Best College Football Bets Week 11 | CFB Picks & Predictions

The CFB season is winding down as we cross into Week 11. There are several higher-profile games this week, headlined perhaps by No. 9 Alabama (that’s odd to see) against No. 11 Ole Miss. 

But where are the best bets of the week across college football?

Let’s dig in. 

Ole Miss vs Alabama

Pick: Over 65 (-110) at DraftKings

This line was originally around 63, which we feel better about, but both of these teams should put up points in this game. The Alabama defense has gotten gashed the last few weeks, allowing 266 passing yards per game and 143 yards on the ground. 

For Ole Miss, rank 25th in the nation in the pace of play, averaging 75.8 plays per game. Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart has over 1,900 passing yards on the season, including a 283-yard game against LSU. However, he also adds a lot on the ground, including 30 designed runs over the past three games, including two 100+ yard outings. 

Their top wideout, Jonathan Mingo, has just 30 catches on the year, but he’s averaging 22.1 per reception and has four touchdowns. The Crimson Tide also faces Ole Miss running back Quinshon Judkins, averaging 5.7 yards per carry, totaling over 1,000 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns. 

The Crimson Tide will win this game, but the Ole Miss offense led by Lane Kiffin will find ways to get in the endzone, making Alabama and quarterback Bryce Young continue throwing the ball. 

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Texas vs TCU

Pick: Texas -7 (-110) at Caesars

TCU is ranked No. 4 in the nation, but they’re seven-point underdogs on the road against the No. 18 Longhorns. 

How does this happen? 

Well, you have to look at the matchup a bit deeper. 

Coming out of the Big 12, TCU has home some close calls with teams like Texas Tech, West Virginia, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, and Kansas. They’re 9-0, and it’s a great arch of wins, but this is where it ends. 

TCU allows 153.5 rushing yards per game and 167.3 over their last three games. The formula for the Longhorns is simple here—give the ball to Bijan Robinson. 

This season, Robinson has run for 1,124 yards on 191 carries (5.9 yards per attempt) and has 12 touchdowns. Catching the ball, Robinson adds 19 receptions for 314 yards and two scores. 

On the defensive coaching staff, Texas has Gary Patterson, the guy who had a big hand in building up this TCU program. 

There’s no way around it—Max Duggan has been excellent this season, completing 66% of his passes for 2,407 yards, 24 touchdowns, and just two interceptions. He should also have his No. 1 option back in this game Quentin Johnson. 

This Texas defensive line should be able to hold TCU running back Kendre Miller in check while defensive lineman Byron Murphy II helps create pressure up front on Duggan. 

At home, the Longhorns should be able to run Robinson successfully. In this one, TCU’s inability to pull away from teams will rear its ugly head. 

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USC vs Colorado

Pick: USC -34.5 (-110) at BetMGM 

This is a significant number for this Friday's matchup, but Colorado is atrocious. They give up 237 yards on the ground and over 250 through the air per game. 

On offense, they throw 1.3 interceptions and lose 1.1 fumbles per game. Colorado quarterback J.T. Shrout has 15 turnover-worthy plays on the season and is completing less than 45% of his passes.

Meanwhile, USC is a top offense in college football, they’re trying to get in the playoff, and quarterback Caleb Williams is increasing his Heisman stock weekly. 

Colorado has a real chance to get blanked here as USC takes advantage of and forces turnovers. 

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