2019 Heisman Trophy Contenders: Odds and Predictions

With 2018 winner Kyler Murray now in the NFL with the Arizona Cardinals, a new Heisman recipient will emerge in December. There are a handful of favorites heading into this season who could claim the award, as well as some underdogs who could sneak up on everyone. In this preview, we will take a look at the betting favorites according to 888Sport and highlight why they will or will not win the Heisman.

Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence

Sophomore | 6-6, 215lb | Cartersville HS | Cartersville, GA

2018 Stats: 3,280 Pass Yards | 30 Pass TD | 4 INT

Why He’ll Win

Lawrence enters his sophomore season with the highest odds to win the Heisman thanks in large part to a schedule that should lead to an undefeated regular season. With Texas A&M being their toughest opponent and an average ACC docket, the Georgia native should have plenty of opportunity to put up ridiculous stats which could surpass last season’s output.

Why He Won’t

There is now plenty of game tape that opposing defensive coordinators can scour through to find holes in Lawrence’s decision making. If his opponents can make those adjustments, his 2019 season could end up similar to Jameis Winston’s 2014 season when the 2013 Heisman winner threw a troubling 18 interceptions. Another factor that could hurt his chances is the presence of Travis Etienne in Clemson’s backfield, as the junior running back could steal votes from Lawrence with a monster season.

Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa

Junior | 6-1, 218lb | St. Louis HS | Ewa Beach, HI

2018 Stats: 3,966 Pass Yards | 43 Pass TD | 6 INT

Why He’ll Win

Tagovailoa will get a trio of strong passing targets back in Biletnikoff Award winner Jerry Jeudy along with Henry Ruggs III and Jaylen Waddle. He will also have running back Najee Harris as a safety valve to lessen his workload when necessary. Alabama’s schedule is also not overly challenging, which should allow him to put up eye popping numbers once again.

Why He Won’t

Simple regression to the mean. Repeating a 7-1 touchdown to interception ratio is not sustainable, no matter how talented a quarterback and his supporting cast may be. A pullback is definitely possible, as Tagovailoa will be working with a completely new offensive line that will feature only one senior in right guard Matt Womack. A downgrade in o-line play could make him exposed to injury risk or rushed decisions that lead to turnovers. Not having former offensive coordinator Mike Locksley calling plays anymore may also be a difference-maker.

Ohio State QB Justin Fields

Sophomore | 6-3, 223lb | Carl Harrison HS | Kennesaw, GA

2018 Stats (at Georgia): 328 Pass Yards | 4 Pass TD | 266 Rush Yards | 4 Rush TD

Why He’ll Win

There is not a lot of game tape on Fields, who mostly played in garbage time at Georgia in 2018. His ability to make plays with his arm and legs along with a fairly friendly schedule should allow him to pass the eye test for voters. A strong performance in the season finale against Michigan could also give him a nice boost on a big stage.

Why He Won’t

Perhaps the biggest threat to Fields’ Heisman chances is his ability to run, as his playing style will make him vulnerable to injuries. Furthermore, with Kentucky transfer Gunnar Hoak putting up a stronger than expected fight for the starting job in practice, Fields could lose the starting gig with even minor slip ups.

Oklahoma QB Jalen Hurts

Senior | 6-2, 219lb | Channelview HS | Houston, TX

2018 Stats (at Alabama): 765 Pass Yards | 8 Pass TD | 2 INT

Why He’ll Win

Coach Lincoln Riley knows how to develop Heisman winning quarterbacks, as evidenced by previous winners Kyler Murray and Baker Mayfield, both of whom were transfers. Although he may not be quite the passer as his predecessors, Riley will be sure to tailor the offense to Hurts’ strengths.

Why He Won’t

Hurts could be on a relatively short leash with youngsters Tanner Mordecai and Spencer Rattler waiting in the wings. If he struggles out of the gate with his ability to make the necessary throws in Riley’s offense, he could lose the starting job to Mordecai or Rattler.

Georgia QB Jake Fromm

Junior | 6-2, 220lb | Houston County HS | Warner Robins, GA

2018 Stats: 2,749 Pass Yards | 30 Pass TD | 6 INT

Why He’ll Win

With Fields no longer around, Fromm can confidently take ownership of the offense and be more than just a game manager. The schedule is not too overwhelming, with Notre Dame and Florida being the biggest obstacles standing in the way of an undefeated season. Having All-SEC selection Andrew Thomas guarding his blindside will also help.

Why He Won’t

Fromm could experience some growing pains with the increased responsibility, a young offensive line, and an inexperienced receiving corps. As is the case with Lawrence, Fromm could also lose votes to his running back in D’Andre Swift whom oddsmakers see as a dark horse Heisman threat.

Other Contenders

If a running back were to claim the award, the first name that comes to mind is Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor, who has two straight 1,900+ rushing yard seasons and will have to work with an inexperienced quarterback…Nebraska’s Adrian Martinez is a possible breakout candidate with many comparing him to NFL MVP, Patrick Mahomes…If Texas’ Sam Ehlinger can lead the Longhorns to a Big 12 title and playoff birth, his case will be hard to ignore…After turning down a shot at being chosen with the top pick in last year’s draft, Oregon’s Justin Herbert will look to close out his career like Marcus Mariota did in 2014.

Where to Bet on Heisman Odds in New Jersey

New Jersey residents can log on to 888Sport to wager on over 40 Heisman candidates. 888Sport also offers a player special where they can bet on Lawrence/Tagovailoa or the field.

Heisman Trophy Winner 2019: Odds

SportsbookTrevor Lawrence or Tua TagovailoaAny Other PlayerLink
888Sport NJ-143+120

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Winner Odds888SportBetStarsPlayMGMDraftKings
Trevor Lawrence+175+275+240+175
Tua Tagovailoa+225+250+260+225
Justin Fields+1400+1500+1100+1400
Jalen Hurts+1400+750+1000+1400
Jake Fromm+1800+1300+1600+1800
Jonathan Taylor+1800+1400+1800
Adrian Martinez+2000+1200+1100+2000
Travis Etienne+2200+1400+2500+2200

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER