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Odds Courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
These teams are relatively evenly matched, but we give the edge to the Brewers tonight. They’ll have ace Corbin Burnes on the mound, who has been lights out at home, despite his sub-average season stats. While Burnes has struggled a bit, he has been far better than Orioles starter Dean Kramer. Expect to see the Brewers jump on Kramer early, giving Burnes the breathing room he needs to cruise to a win for the Crew.
The Orioles have had an incredible start to 2023, but they have hit a rough patch over the last few weeks. They have not been able to string together consecutive wins the last few weeks, thanks mainly to some pitching woes. Their offense has continued to be fantastic, but they’ll face a challenge tonight with Burnes on the mound for Milwaukee. Expect their bats to be quiet, which will cost them the game.
Dean Kremer (6-2, 4.43 ERA) will take the mound for Baltimore tonight. The starter had a solid 2022 campaign but has struggled this season. While things have started to turn around for him over the last few weeks, it hasn’t been pretty. His inability to keep runners off the basepaths resulted in a 1.42 WHIP. The Milwaukee offense has been better of late, and they will be raising Kremers’ ERA even higher tonight.
The Orioles' offense has the seventh most runs in the MLB, but they rank outside the top ten in most other offensive categories. They don’t hit many home runs and have a batting average that ranks in the middle of the league. That won’t be enough to dominate a pitcher like Corbin Burnes, who the Orioles own a combined .200 batting average against. Expect a quiet night leading to a loss in Milwaukee.
While we may not be sure if the Brewers are actually good, we do know they have been playing well recently. They took three of their four games against the Reds last week, with the offense coming alive to score 20 runs. They hadn’t scored that many runs in their previous eight games combined, showing how big of a turnaround the series was for the Brewer bats. While they can go cold at any moment, they’ll have the support of their ace on the mound tonight.
Corbin Burnes (4-4, 3.75 ERA) will get the start for the Brew Crew tonight. He faced this Baltimore team last season and threw seven scoreless innings, allowing just three hits. The Orioles are a combined 7-35 against Burnes, with five of those hits coming from Adam Frazier. That means the rest of the lineup has just two hits against the former Cy Young winner, making the Brewers' moneyline an easy bet tonight.
The Brewers' offense was fantastic to start the season, but things have changed quickly. They now rank toward the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and runs. They have lived and died by the home run ball, with a lineup filled with players that can go deep. They will be facing an Orioles starter that has not looked great in 2023, giving them a chance to put up another big night.
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Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.More info on Michael Savio
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