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Best College Football National Championship Prop Bets: Washington vs. Michigan

Written by: Tanner Kern
Published January 8, 2024
8 min read
Best CFB National Championship Prop Bets Washington vs Michigan

College football season ends on Monday when Washington faces Michigan in Houston. The Huskies are a 4.5-point underdog but have stormed through the top programs in the country and earned their spot in the National Championship. 

Michigan also enters this game with a perfect record and is looking to rebound following a tough loss to TCU in last year’s CFP semifinal. Both teams have the talent to win on Monday, but it will come down to which team executes their game plan perfectly. 

We’re leaning toward Washington with the points, but there are a ton of prop bets with a lot of value on Monday. Let’s break down our favorite props for the National Championship!

Blake Corum Over 105.5 (-114) Rushing Yards on FanDuel Sportsbook

Michigan should be worried heading into the National Championship. Many people have already gifted the Wolverines with the National Championship trophy, but Washington can compete.

However, the Huskies have a few areas where they’re overmatched in this game. The biggest issue for Washington will be stopping Michigan’s run game, which is built around Blake Corum. Corum has been fantastic this season, and he willed the Wolverines to a victory over Alabama in the Rose Bowl. 

Washington was exploited by the Texas run game in the Sugar Bowl, but the Huskies offense put pressure on the Longhorns. Texas was playing from behind, which forced them to throw more than desired. They never got a significant lead where they could lean on the ground game. 

Look for Michigan to emphasize clock control and feed Corum early and often in this contest. His total is lofty at 105.5, but it’s high for a reason. Washington can’t stop the run, and we should see Corum receive upwards of 30 carries in this game. 

If he gets the attempts, it will result in yardage. He recorded 145 rushing yards against Penn State on 26 carries in November, and this game could be a similar performance for the running back. 

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Michael Penix Jr Over 291.5 Passing Yards (-115) on Caesars Sportsbook

Michael Penix Jr. is ready for his National Championship moment. He finished second in the Heisman voting to Jayden Daniels, but a significant reason for this was the Pac-12 bias.

Penix has shredded nearly every defense in his way and has a tremendous passing yardage line in the National Championship. His total is listed at 291.5 on Caesars Sportsbook, which is very low. 

Bookmakers believe Michigan’s defense is legitimate, and they have risen to the occasion, but they also haven’t seen any type of passing attack in 2023. The Big 10 was horrendous, especially on offense. 

Ohio State was the best passing team Michigan saw before Alabama, and they weren’t that talented. The receiver room was limited outside of Marvin Harrison Jr., and Kyle McCord wasn’t the best pocket passer. This is clear as he left the school for Syracuse following the season. 

Penix has thrown for 4648 yards with 35 touchdowns and just nine interceptions. He is sixth in the country in QBR, and the only thing that has slowed down the quarterback was the weather. 

This game will take place in a dome in Houston and on turf. Washington’s receivers are some of the fastest in America, and it will take time for Michigan to adjust in this game.

Penix has gone over this line in his past two games, the Pac-12 title and Sugar Bowl. Both were played inside and on turf, so it couldn’t be a better spot for Penix’s passing prop. If Penix doesn’t surpass this line, it will be tough for Washington to compete because of their limited ground game. 

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How to Watch the National Championship

  • Who: Washington Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines

  • Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX

  • When: Monday, January 8, 7:30 p.m. ET

  • TV: ESPN

  • Stream: ESPN+

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AUTHOR

Tanner Kern

285 Articles

Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.

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