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Best NBA Prop Bets Today | NBA Player Props, May 11

Written by: Christian Jope
Published May 11, 2023
5 min read
NBA Player Props May 11

There are two games on the NBA's Thursday night schedule, and there's a possibility of elimination on both sides. We've found the most exciting player props for you to watch!

The Boston Celtics trail the Philadelphia 76ers 2-3, and it's all on the line for the 2022 NBA Finals Runners-Up. Al Horford has been decently productive for the Celtics through this series, but his shooting has been off outside of one particular night. James Harden has shown off his all-around play, and it'll be crucial once again if he hopes to help his Sixers progress to the next round.

The Denver Nuggets can take down the Phoenix Suns and progress to the Western Conference Finals with a win. Jamal Murray will be just as crucial as Nikola Jokic if the Nuggets want to find a win in Game 6. And while Kevin Durant's offensive output is always a lingering threat, his defensive presence has been almost as valuable.

Let's check out the bets!

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers: Best Prop Bets

Al Horford Threes Made Under 1.5 (+102) @ FanDuel Sportsbook

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Al Horford is a savvy and influential player for the Boston Celtics, but his three-point shooting has been inconsistent throughout this series. At FanDuel Sportsbook, Horford is a +102 to fall short of 1.5 threes when he faces the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 6 of his Eastern Conference Second-Round series. As his Celtics try to stave off elimination, Horford has yet to show the consistency to be a threat from three-point range.

On the season, Horford has averaged 9.8 points, 6.2 rebounds, 3.0 assists, and 2.3 threes per game on 47.6% from the field and 44.6% from three-point range. Against the Sixers, Horford has averaged 8.6 points, 6.4 rebounds, 3.0 assists, and 1.8 threes on 38.1% from the field and 27.3% from deep. His most recent game was his worst of the series, posting zero points, five rebounds, and four assists as he failed to convert on seven attempts from the field.

Through 63 regular season games, Horford failed to hit at least two threes 20 times. In the 2023 NBA Playoffs, Horford has been unable to clear 1.5 threes in five of his 11 appearances. Shooting just 27.8% against the Sixers this series, Philadelphia has figured out Horford, and he doesn't project to get back on track in Game 6.

James Harden Rebounds Over 6.5 (+110) @ FanDuel Sportsbook

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James Harden may be known for his scoring prowess, but he's shown through the NBA Playoffs that he can be equally impactful on different areas of the court. At FanDuel Sportsbook, Harden is a +110 to clear 6.5 rebounds when he faces the Boston Celtics in Game 6 of his Eastern Conference Semi-Final series. With Embiid leading the scoring effort, Harden has done his utmost to support the Sixers on the glass.

On the season, Harden averaged 21.0 points, 10.7 assists, and 6.1 rebounds on 44.1% from the field and 38.5% from three-point range. Against the Celtics this post-season, Harden is averaging 26.4 points, 8.0 assists, and 6.6 rebounds on 47.2% from the field and 42.1% from three-point range. His last performance produced 17 points, ten assists, and eight rebounds on 50.0% from the floor and 50.0% from three with one made.

Harden has cleared 6.5 rebounds in 27 of his 58 regular season appearances. Against the Boston Celtics, Harden has collected seven or more rebounds in three of his five matches. Given the opportunity to eliminate the Celtics and advance to the Eastern Conference Finals, Harden projects to clear 6.5 rebounds as he supports the targeted Embiid in the paint.

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns: Best Prop Bets

Jamal Murray Assists Over 6.5 (+105) @ DraftKings Sportsbook

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Jamal Murray remains the second-in-command for the Denver Nuggets as they aim to eliminate their opponents and push for the Western Conference Finals. Still a point guard at heart, Murray's playmaking has been just as valuable as his scoring through the NBA Playoffs. At DraftKings Sportsbook, Murray is a +105 to clear 6.5 assists when he faces the Phoenix Suns in Game 6 of their Western Conference Second-Round series.

On the season, Murray averaged 20.0 points, 6.2 assists, and 4.0 rebounds on 45.4% from the field and 39.8% from three-point range. Against the Phoenix Suns this post-season, Murray has averaged 24.6 points, 7.0 assists, and 5.0 rebounds on 45.4% from the field and 31.3% from three-point range. His last game saw Murray produce 19 points, six assists, and five rebounds on 46.7% from the floor and 50.0% from three.

On the season, Murray has cleared 6.5 assists in 28 of his 65 regular season appearances. Murray has also collected seven or more assists in three of his five games against the Suns this post-season. In an elimination game where the Suns will do their utmost to limit Nikola Jokic, expect Murray to make up the difference in playmaking to clear 6.5 assists and push for the Western Conference Finals.

Kevin Durant Blocks Over 1.5 (+145) @ DraftKings Sportsbook

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Kevin Durant's offensive production will always be crucial to his team's success, but his defensive output has been equally valuable in important moments. At DraftKings Sportsbook, Durant is a +145 to clear 1.5 blocks when he faces the Denver Nuggets in Game 6 of their Western Conference Final Semi-Finals series. Durant will be most engaged in an elimination game on both ends.

On the season, Durant averaged 29.1 points, 6.7 rebounds, 5.0 assists, and 1.4 blocks per game in 47 regular season appearances. Against the Denver Nuggets this post-season, Durant has averaged 30.8 points, 10.6 rebounds, 5.0 assists, and 1.8 blocks per game on 45.8% from the field and 22.2% from three-point range. His most recent performance saw him contribute 26 points, 11 rebounds, seven assists, and one block on 41.7% from the field and no threes made.

Durant blocked two or more shots in 23 of his 47 appearances through the regular season. He's also cleared 1.5 blocks in five of his ten post-season games this year. As the Suns' designated help defender against the Nuggets, expect Durant to use his length to limit his opponents at the rim and clear 1.5 blocks on the night.

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Christian Jope

Sports Betting Analyst

Betting Picks
Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Applied Economics)
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
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