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Monday wasn’t kind to the LA teams as the Philadelphia 76ers walloped the Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points, while the Los Angeles Clippers fell at home to a Denver Nuggets team down Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray.
Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.
Williams, quiet as kept, has become a very strong role player in Charlotte. The second-year Duke product is averaging 13.5 points and 10.1 rebounds and recorded double-digit rebounds in three of his last five games (and grabbed 15+ boards in each of those three).
The New York Knicks are the best rebounding team in the league—but while that might lower the ceiling for Williams’ teammates, he should spend more time than usual on the court and be under specific instruction to clean the glass as best as possible. The Knicks are also playing with more pace and taking more threes than they did previously, which should lead to more rebounding opportunities.
Lopez only scored 10 points his last time on the court, but he poured in 39 and 28 the two games before. He’s attempting his most three-pointers per game since the 2018-19 season and has a chance to make a huge impact because of the matchup at hand.
The Milwaukee Bucks are taking on the Miami Heat, who have done a great job walling up and flustering Giannis Antetokounmpo in the past. Bam Adebayo should also spend a ton of time guarding Giannis, which should leave Lopez free to float out to the three-point line for a three-point barrage. Miami is also fifth in three-point shooting, so Milwaukee will need to bury long rangers to keep up.
Holmgren has been more active on the boards than he was to start the year and has boosted his rebounding average to 8.0. But despite snatching 10+ boards in three of his last five, he’s gone under 7.5 in six of his last nine.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are taking on the Minnesota Timberwolves, who have one of the league’s best rebounders, Rudy Gobert, patrolling the middle. Minnesota also ranks 19th in pace of play and will slow the game down, which will give the impressive rookie fewer chances to get rebounds.
Houston’s 21-year-old center averages 5.6 assists per game and dished out eight in his last game against Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets. He recorded fewer than six in seven straight games before that but has a great chance to start a new streak of overs on Tuesday.
Dereck Lively II, the Dallas Mavericks’ rookie center, is out with an injury. Lively was a tremendous presence on the interior and has been replaced by Richaun Holmes, who isn’t much in the way of a defensive presence. The Rockets run a majority of their offense through Sengun, and he should be able to find open teammates as the Mavs send more help than usual without Lively there to guard him.
Sabonis has found great success against the Warriors lately, scoring 19+ points in seven straight games and more than 19.5 in four of seven (including a 23-point outing at the start of November). He also scored more than 19.5 in five of his last seven games and is averaging the second-most points per game of his career.
The Golden State Warriors’ defensive identity from their dynasty years has collapsed, and they’re an average 15th in defensive rating. The Kings also have a chance to lock up the West Group C title with a win in this game, part of the In-Season Tournament, so it’s reasonable to expect the Kings to play their best brand of basketball.
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