Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Predictions, Betting Lines & Picks

Written by: Christian Jope
Updated October 14, 2022
6 min read
Heat Vs Warriors 2021 02 17
  • The Heat’s Jimmy Butler has been brilliant since returning from injury, averaging almost a triple-double over his last nine games!
  • Stephen Curry seems back to MVP form with the Warriors, averaging 26.1 points per game over his last 11 games!
  • Over 63 regular-season meetings, the Warriors narrowly lead the Heat 32 to 31.

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Odds Comparison New Jersey

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Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Odds Comparison Iowa

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Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Odds Comparison West Virginia

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Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Odds Comparison Colorado

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Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Odds Comparison Tennessee

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Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Predictions and Picks

The Golden State Warriors are much improved from last season, while the Heat continues to struggle to find their rhythm. We don’t expect the Heat to keep pace with the Warriors.

Pick:

Golden State Warriors to Win ()

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How to Watch Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Information
What Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors
Where Chase Center, San Francisco, California
When 10:00 PM EST, February 17th, 2021
How to Watch ESPN

Head-to-Head: Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

Miami Heat Head-to-Head Golden State Warriors
Erik Spoelstra Head Coach Steve Kerr
11-16 (10th in East) Standing 15-13 (8th in West)
L-L-W-W Form W-L-W-W
107.4 (25th of 30) Off Rtg 111.0 (20th of 30)
111.0 (13th of 30) Def Rtg 109.4 (6th of 30)
98.5 (21st of 30) Pace 103.2 (2nd of 30)

Leaders (Per Game)

J. Butler (19.9) PPG S. Curry (30.1)
B. Adebayo (9.4) RPG J. Wiseman (6.1)
J. Butler (7.1) APG D. Green (8.3)
J. Butler (1.9) SPG D. Green (1.3)
B. Adebayo (1.0) BPG A. Wiggins (1.4)
C. Silva (.667)/B. Adebayo (7.3) FG%/FGM K. Looney (.623)/S. Curry (10.1)
C. Silva (1.00)/D. Robinson (3.3) 3P%/3PM M. Mulder (.456)/S. Curry (5.0)

Who Can Step Up from Miami’s Supporting Cast

The Miami Heat are nowhere near the pace that they were on last season, but that hasn’t been due to Jimmy Butler’s contributions. Despite missing 11 games, Butler returned to the lineup looking like the All-Star that he is. At 11-16 though, Miami needs more from the players that are meant to support him.

Most of their issues stem from their shooting woes. While Duncan Robinson is still shooting near 40% from three, Dragic, Herro, and Olynyk’s percentages have fallen from 40% last season to mid-30% this season.

Butler is playing brilliantly, but if the Heat have nobody who can back him up they won’t be competitive against the better teams in the league. Against an improved, and frankly impressive, Warriors defense, the Heat need a team effort to secure a victory.



Ball Movement is Key for the Warriors

Head coach Steve Kerr’s offense has grown famous due to its free-flowing style and the threat from every position on the court. When the ball is moving, things are usually going well for Golden State.

The disparity in team assists through wins and losses is substantial for the Warriors. In victories, the Warriors shoot 49.7% from the field with 29.3 assists. In losses, that ratio drops to 42.5% and 25.2 assists per game.

With only Stephen Curry being a regular offensive threat, the Warriors need to find good offensive flow to create good opportunities. It’ll be difficult against a disciplined Heat defense.

Heat Key Player: (G) Tyler Herro


When Tyler Herro took off in last season’s NBA Playoffs, the Heat thought that they had found their successor to Jimmy Butler. While he’s taken steps toward a larger role in his sophomore season, he hasn’t made the All-Star jump that Adebayo has.

Herro is averaging 17.3 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 3.9 assists per game on 45.0% shooting from the field and 34.5% shooting from deep.

Herro needs to be a regular threat for the Heat, as well as a solid contributor on the defensive side of the ball. He’ll be outmatched at every position physically, so Herro will be relied on to be efficient both ways.

Warriors Key Player: (F) Draymond Green


While Stephen Curry is the point guard, Draymond Green is the piece that makes the Warriors’ offense flow. Brilliant from the high-post, Green will be crucial to beating the Heat’s organized defense.

In his last match against the Cleveland Cavaliers, Green showed off his All-Star level capabilities. Despite scoring just six points, Green contributed eight rebounds and a game-high 16 assists.

Number one in the league in opponent paint points allowed, Green will need to be just as sharp in picking apart the Heat defense to steal a victory.

Image for Christian Jope

Christian Jope

NBA Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NBA
Betting Picks
Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Applied Economics)
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience:
6 years
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