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A full slate of Christmas Eve NFL action is almost here, but before the pros take the field, we have been gifted a full slate of Saturday college football. Bowl games can be challenging to bet on because of all the players opting out and entering the transfer portal.
However, this also gives us an excellent opportunity to attack sportsbooks because they have to post lines with little statistical backing. We have found a few prop bets with a ton of value on Saturday.
We break down the college football slate every week and pick our best player props. Check back next week for our CFP and New Year’s Six player prop selections!
Jaylen Raynor had an excellent freshman season at Arkansas State after being thrown into a starting role because of injuries and poor play. He threw for 2300 yards with 15 touchdowns and just six interceptions. However, he will have a difficult challenge against Northern Illinois this Saturday.
The MAC isn’t the best conference in college football, but the Huskies were dominant in the secondary. They had the best passing defense in the conference, allowing just 165 yards per game through the air.
They’re much worse against the run, allowing 153.6 yards per game. Look for Arkansas State to attack this aspect of the defense.
Raynor hasn’t been over this number consistently, going under in his past three games. There are still a lot of times when Raynor makes mistakes, and we should see this on Saturday.
Players have opted out for both teams, but both teams will stick with what they do best. Northern Illinois’ strength is running the football. This will keep the clock moving, keep the ball out of Raynor’s hands, and limit his production. Take the under on 230.5 passing yards!
Who: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Northern Illinois Huskies
Where: Cramton Bowl, Montgomery, AL
When: Saturday, December 23, 12:00 p.m. ET
Duke quarterback Grayson Loftis has some experience coming into the 76 Birmingham Bowl because of an injury to Riley Leonard earlier in the year. Leonard was lighting it up for Duke early in the season, but his stats slowed down, and he suffered an ankle injury.
Loftis has played in five games and has thrown for 823 yards with eight touchdowns and three interceptions. His accuracy has been an issue, and Duke hasn’t found much of a rhythm with the freshman, but he is still racking up yards.
His line is 195.5 against Troy in the 76 Birmingham Bowl, which has a lot of value. He has surpassed this line in his past two games. He threw for 270 yards against Virginia and 248 versus Pittsburgh.
One of his best showings was against #24 UNC when Duke lost in double OT. The quarterback was 16 of 28 for 189 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. The past few weeks have been perfect for Loftis and the other young players forced to play in this game because of departing athletes. It has given them time to prepare.
Troy has the best passing defense in the Sun Belt, allowing 203 yards per game. Despite this, Loftis has seen better talent in the ACC, and Duke should be playing from behind throughout the contest as a 7.5-point favorite. If this is the case, Loftis should hit this line in bulk.
Who: Troy Trojans vs. Duke Blue Devils
Where: Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL
When: Saturday, December 23, 12:00 p.m. ET
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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