ERA balloon by 0.87 runs and after holding opponents to two runs or fewer in 12 of his first 13 starts, he’s done so in just four of his last seven.

He faces off against rookie Kyle Muller, who has been solid in his first six big league outings. Muller is 2-3 in those appearances, but has an impressive 2.55 ERA and 1.14 WHIP while recording 26 strikeouts in 24.2 innings.

X-factors to Watch

For Atlanta, the key has been finding pitching, not hitting to string wins together. Their 491 runs scored rank in the top 10 in baseball, yet they can’t win because they can’t pitch. Well, guess they’re going to just need more production from that lineup — so let’s focus on red-hot Austin Riley.

Riley is hitting .452 (14-of-31) over the past week with an insane seven home runs and 15 RBIs during that stretch. His slash line of .452/.500/1.194 is almost as ridiculous as his OPS during this stretch — 1.694.

For Milwaukee, we’re looking at Lorenzo Cain. Cain is finally back after missing two months with an injury and didn’t miss a beat against Pittsburgh — he’s 4-of-12 with six RBIs since his return.

If he can be the Cain of old, and not the one who struggled the first three months of this year, Milwaukee goes from a nice story to a true contender.