Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Predictions, Odds, Picks

Written by: Christian Jope
Updated October 14, 2022
6 min read
  • The Miami Heat’s defensive intensity helped them to a victory and a 2-1 lead over Boston in Game 3
  • The Boston Celtics will look to get off to a stronger start in Game 4
  • The Heat lead the Celtics 2-1 in the series

Heat vs Celtics Game 4 Odds

Heat Vs Celtics 2022 05 23

Heat vs Celtics Game 4 Pick

Much of the Heat’s success depends on the health of Jimmy Butler. In a 2-1 hole and owning offensive confidence after Game 3, the Celtics should level the series before returning to Miami for Game 5.

Boston Celtics def. Miami Heat

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Head-to-Head: Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Miami Heat Head-to-Head Boston Celtics
Erik Spoelstra Head Coach Ime Udoka
53-29 (1st in East) Standing 51-31 (2nd in East)
W-L-W-W Form L-W-L-W
113.7 (10th of 30) Off Rtg 114.4 (7th of 30)
109.1 (5th of 30) Def Rtg 106.9 (2nd of 30)
95.9 (28th of 30) Pace 96.6 (24th of 30)

Leaders (Playoffs)

J. Butler (28.1) PPG J. Tatum (26.9)
B. Adebayo (7.7) RPG A. Horford (9.2)
K. Lowry (5.3) APG M. Smart (6.8)
J. Butler (2.2) SPG J. Brown, J. Tatum (1.4)
B. Adebayo (0.9) BPG R. Williams (2.0)
B. Adebayo (.609)/J. Butler (10.0) FG%/FGM R. Williams (.611)/J. Tatum (8.9)
P. Tucker (.488)/M. Strus (3.0) 3P%/3PM A. Horford (.483)/J. Tatum (3.3)

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Injury Report

Player Team Date Status Info
Jimmy Butler Miami Heat 22 May 2022 Day to Day (Knee) Butler is QUESTIONABLE for Miami’s Monday (May 23) game.
Tyler Herro Miami Heat 22 May 2022 Day to Day (Groin) Herro is QUESTIONABLE for Miami’s Monday (May 23) game.
Kyle Lowry Miami Heat 22 May 2022 Day to Day (Hamstring) Lowry is QUESTIONABLE for Miami’s Monday (May 23) game.
Max Strus Miami Heat 22 May 2022 Day to Day (Hamstring) Strus is QUESTIONABLE for Miami’s Monday (May 23) game.
P.J. Tucker Miami Heat 22 May 2022 Day to Day (Knee) Tucker is QUESTIONABLE for Miami’s Monday (May 23) game.
Gabe Vincent Miami Heat 22 May 2022 Day to Day (Hamstring) Vincent is QUESTIONABLE for Miami’s Monday (May 23) game.
Sam Hauser Boston Celtics 8 May 2022 Out (Shoulder) Hauser is expected to miss a few weeks.
Marcus Smart Boston Celtics 22 May 2022 Day to Day (Ankle) Smart is QUESTIONABLE for Boston’s Monday (May 23) game.
Jayson Tatum Boston Celtics 22 May 2022 Day to Day (Neck) Tatum is PROBABLE for Boston’s Monday (May 23) game.
Robert Williams Boston Celtics 22 May 2022 Day to Day (Knee) Williams III is QUESTIONABLE for Boston’s Monday (May 23) game.

How Can the Heat Beat the Celtics?

The Miami Heat are coming off of an impressive win over the Boston Celtics in Game 3. Despite their win, Miami lost star forward Jimmy Butler to injury and his status for Game 4 is still questionable. To take down the Celtics, Miami needs to make up for his absence as a team.

Between Adebayo, Tucker, Strus, and Lowry, the Heat found 75 of the team’s 109 points. However their bench struggled to be efficient. Oladipo, Herro, and Vincent, who were a combined 6 of 23 from the field for just 16 points, need to improve on their scoring efficiency.

To take down the high-powered offence of the Celtics, with or without Butler, Miami needs to keep up in the scoring department. Their playmaking has been on point, which needs to inform their just 32% shooting through the series.

Heat Key Player: (F-C) Bam Adebayo


Despite star forward Jimmy Butler leaving Game 3 early, big man Bam Adebayo stepped up to carry the Miami Heat to victory. He had one of his most productive games of the 2022 NBA Playoffs, and he’ll need to perform similarly to put the Heat up 3-1.

Adebayo posted 31 points, 10 rebounds, 6 assists, 4 steals, and 1 block in Game 3 of Miami’s second round series against the Boston Celtics. He was more aggressive than ever, shooting 15 of 22 from the field, even attempting a three-point field goal.

More of a finishing threat, Adebayo’s offence will mostly come from the playmaking of the Heat as a team. However after the success against Al Horford, expect Adebayo to take on a bigger role in the offence.

How Can the Celtics Beat the Heat?

The Boston Celtics have shown their inexperience through the 2022 NBA Playoffs. If they hope to beat the Miami Heat and level the series, they need to clean up their play on both sides of the court.

In Game 3, the Celtics’ main issues were found in how they started on offence, and how they took care of the ball. With the opportunity to go up 2-1 with home court, the Celtics allowed Miami to shoot 64% from the field in the first quarter, outscoring them 39 to 18.

Boston also committed 23 turnovers to their just 21 assists in Game 3. To say the Celtics need to clean up their play would be an understatement. Despite their struggles, they closed the gap and lost Game 3 by just 6 points. If they can focus from the tip, Boston can level the series.

Celtics Key Player: (G) Jaylen Brown


The Boston Celtics are clearly thrilled to have a backcourt player as skilled as Jaylen Brown available to carry the offensive load when starman Jayson Tatum is struggling. Brown found success from everywhere on the court, adding a new wrinkle to the Celtics’ offensive threat.

In 41 minutes of play Brown posted 40 points, 9 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 steal, and 1 block. He was a very efficient 14 of 20 from the field and 9 of 12 from the free throw line.

Brown was able to hunt mismatches as well as take advantage of his teammates’ excellent ball movement. With an opportunistic offence, Brown can make a massive impact. His offence shouldn’t come at the expense of his teammates.

How to Watch Heat vs Celtics Game 4

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Information
Who Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics
Where TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
When Monday, 8:30 PM EST, May 23rd, 2022
How to Watch ABC
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Christian Jope

NBA Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NBA
Betting Picks
Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Applied Economics)
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience:
6 years
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