NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Thursday 2/8/24

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Donovan Mitchell’s 40 points night led the Cleveland Cavaliers to yet another win over the Washington Wizards, while the Detroit Pistons beat the Sacramento Kings on the road to pick up their seventh win of the season thanks to a career night by Jaden Ivey.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Thursday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo code for $200 in bonus bets.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 11.5 Rebounds (-106) at FanDuel

Giannis and the Milwaukee Bucks are struggling—they lost four of their first five games with Doc Rivers at the helm and are tied with the New York Knicks for third in the Eastern Conference. This sudden slump has caused many to reevaluate Milwaukee's odds to win NBA Eastern Conference, despite Giannis averaging an absurd 38.3 points, 9.7 assists, and 7.7 rebounds through three games in February.

Although the Greek Freak’s rebound total has been low lately, we expect him to get closer to his season average (11.3). The Minnesota Timberwolves have the best defensive rating in basketball and will force the Bucks into lots of missed shots, which should help Giannis go over his total.

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Anthony Davis Under 23.5 Points (-104) at FanDuel

Davis is one of the few players who can give Nikola Jokic a challenge on the defensive end (though nobody can truly guard him). The trade-off is that he often exerts so much energy on defense that he can’t get into his full bag of tricks on the offensive end, as seen numerous times throughout the Los Angeles Lakers’ playoff run last year.

Davis only scored 17 points on 35.3% shooting when the two teams matched up on the opening night and also cashed the under in four of his last seven games. Denver has a strong defense and plays at a slow pace, which should make it even tougher for A.D. to hit his total.

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Klay Thompson Under 2.5 Threes (+116) at FanDuel

Klay made two of fewer threes in three straight games until he sank four against the Philadelphia 76ers last night. Even with that, he went under this line in five of his last eight games and is about to take on an Indiana Pacers team that sells out on the perimeter and held opponents to the fifth-lowest three-point percentage over the last five games.

Klay went a combined 4-20 from three-point land in his last two games on the second night of a back-to-back and is still a liability to miss the end-of-game action until further notice. Keep an eye on him as he tries to battle the inconsistency that plagued him all year.

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Paolo Banchero Over 24.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

Banchero did not beat this line in three straight games but went over four straight times just before that. He had one of the best scoring months of his career last month and has a great opportunity to get back to that level on Thursday.

The Orlando Magic are facing the San Antonio Spurs, who allow the fifth-most points per game. Victor Wembanyama is a constant deterrent near the rim, but Banchero has the ball-handling ability to back out to the mid-range or perimeter and force switches onto smaller defenders. San Antonio is also on the second night of a back-to-back and won’t be as fresh as Banchero and the Magic.

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Jalen Brunson Under 43.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists (-102) at FanDuel

Brunson is having one of the best seasons of any player in the NBA, but this line seems like it could be too steep for him to go over. He’s not much of a rebounding threat, and he’s been awful from three for five straight games despite still scoring a ton of points.

One of the main reasons we’re fading Brunson is because he sprained his ankle during a win against the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. If he even makes it to the court, it’s unlikely he’ll be able to carry the Knicks the way he has recently while fighting off an ankle injury, especially since he’ll have to guard Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving on the other end.

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