Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions, Odds, Picks

Written by: Tony Garcia
Updated October 14, 2022
5 min read
Brewers Vs Reds
  • Interesting pitching dynamic on the mound
  • Can Reds catch Brewers in the second half?
  • X-factor to watch on both sides

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds  Odds

Odds presented by: DraftKings Sportsbook

Team Run Spread Money Line Total
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+145)
O 8 (-105)
Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (-175)
U 8 (-117)

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Trends to Watch

  • Brewers are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
  • Brewers are 12-4 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Brewers are 37-15 in their last 52 Saturday games
  • Brewers are 15-7 in their last 22 road games
  • Brewers are 3-6 in their last 9 overall
  • Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 overall
  • Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Under is 37-13-2 in Brewers last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning record
  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 head-to-head meetings
  • Reds are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 Saturday games
  • Reds are 9-2 in their last 11 overall.
  • Under is 9-1 in Reds last 10 vs. National League Central
  • Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 10-12 in Reds last 12 vs. a team with a winning record

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions and Picks

Our Pick

We’re going to take the under in this one and the Reds with the spread.

The best odds for this match

Odds provided by DraftKings

U 8 (-117)
Bet Now

Garcia’s 2021 record: (36-31-2)

How to Watch Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Brewers vs Reds Information
Teams Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds
Location Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Time Saturday, July 17, 7:10  p.m. EST
How to watch Bally Sports Ohio, Bally Sports Wisconsin, MLB.TV

Interesting Dynamic on Pitching Mound

Brandon Woodruff and the Brewers get set for game two post-all star break against Luis Castillo and the Cincinnati Reds.

But while a few years ago Luis Castillo was viewed as the pitcher with more upside, Woodruff has had the much better season to this point.

Castillo is having the worst year of his career to this point — he has a 3-10 record, 4.65 ERA, 1.41 WHIP with just 96 strikeouts in 102.2 innings — but there’s absolutely reasonable to think he’s getting back to his old ways.

He was great in June, going 2-2 with a 1.71 ERA in five starts. He’s also been very good this month, posting a 2.41 ERA through three starts. However, he certainly has no secrets against Milwaukee — this is his fifth time facing the Brew Crew this year.

His best start of the bunch was seven innings of shutout ball in a 2-1 win on June 15th, his worst start was when he gave up five runs in five innings toward the end of June.

As for Woodruff, he’s been consistent all year and is on the list of NL Cy Young candidates to watch. Woodruff is 7-4 overall, ranks third in the league in WHIP (0.82), fourth in ERA (2.04), and 11th in strikeouts (129).

He’s somehow faced the Reds just once this year and that was his final start before the break. He went six innings and did give up nine hits, but that only resulted in one run in a no-decision.

Can Reds Catch Brewers in the Second Half?

It’s amazing how much can change in a week in baseball. Just more than a week ago Milwaukee had an eight-game lead on Cincinnati and was riding high after an unbelievable two-week stretch going 12-1.

Well, since then, Cincinnati has gone 6-3, Milwaukee is 3-6, and the lead is down to five games. That’s counting yesterday’s 11-6 Milwaukee win.

The question now is whether or not Milwaukee is going to take control over this division that has four teams within eight games of the lead — all of which had aspirations and maybe even expectations to make the postseason.

X-factor to Watch on Each Side

If the Brewers are going to win this division, they’re going to need more from the 2019 NL MVP runner-up Christian Yelich. Yelich hasn’t been the same since that breakout season and he’s really struggling this year.

Yelich is hitting .236 with just five home runs and 26 RBIs on the year, but it’s been worse than that in July. The lefty is hitting just .189 (7-of-37) with one RBI this month.

For the Reds, we will see if Joey Votto can be the added punch this lineup needs to compliment Nick Castellanos and Jesse Winker.

Votto has heated up in July — he’s batting .270 with a .413 OBP this month and has brought his batting average up more than 40 points the last two months.

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Tony Garcia

Sports Betting Analyst

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Tony writes about baseball for after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.
Nationality: American
Education: M.A. in Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: ClutchBet Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: FanDuel Casino
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