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AAC Tournament Predictions, Betting Odds & Favorites to Win 2024

Written by: Michael Savio
Fact-checked by: James Whitelock
Updated February 21, 2024
10 min read
  • South Florida has won 11 straight games and has lost once since December 3

  • Charlotte went 6-6 in non-conference play to start the season

  • FAU has lost two of their previous four games

The AAC had one of the most impressive games of the weekend when South Florida topped #24 Florida Atlantic. The win boosted South Florida’s chances at a regular season title and set the stage for a wild conference tournament.

With the loss, FAU’s NCAA Tournament hopes took a significant hit. Charlotte and South Florida have shown they can play with and beat the Owls, but chances are at least one of those three teams will be left out of this year’s field. That will make winning the AAC Tournament and its automatic qualifier critical.

Below, we will share the latest odds to win the AAC regular season title and insights into the three favorites for this year’s conference tournament.

AAC Tournament Betting Odds

Odds Courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. Follow our link and sign up with DraftKings to claim a $1000 No Sweat First Bet.

South Florida-105
SMU +350
Florida Atlantic+800
Aac Tournament Odds

Favorites to Win the 2024 AAC Tournament

South Florida Bulls (-105) at DraftKings Sportsbook

We have fallen in love with this South Florida team over the last couple of months. They are currently riding an eleven-game winning streak and have lost just once since December 3. That run includes a lot of impressive wins, including against Florida State (neutral court), Loyola-Chicago, Memphis (road), Charlotte (home), and Florida Atlantic (home). 

The win against FAU was the most impressive, as they withstood a massive comeback effort from the Owls. South Florida never lost confidence, even when FAU cut the deficit to one point with 22 seconds left. The team executed and finished the game, denying FAU a win they were desperate to get.

The Bulls started the season 2-4 after an embarrassing stretch of losses to Maine, Hofstra, Central Michigan, and UMAss. Something happened after the UMass loss that sparked this team, leading them to an impressive neutral-court win against FSU. 

South Florida has only lost to one AAC opponent this season: UAB. Considering that and their incredible hot streak, we see them as a big favorite to win this year’s AAC Tournament. 

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Charlotte 49ers (+240) at DraftKings Sportsbook

Charlotte may not have the impressive win streak of marquee wins that South Florida does, but they have been playing as well as anyone. The team has won eleven of their previous 12 games, with the sole loss coming in a heartbreaker to the Bulls. The 49ers will likely have a chance to overtake South Florida for the AAC regular season title when they host them on March 2.

How the 49ers fare against SFU will tell us much about this team. While their winning has been impressive, FAU is the only impressive win on their schedule. They went 6-6 during their non-conference schedule to start the season and have not looked nearly as good when away from home. That has us hesitating about taking them to make a run in the AAC tournament.

Charlotte’s ability to play lockdown defense will be a massive advantage (64.8 PPG) in the conference tournament, but their inability to score (69.8 PPG) will make them vulnerable, especially against FAU. Charlotte deserves credit for a surprising season, but we don’t think they’re good enough to capture an AAC Tournament title. 

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Florida Atlantic Owls (+800) at DraftKings Sportsbook

FAU losing to South Florida changes how we view them in the AAC tournament. We believe this is the most talented team in the conference, but they needed a wake-up call after being surrounded by hype since their Final Four run last year. They have been coming into games flat, as if they are just cruising towards March Madness. The Owls have now lost two of their previous four games and need overtime to beat a bad Witchita State team.

Sunday’s loss to the Bulls will be the spark this team needs. Not only is it their second loss in four games, but it also knocked them out of the AP Top 25 and jeopardized their March Madness hopes. While they have impressive quality wins, finishing outside the top three in the AAC standings and getting knocked out of the conference tournament could be too much to overcome. That is especially true if Charlotte wins the AAC Tournament, as South Florida’s NCAA Tournament resume could earn them an at-large bid.

We will see where bookmakers set the Owls' odds to win the AAC tournament, but we expect them to enter as the favorite. Johnell Davis is one of the most efficient scorers in the conference, and 7’1” Vladislav Goldin has taken a big step forward in his Junior season. That combination of efficient scoring from the outside and a giant down low will be hard to stop, especially in a smaller conference like the AAC. 

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AAC Tournament FAQ

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Michael Savio

352 Articles

Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.

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