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Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks: Expect a Tightly Contested Game

Written by: Christian Jope
Updated January 20, 2023
15 min read
  • The Miami Heat enter this game off the back of a victory in their last match!
  • The Dallas Mavericks have now lost three games in a row.
  • The Heat and Mavericks split last year's regular season series, 1-1.

The Miami Heat and Dallas Mavericks face off in what is certainly the pick 'em game of the evening! The Heat currently sit sixth in the Eastern Conference with a 25-21 overall record and an 11-12 road record. The Mavericks are fifth in the Western Conference, owning a 24-22 overall record and a 16-7 home record.

This will be the first time these two teams meet this season. Through the 2021-22 NBA season, the Mavericks and Heat split their regular season series 1-1. A win for either team won't move them up in their conference standing, but both are fortunately in playoff position. Expect a tightly contested game!

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Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions

Head-to-Head: Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Miami Heat
Head-to-HeadDallas Mavericks
Erik SpoelstraHead CoachJason Kidd
25-21 (6th in East)Standing24-22 (5th in West)
111.9 (24th of 30)Off Rtg115.7 (5th of 30)
111.2 (4th of 30)Def Rtg115.5 (25th of 30)
97.0 (28th of 30)Pace96.1 (29th of 30)

Leaders (Per Game)

J. Butler (22.0)PPGL. Doncic (33.7)
B. Adebayo (10.1)RPGL. Doncic (8.8)
K. Lowry (5.6)APGL. Doncic (8.8)
J. Butler (2.0)SPGL. Doncic (1.6)
B. Adebayo (0.9)BPGC. Wood (1.3)
B. Adebayo (.540)/B. Adebayo (8.7)FG%/FGMD. Powell (.736)/L. Doncic (11.3)
C. Martin (.397)/T. Herro (3.2)3P%/3PMJ. Green (.455)/T. Hardaway Jr. (2.9)

Injury Report

Omer YurtsevenMiami Heat15 Nov 2022Out (Ankle)Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
Nikola JovicMiami Heat 03 Jan 2023Out (Back)Jovic will be out for at least four weeks with a lower-back stress reaction.
Duncan RobinsonMiami Heat 04 Jan 2023Out (Finger)Robinson will have surgery and be re-evaluated in four weeks.
Maxi KleberDallas Mavericks20 Dec 2022Out (Hamstring)Kleber underwent surgery for a hamstring tear and there is no timetable for his return.
Tim Hardaway Jr.Dallas Mavericks19 Jan 2023Day to Day (Ankle)Hardaway Jr. is PROBABLE for Dallas' Friday game.
Christian WoodDallas Mavericks19 Jan 2023Out (Thumb)Wood suffered a fractured thumb and will be re-evaluated in one week.
McKinley Wright IVDallas Mavericks19 Jan 2023Out (Foot)Wright is OUT for Dallas' Friday game.

Spread: Miami Heat -1.0 (-110) @ WynnBet

The Miami Heat and the Dallas Mavericks are set to put on a tightly contested game when they face off on Friday night! The Heat have now won four of their last five games, with this match against Dallas being the last of a three-game road trip. On the other hand, the Dallas Mavericks have won just one of their last five games - with their defensive standards being a massive issue.

The Heat continue to win off the back of their defence, even if their shooting has been inconsistent over the course of their last five games. Miami are shooting just 47.5% from the field and 32.3% from deep, but they're outrebounding opponents by a margin of 11.2 while also forcing 14.4 turnovers per game. The Mavericks' defensive struggles have been apparent, and the return of Luka Doncic to the lineup hasn't changed that. Dallas have allowed 126.8 points per game over their last five, with their opponents shooting 49.0% from the field and 37.7% from three-point range.

The Mavericks have the ability to turn around any game off the performance of Luka Doncic, but it's difficult to imagine them overcoming Miami's stalwart defence. Due to injuries and depth the Heat have the advantage inside the paint, specifically where the Mavericks have been struggling over their recent run of form.

Total: O 217.0 (-110) @ DraftKings Sportsbook

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On average, neither the Miami Heat nor Dallas Mavericks are known to be amongst the elite in terms of scoring ability. Miami currently average a combined points total of 217.8 points per game on a plus-0.6 points differential. Dallas currently average a combined points total of 225.6 per game on a plus-0.2 points differential.

The Miami Heat's recent 4-1 run of form has seen them average a combined points total of 219.0, while clearing 217.0 in just two of their matches. The Dallas Mavericks' recent 1-4 run of form has seen them average a combined points total of 243.6, clearing 217.0 in four of their last five games - mostly due to their dreadful defence.

Dallas are sure to be slowed down by Miami's tenacious defence, but the Heat offence doesn't project to be particularly prolific in this matchup. By nature of the league's pace, we expect these teams to clear 217.0 - but it will be particularly hard fought.

How to Watch Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

  • Who: Miami Heat & Dallas Mavericks
  • Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
  • When: 7:30 PM EST, Friday, January 20, 2023
  • How to Watch: ESPN, NBA League Pass (Stream)
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Christian Jope

1438 Articles

Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.

Email: [email protected]

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