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Best NBA Prop Bets Today: NBA Player Props for Thursday 11/16/23

Written by: Grant Mitchell
Published November 16, 2023
8 min read

WSN is the place to get the best NBA player props and betting picks every day throughout the 2023-24 NBA season.

Damian Lillard erupted for 37 points and 13 assists as the Milwaukee Bucks breezed past the Toronto Raptors, while Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics got revenge on the Philadelphia 76ers with a 10-point win on the road.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Thursday.

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Best NBA Prop Bets Today November 16

Bam Adebayo Under 22.5 Points (-125) at FanDuel

Bam is quietly having an excellent start to the season and averaging 23 points and 10.5 rebounds on 52.5% shooting. He frequently goes to a mid-range pull-up or face-up jumper over a smaller defender and plays between the three-point line and restricted area. 

Bam’s primary matchup in this game will be Defensive Player of the Year candidate Nic Claxton, who will make it tough to score. Bam also scored 21 when the Heat played the Nets earlier this month and has gone under in six of 10 games so far.

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Spencer Dinwiddie Under 6.5 Assists (-102) at FanDuel

Dinwiddie is sporadic with his assists numbers. He has six games of four or fewer assists and three of eight or more, but only one between those totals (six). He dished out nine assists his last time out but has hit the under in seven of 10 games and five of his last six.

The Nets are in the bottom half of team field goal percentage and are facing a Miami team that plays tough perimeter defense. Even though the former Colorado Buffalo has had varying levels of success this season, we believe that he’ll struggle to rack up a gaudy assist total on Thursday.

Head over to FanDuel to bet on our picks!

Andrew Wiggins 6+ Rebounds (+150) at FanDuel

Wiggins went from the second-best player on a championship team to someone that looks passive and incapable of scoring the ball. But what a player can always control is their effort level and motivation, and that’s why we like Wiggins to go well over his season rebounding average of four per game.

With Draymond Green out via suspension, Wiggins is going to have to become more of a presence on the glass. He got the memo last game, in which Green was suspended after two minutes, and finished with seven rebounds. His regular line is 4.5 for risk-averse bettors, but there’s value in going above that or playing a ladder.

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Chet Holmgren Over 15.5 Points (-111) at FanDuel

Holmgren only scored nine points in his last game against Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs, but he scored more than 15.5 points in four of six games beforehand and is averaging 15.7 per game for the year. He’s also taking more shots than he did at the start of the year and gets a ton of open looks because of the attention Shai Gilgeous-Alexander attracts from opposing defenses.

With Draymond out of the lineup, Holmgren will face a Golden State Warriors team that is much softer on the inside. He’s also shooting 46.3% from three-point territory, and neither Kevon Looney nor Dario Saric will be jumping for joy having to step out to guard him on the perimeter.

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Klay Thompson Over 21.5 Points (-108) at FanDuel

The Klay breakout game simply has to happen tonight, or the Warriors are toast. The second half of the Splash Brothers is yet to score 20 points in a game this season and is shooting a career-worst 34.2% from long range. However, coming off an ejection two minutes into the last game, we expect Klay to come out with rage in his eyes and put up strong numbers.

Steph Curry will miss Thursday’s game with a knee injury, but Klay scored 26.4 points per game in 20 games without his point guard last year. Chris Paul is also a notorious pass-first player and will feed Klay tons of looks, which should give him the volume to go over.

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Grant Mitchell

538 Articles

Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field.

In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.

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