Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Predictions: Cleveland Will Send Triston McKenzie to the Mound for Game One

Written by: Max Heering
Updated October 14, 2022
6 min read
  • The Chicago White Sox are 5-2 in their last seven games.
  • The Cleveland Guardians are 7-3 over their last ten games.
  • The Guardians are 8-5 against the White Sox this season.

White Sox vs Guardians Odds

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White Sox Vs Guardians 2022 8 19

Moneyline Analysis

The Chicago White Sox will spar with the Cleveland Guardians in the first game of a three-game series. These teams play in the same division and often have a heated rivalry. Cleveland has had the upper hand this season, but not by much; they have beaten the White Sox eight times in 13 games.

The Guardians have a 63-55 record and are in first place in the AL Central. They are having a strong season but are in the weakest division in baseball. If Cleveland played in the AL East, they would be in fourth place. Their opponents from two states over, the White Sox, are having an underwhelming season but are still sitting above .500. They have a 61-58 record and are in third place in the AL Central and three games out of the third Wild Card spot. If Chicago sweeps the Guardians in this series, there is a chance they could take control of first place.

These teams had two very different games last night. The Guardians beat the Detroit Tigers 8-4, and the White Sox were obliterated by the Houston Astros 21-5. Cal Quantrill got the start for the Guardians. He is having a solid season but did not bring his best stuff in this game; he gave up four earned runs in six innings. The Guardians were down 4-2 going into the bottom of the eighth but scored six runs (all with two outs) to put them up 8-4. Luke Maile got it all going when he reached first base on a drop third strike. Steven Kwan brought him in on a ground-rule double. Amed Rosario tied the game up at four on an infield single, and Jose Ramirez gave the Guardians the lead with a two-run double. Oscar Gonzales and Owen Miller finished the scoring, each with one RBI. Emmanuel Clase finished out the game, and the Guardians won their 63rd of the year.

The White Sox did not have what it takes in last night’s game. They were down 10-0 in the fourth until Yoan Moncada hit a three-run home run. Houston went on to score two runs in the sixth, one in the seventh, and four runs in the eighth and ninth. Chicago’s pitching was a dumpster fire in this game, but they have an opportunity to redeem themselves tonight.

I have to pick the Indians to win this game. This is not a difficult call; Cleveland is sending a better starting pitcher to the mound in Triston McKenzie, has more momentum than Chicago, and has a better bullpen.

I do not think I need to elaborate on the momentum Cleveland has (and lack of momentum Chicago has), but I will elaborate on Triston McKenzie. McKenzie is putting together an impressive season as the Guardians’ #2 starter. He has not received a lot of run support, so he has an 8-9 record, but his stuff has been dominant. McKenzie has a 3.14 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP (tied for the seventh-lowest in the league). He is also throwing deep into games and averaging over six innings a start.

The White Sox are sending Lance Lynn to the mound. Lynn was an All-Star last year but is having a disappointing season this one. He has a 3-5 record and 5.62 ERA. If you think those numbers are troubling, you should also know he has an 0-3 away record with a 7.46 ERA on the road.

Bet on the Guardians’ moneyline. They have much more to offer in this game than the White Sox.

Over/Under Analysis

The over/under for this game comes in at 7.5 runs. Both of these teams have strong lineups, so I would pick the over. The White Sox average 4.24 runs a game, and the Guardians average 4.37 runs a game, so it is safe to say these teams know how to hit.

The White Sox offense will struggle a little more because they are going up against a tougher starter, but they will not be shut out.

Bet on these teams’ bats and bet on the over.

Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Picks

Cleveland Guardians beat Chicago White Sox 6-4

Guardians cover the spread, Over 7.5 runs.

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Injury Report

Team Player POS Status
White Sox Leury Garcia 2B Day-to-Day
White Sox Luis Robert CF Day-to-Day
White Sox Johan Dominguez RP Day-to-Day
White Sox Tanner McDougal SP Day-to-Day
White Sox Tim Anderson SS 10-Day IL
White Sox Aaron Bummer RP 15-Day IL
White Sox Kyle Crick RP 15-Day IL
Guardians Joey Cantillo RP Day-to-Day
Guardians Luis Oviedo SP Day-to-Day
Guardians Marcos Gonzales SS Day-to-Day
Guardians Daniel Espino SP Day-to-Day
Guardians Ethan Hankins SP Day-to-Day

Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Predictions

This series has huge implications for both teams, so I would recommend watching it.

I would look out for Jose Abreu for the White Sox and Jose Ramirez for the Guardians. Abreu is not having his strongest season, but he has been very valuable for the White Sox. He has a .306 average and has drawn 51 walks this season; he simply knows how to get on base. Ramirez is a top-five hitter in the American League this year; his 98 RBIs are the third-most in baseball, and his .885 OPS is the tenth-highest. More importantly, he has become an incredibly entertaining player to watch.

Bet on the Guardians’ moneyline, Guardians to cover the spread, and on the over.

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How To Watch White Sox vs Guardians

Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Information
What Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians
Where Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio
When Friday, August 19, 7:10 PM EST
How to Watch MLB.TV, MLB Extra Innings, NBC Sports Chicago, Bally Sports Great Lakes

 

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Max Heering graduated from the University of Kansas Sport Management program in May 2020. Max follows and writes about the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, MLS, college football, and college basketball. In his free time, you can catch Max draining threes on the basketball court.
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