Best NBA Predictions Today: Could the Knicks Run Away with the NBA Finals?

The San Antonio Spurs have reached the point of no return in the NBA Finals. After opening the finals as the favorites, San Antonio has lost the first two games of the series at home, putting the Spurs in a tough spot ahead of Monday’s Game 3 at Madison Square Garden. Can the Spurs turn the tide and make this a series again, or will the Knicks drop the hammer in front of their home fans? Check out our best Game 3 predictions below.

With momentum shifting rapidly, the updated NBA Championship odds now reflect New York's sudden surge as the team to beat.

Best NBA Predictions for Monday, June 8

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Knicks Beat Spurs by 2.5 in Game 3 (Yes, 49%)

After winning the first two games of the series, it’s hard to envision the Knicks letting up and not finishing the job. They have a world of confidence and momentum, not to mention the full support of the Madison Square Garden faithful. Admittedly, the Spurs are a good team, which is why the spread is only 2.5 points. Despite the Knicks escaping with a one-point win in Game 2, we’ll swallow 2.5 points for a team that’s on a 13-game winning streak.

San Antonio’s problem has been missed opportunities. The Spurs have played well and taken early leads in both games of this series. But they haven’t been able to put together a full 48 minutes and hold onto those leads. If they couldn’t get the job done at home, it’ll be that much tougher for them to play a complete game on the road, so we have to side with the Knicks to take care of business in Game 3.

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Knicks vs Spurs Over 216.5 Total Points in Game 3 (No, 53%)

The first two games of this series have fallen well below the point total, and that feels like a trend that will continue. Both sides have been good about making defensive adjustments to the other team’s strengths. As a result, there don’t appear to be too many secrets that either team can exploit. This has made it difficult for both teams to eclipse 100 points, much less score significantly more than that.

Even the Knicks have seen their dynamic offense slowed by San Antonio’s defense. They were routinely scoring 115+ points during their playoff run. But against the Spurs, they’ve been held to 25 points or less in three of eight quarters. Likewise, the Spurs have been held to 25 points or less in four of eight quarters during this series. Unless that trend suddenly changes, the under feels like the safest bet for Game 3.

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Karl-Anthony Towns 20+ Points in Game 3 (Yes, 43%)

It’s obvious to everyone watching that Towns is playing the best basketball of his career right now. Even against an elite rim protector like Victor Wembanyama, Towns is getting what he wants offensively. He has the power to bully Wembanyama inside, while also showing off a good shooting touch for the perimeter. Towns is even running the floor well and getting easy buckets in transition at times.

In the playoffs, Towns is averaging a modest 17.3 points per game. But his efficiency has been outstanding, and he’s coming off a 21-point performance in Game 2. This is by no means a guarantee, as that was just the second time Towns has hit 20+ points since the first round of the playoffs. But given how well he’s playing right now and the odds available, he’s a player you want to be on for Game 3. 

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Dylan Harper 15+ Points in Game 3 (Yes, 44%)

Harper has been outstanding coming off the bench for the Spurs throughout the playoffs, and there’s no reason to believe that will change now. Keep in mind that he’s from the New York area, so playing at Madison Square Garden will be something of a homecoming for him. In a familiar environment with his team in need of a win, Harper is one player who should be at his best in Game 3.

He’s scored at least 15 points in each of the first two games of the NBA Finals, hitting that number in three of his last four games. Despite shooting just 1 for 7 from the perimeter, Harper has been an efficient scorer and one player the Knicks haven’t figured out how to stop defensively. Coming off the bench doesn’t seem to be an issue for Harper either. He’s averaged 30 minutes per game over the first two games, so Harper should continue to get enough minutes in Game 3 to score 15+ points yet again.

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