Best NBA Prop Bets Today: NBA Player Props for Monday 11/6/23
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The Toronto Raptors tied a franchise record with a 19-point halftime comeback as Victor Wembanyama’s 20 points and five blocks weren’t enough for the San Antonio Spurs, while the Memphis Grizzlies got their first of the year against the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday.
Let’s take a look at our favorite NBA player props for Monday night.
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Tyrese Haliburton over 21.5 points (-118) at FanDuel
Haliburton dropped 43 points and eight threes on the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday and now gets to meet Wemby and the Spurs for the first time this season. He’s only hit the over on this total one time in five games, but bear with us for a moment.
The 23-year-old is taking a career-high 16.6 field goal attempts per game and has 49/40/92 shooting splits. The Pacers and Spurs rank sixth and second in possessions per game, and the Spurs allow the second-best field goal percentage to opponents, so he’s in a strong position to thrive.
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Kelly Oube Jr. under 17.5 points (-118) at FanDuel
Oubre Jr. is playing the best basketball of his career, but as much as Philadelphia 76ers fans might hope it continues forever, he will come back down to earth soon. The former Kansas Jayhawk is putting up 21 points per night while shooting 53.6% from the field and 44.8% from three, all of which are career-highs (and by a wide margin as far as efficiency).
The Sixers needed someone with Oubre Jr.’s versatility and skillset, and while he will be a great piece for them, he won’t continue to shoot 11% better than his career average from three. We’re getting ahead of the trend and watching for regression to the mean.
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Jalen Duren under 10.5 rebounds (+100) at FanDuel
Duren, at only 19 years old, might be the best rebounder in the game. So why bet his under? Aside from only grabbing five and seven rebounds in two of his last three games (which lowered his season average to 11.5 boards per game), his minutes have fallen because of foul trouble.
The Detroit Pistons are facing the Golden State Warriors on Monday, and his defensive discipline will really be put to the test. The Warriors are also known for forcing opposing teams to go small and take their centers off the court, which obviously doesn’t bode well for Duren’s prop lines. Plus, threes lead to long rebounds away from the hoop, and the Warriors are seventh in threes attempted per game.
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Paul George 25+ points (+150) at FanDuel
Monday is expected to mark James Harden’s Clippers debut, but that should go to the benefit of George and the other established scorers in LA. Harden will likely defer and look to be a facilitator instead of a scorer, and after leading the league in assists last year, George should be one of his favorite targets.
PG-13 has scored 25+ points in four of five games and put up 35 his last time on the court. The Clippers have also been out of action since Wednesday and will be well-rested for their game. Our only concern is that they’re playing the New York Knicks, who allow the second-fewest points per game (103.3).
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Trae Young over 23.5 points (-115) at FanDuel
Young has really struggled shooting the ball to start the year (34.6 FG%, 28.2 3P%), but he’s still averaged 21.7 points and scored 20+ in five of six games. He’ll naturally improve with time, but he should also get a boost from playing the Oklahoma City Thunder, who are 24th in points per game allowed.
Young and the Hawks are starting to embody coach Quin Snyder’s philosophy and are fifth in total field goal percentage. That means they’re generating open looks, and it’s only a matter of time before Young snaps out of his slump.
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