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Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook
Winner | Odds |
Chase Elliott | +1000 BET HERE |
Ryan Blaney | +1200 BET HERE |
Denny Hamlin | +1200 BET HERE |
Bubba Wallace | +1200 BET HERE |
Ross Chastain | +1300 BET HERE |
Kyle Larson | +1300 BET HERE |
Joey Logano | +1300 BET HERE |
William Byron | +1300 BET HERE |
Kyle Busch | +1500 BET HERE |
Austin Cindric | +1500 BET HERE |
Martin Truex Jr. | +1800 BET HERE |
Daniel Suarez | +2000 BET HERE |
Tyler Reddick | +2000 BET HERE |
Alex Bowman | +2200 BET HERE |
Bubba Wallace to win the race at +1200
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. to finish in the top three at +800
Tyler Reddick to beat Martin Truex Jr. head-to-head at -105
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On July 23 at Pocono Raceway, 23XI Racing driver Kurt Busch spun in Turn 3 during qualifying and slammed into the outside wall.
As it turned out, that accident would change the Playoff picture in the NASCAR Cup Series. Busch suffered a head injury and developed concussion-like symptoms and was not cleared to race the following day.
Nor was he cleared for subsequent events. Busch, who already had qualified for the postseason with a victory at Kansas Speedway, announced on Thursday that he was withdrawing his request for a medical exemption, and hence, was withdrawing from the Playoff.
That leaves two spots open, rather than one. And it leaves 23XI Racing without a driver in the postseason.
Enter Bubba Wallace, who must win on Saturday night to secure one of the two remaining Playoff spots. Wallace has the credentials to do so. In 10 starts at Daytona International Speedway, he has posted four top fives, three of which are runner-up results.
In fact, Wallace has finished second in each of his last two Daytona starts. We think he’ll improve by one position on Saturday and take the place of his injured teammate in the Playoff.
If you make the play at +1200, you’ll be rewarded, too.
For the last few weeks, Ryan Blaney and Martin Truex Jr. have been fighting each other for the final Playoff spot, but with Kurt Busch’s exit due to injury, both drivers are suddenly above the cut line.
Consequently, the battle between the two winless drivers has lost some of its intensity, but they still must dodge the possibility of another winless driver below them in the standings winning the Coke Zero Sugar 400 and stealing one of the two remaining spots.
Either Blaney or Truex will make the Playoff, and Blaney holds a commanding 25-point lead entering the final regular-season race. Not only that—Blaney has a much better record than Truex on superspeedways.
Blaney has a win at Daytona and two at sister track Talladega. Truex has never won a superspeedway race.
We don’t think you’ll find either Blaney or Truex in Victory Lane this weekend. What’s more, we like Playoff-bound Tyler Reddick to beat Truex head-to-head at -105.
If Bubba Wallace wins on Saturday, he’ll knock either Ryan Blaney or Martin Truex Jr. out of the Playoff—most likely Truex given the size of Blaney’s points advantage.
But Wallace isn’t the only driver who could play spoiler. Aric Almirola, Brad Keselowski, Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Austin Dillon, Erik Jones, Justin Haley and Michael McDowell are winless this year—but all have won a NASCAR Cup points race at Daytona.
Add to that list Keselowski’s teammate Chris Buescher, who has shown speed lately and who won one of the two non-points 150-mile qualifying races at Daytona to start the 2022 season.
Of the group, we like Stenhouse, who’s always fast on superspeedways, to finish in the top three at a tasty +800.
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Race | Coke Zero Sugar 400 NASCAR Cup Series race |
Location | Daytona International Speedway |
Time | Saturday, August 27, 7 p.m. ET |
How to Watch | NBC |
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Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]
More info on Reid Spencer
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