Image for Tony Garcia Tony Garcia - October 14, 2022

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Predictions, Odds & Picks

Rays Vs Red Sox
  • Red Sox trying to hold onto Wild Card spot
  • Even pitching matchup should lead to tight game
  • X-factors to watch

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Odds

Odds presented by: DraftKings Sportsbook

Team Run Spread Money Line Total
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (-145)
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-110
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O 9.5 (-1)
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Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+165)
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-110
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U 9.5 (-1)
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Rays vs Red Sox Predictions and Picks

Tampa is one of the best road teams in baseball, while Boston has been great at home prior to this series. The Rays continue to just dominate with the best record in baseball the past two months, but Boston is desperate to win and isn’t going to get swept out of Fenway. We like Boston Moneyline.

Pick:

Red Sox 

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Garcia’s 2021 record: (50-46-2)

Trends to watch (As of 9.8)

  • Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record
  • Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Rays are 19-5 in their last 24 road games
  • Rays are 40-12 in their last 52 vs. American League East
  • Rays are 41-15 in their last 56 overall
  • Rays are 24-9 in their last 33 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Over is 10-1 in Rays last 11 games as an underdog
  • Rays are 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in Boston
  • Rays are 11-3 in the last 14 head-to-head meetings
  • Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5
  • Red Sox are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a left-handed starter
  • Red Sox are 5-11 in their last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter
  • Red Sox are 9-4 in their last 13 home games
  • Over is 9-1 in Red Sox last 10 home games
  • Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite

Wild Card Race Coming Down to the Wire

It’s the best time of year in baseball as the postseason push is underway. Every game throughout the year counts — but everything is heightened when there are just a few weeks left and the Red Sox find themselves in a precarious position.

Losers of three in a row, Boston is now in second in what is an incredibly tight Wild Card race, just half a game back of Boston. Though the Blue Jays, who won on Tuesday are now just two games back, while the Mariners trail by two-and-a-half games and the Athletics are three out.

For most of the season, the Red Sox seemed like a lock for October. Now, it’s incredibly dicey.

The major question for Boston all year has been the pitching staff and during the last three games they’ve been absolutely terrible, surrender 34 runs as a team over the past three games.

The good news for the Rays — they don’t have to worry about a Wild Card race. The AL East crown hasn’t been placed on Tampa’s metaphorical head, but that’s a formality at this point with a 9.5 game lead and just more than three weeks remaining.

Tampa has done it by winning on the road — 19-5 in its last 24 games.

Tampa has done it by winning against the best teams — 24-9 in the last 33 vs. teams over .500.

Tampa has done it by winning against its rivals — 41-15 in the last 56 division games.

Even Pitching Matchup Should Lead To Tight Game

Despite what’s happened in recent nights to Boston, this game should be relatively tightly contested considering both squads have pitchers in the middle of solid seasons on the mound.

The Rays go with lefty Shane McClanahan, who will look to bounce back after suffering a loss against these same Red Sox a week ago. Overall, the 24-year-old has been rock solid for Tampa. From Cape Coral, Fla. McClanahan is 9-5 on the season with a 3.76 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 125 strikeouts in 105.1 innings.

That rough outing against Boston snapped a month of great performances as he went a perfect 5-0 and finished with a 2.76 ERA, racking up three quality starts and striking out 33 in 29.1 innings.

For Boston, it’s Nathan Eovaldi, who has been above average as well. The 31-year-old is 10-8 this season, entering the game with a 3.73 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and 163 strikeouts in 156.2 innings.

Eovaldi has been consistent all year long, finishing four of the first five months of the season with an ERA below four and going five innings or longer, and giving up three runs or fewer in nine of his last 12 starts.

X-Factors to Watch

We’re picking the ageless wonder for Tampa Bay in Nelson Cruz. He became the oldest player (41) to hit 30 home runs in a season yesterday after belting a 410-foot shot in the third inning. He had a huge day, going 4-of-5 with three runs scored and four RBIs.

For Boston, We’re looking for someone who is good against lefties and the man is Bobby Dalbec. He flies under the radar, but the power-hitting first baseman does well against southpaws, hitting .272 (41-of-147) with six home runs, 31 RBIs, and a .817 OPS.

How to Watch Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Information
Teams Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
Location Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
Time Wednesday, Sept. 8, 7:10 p.m. EST
How to watch Bally Sports Sun, New England Sports Network, MLB.TV

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AUTHOR

Tony Garcia

188 Articles

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.

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