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It’s the final week of the college football regular season, and it has been one for ages. The best part of Week 13 in college football is that we watch many rivalries throughout the country. Michigan vs. Ohio State is gaining all the attention, but there will be many highly contested shootouts.
Penn State vs. Michigan State, Kentucky vs. Louisville, and Alabama vs. Aubrun are three other games to watch during Rivalry Week. Star players step up in the most significant moments, which makes prop betting a must in the final games of the regular season.
Let’s break down our best college football prop plays for Week 13!
TCU doesn’t have a good record at 5-6 and is fighting to make a bowl game against Oklahoma. The chances are they’re not going to beat the Sooners, but they have a lot to look forward to in the coming seasons with their freshman quarterback, Josh Hoover.
Hoover has been posting some massive passing numbers over the past few weeks. He is starting to find a groove. He has thrown for 300+ in the past three games, including against #7 Texas.
He has 11 touchdowns and eight interceptions on the year. As a bettor, I’m okay with seeing these picks because it shows they’re throwing the ball. He completed 83% of his passes last week for the Horned Frogs against Baylor.
Baylor’s passing defense is very similar to Oklahoma's. They’re each giving up 230 passing yards per game, and Hoover’s line on Saturday is set at 274.5. The freshman has hit this in four of six starts. It seems like a high line for the freshman, but based on recent results, it should be higher.
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Texas is playing for a lot on Saturday against Texas Tech. They control their own destiny in getting to the Big 12 Championship as the one seed in the game. If they beat the Red Raiders on the road, they will clinch.
Texas Tech is 6-5 and playing for a lot in this game. If they’re victorious, they have a winning season, a better bowl game, and knock off their arch-rival. I expect this game to be close as a conference rivalry, but Texas will win because of Quinn Ewers.
Ewers has quietly been one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the country. He rarely turns the ball over, which is commendable in the Big 12. His passing line is set at 266.5 against Texas Tech on Saturday. The Red Raiders have allowed 226.5 passing yards per game, but this is an excellent spot for Ewers.
The quarterback has exceeded this line in four of his past five games. He surpassed 300 yards in three of the games. Look for Xavier Worthy to have a big game and Adonai Mitchell to make plays down the field.
If Texas blows out Texas Tech, he probably stays under, but I’m counting on this game being slightly closer than expected based on Texas’ recent results.
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Oregon State has an excellent defense. It’s one of the reasons they have been so successful this season and one of the best teams in the Pac-12. The Beavers are playing spoiler in this spot against Oregon, trying to ruin their College Football Playoff dreams.
I think Oregon will win this game, but I’m not leaning on Bo Nix’s 302.5-yard passing total. I think the Ducks win this game on the ground behind Bucky Irving. Oregon State allows just 224 passing yards per game, but they have given up chunk plays on the ground.
Irving is one of the most explosive runners in the country. He has exceeded his 87.5-yard total in three of his past five games with two 100+ yard performances. If Oregon can get a lead in this game, Irving will be a benefactor and go over his line.
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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