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The NBA's Monday Playoff schedule features just two games, but there are plenty of intriguing player props to watch!
When the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat face off, Bam Adebayo aims to retain control of the glass. And with an eye on his scoring output, Jimmy Butler's assist totals don't project to bounce back in Game 4.
Xavier Tillman has proven to be an invaluable contributor on the boards for the Memphis Grizzlies against the Los Angeles Lakers. And the Lakers hope Rui Hachimura can maintain his position as the playoffs' top bench scorer.
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Bam Adebayo hasn't been the most dominant force for the Miami Heat in this year's NBA Playoffs, but his willingness to get on the glass is always felt - especially on their home court. At Caesars Sportsbook, Adebayo is a +100 to clear 9.5 rebounds when he faces the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 4. Adebayo's momentum will carry over in his next home game after his best rebounding performance of the series.
On the season, Adebayo averaged 20.4 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 3.2 assists on 54.0% from the field. However, through the Heat's First Round series, he's averaged 17.3 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 4.3 assists on 52.3% from the field. While his scoring rate has dropped off through each successive game, he did bounce back from a 5 rebound performance in Game 2 with his 11-board night in Game 3.
Despite his below-par performance so far, Adebayo averaged 19.5 points, 10.8 rebounds, and 3.0 assists on 50.0% from the field through four regular season games against Milwaukee. Adebayo cleared 9.5 rebounds in 32 of his 75 appearances on the season. It will be challenging for him to collect 10 or more rebounds in Game 4, but he's in great form, and the uncertain status of Giannis Antetokounmpo makes this bet a likely hit.
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Jimmy Butler continues to lead the Miami Heat to victory with his efficient scoring output. Despite a double-digit assist night in Game 1, Butler's scoring focus has seen his passing production drop off. At bet365, Butler is a +125 to fall short of 5.5 assists when he plays the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday night.
On the season, Butler averaged 22.9 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 5.3 assists on 53.9% from the field and 35.0% from three-point range. He's been fantastic in Miami's First Round playoff series, averaging 30.0 points, 6.0 assists, and 4.3 rebounds on 60.3% from the field and 66.7% from three-point range. While averaging over 5.5 assists on the series, he fell short through Games 2 and 3, with his per game being propped up by 11 assists in Game 1.
Butler is a strong playmaker, clearing 5.5 assists in 30 of his 64 appearances this season. In four games against the Bucks this season, Butler posted averages of just 22.0 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 1.8 assists on 53.4% from the field and 40.0% from range. Butler doesn't project to engage his playmaking further in Game 4 so expect the under to hit on Monday night.
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Xavier Tillman has seen his role expand as Memphis' First Round has worn on and has been productive given the opportunity. At DraftKings Sportsbook, Tillman is a +110 to clear 8.5 rebounds when he faces the Los Angeles Lakers in Game 4. After back-to-back games as Memphis' main option beside Jackson Jr. in the frontcourt, expect Tillman to keep up his production.
Tillman was a modest contributor through the regular season, averaging 7.0 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 1.6 assists on 61.4% from the field and 26.7% from the three-point range. Through three First Round games against the Lakers, Tillman has posted 10.0 points, 9.3 rebounds, and 2.7 assists per game on 63.6% from the field and 50.0% from three. After a modest 3 rebound effort in Game 1, Tillman bounced back to collect 25 rebounds between Games 2 and 3 alone.
In just two regular-season games against the Lakers, Tillman averaged 14.5 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 2.0 assists on 53.8% from the field. Showing flashes of production through the season, Tillman cleared 8.5 rebounds in 11 of his 61 appearances in just 19.3 minutes per game this season. Tillman has demonstrated that he can be productive against the Lakers' frontcourt, so expect him to maintain his form and clear 8.5 rebounds in Game 4.
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Rui Hachimura continues to be one of the Lakers' most productive players, to the point that he is leading scorers off the bench in the 2023 NBA Playoffs. While he's not been a prolific three-point shooter throughout the season, Hachimura's form is promising. At PointsBet, Hachimura is a +130 to clear 1.5 threes when he faces the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 4.
Since joining the Lakers this season, Hachimura averaged 9.6 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 0.6 threes per game on 48.5% from the field and 29.6% from deep. In three matches against the Grizzlies this post-season, Hachimura has posted 21.7 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 3.0 threes made per game on 66.7% from the field and 75.0% from three. While he's been given plenty of opportunity from three based on his averages, Hachimura projects to maintain his form and clear 1.5 threes with ease.
The Japanese international has not been a consistent three-point shooter through the regular season, hitting two or more threes in just 13 of his 63 appearances this season. In four games against the Grizzlies, Hachimura averaged 11.0 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 1.0 threes per game on 48.6% from the field and 40.0% from three in four regular-season appearances. Memphis is allowing Hachimura to shoot, and he's punished them, don't expect his form to dip in Game 4 at home against the Grizzlies.
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Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Email: [email protected]
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