NCAA Pac-12 Tournament Predictions, Betting Odds & Favorites to Win 2024

Written by: Michael Savio
Fact-checked by: James Whitelock
Updated March 15, 2024
6 min read
  • Arizona is second in the country in scoring (89.5 PPG)

  • Colorado led the conference in field goal (49.9%) and three-point percentage (40.0%)

  • Washington State lost two of their final four games

After a wild finish to the regular season, the #6 Arizona Wildcats captured the Pac-12 title with a 15-5 conference record. They were able to edge out #22 Washington State by just one game, the only other Pac-12 team with their NCAA Tournament.

Colorado and Oregon are sitting close to the March Madness bubble, meaning they must do well to ensure their spot in the Big Dance. After that, eight teams will require the Pac-12 Tournament’s automatic qualifier to keep playing past this week. That should lead to an exciting tournament in the conference’s final season. 

Below, we will share the latest odds to win the 2024 Pac-12 Tournament, insights into the top three favorites, and our pick to win the tournament.

Pac-12 Tournament Betting Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. Follow our link and get a $150 in Bonus Bets when wagering $5 at DraftKings.

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Pac 12 Predictions

Favorites to Win the 2024 Pac-12 Tournament

Arizona Wildcats (-160 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

The Arizona Wildcats have been one of the best teams in the country all season. They finished their schedule with a loss to USC but have still won ten of their previous 12 games. While their spot is locked into March Madness, they will be looking to make a run at a one-seed with their play in the Pac-12 Tournament.

The Wildcats have dominated the rest of the conference, with one glaring exception: they lost both of their games to the Washington State Cougars. Arizona struggled to get its vaunted offense going, being held under 75 points in both games despite averaging the second-most in the country (89.5 PPG). The fact that the Cougars shut them down both on the road and at home signals that they will be a major roadblock for the Wildcats in the Pac-12 Tournament.

Oregon and Colorado will be dangerous this week as they look to secure March Madness bids, but neither team did well against Arizona this year. The Ducks lost twice to the Wildcats by a combined 29 points, while the Buffs lost twice by a combined 67 points. While Washington State could be a threat in the championship game, Arizona should have no problem cruising there.

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Colorado Buffaloes (+500 at DraftKingsSportsbook)

When we thought Colorado’s season was over, they won their final six games. That run included an impressive road win against Oregon, boosting their tournament resume. While they finished with an impressive 22-9 record, they lack the marquee wins needed to secure an at-large bid for the Pac-12 tournament. 

Colorado’s strength is its balance. It ranks third in the Pac-12 in scoring (80.6 PPG) and opponent scoring (72.1 PPG). They also lead the conference in field goal (49.9%) and three-point percentage (40.0%). Some of that can be attributed to playing in a weak Pac-12 conference, but those numbers make them a dangerous team this week. The combination of efficient scoring and impressive defense is unmatched, which is why DraftKings has them as the second favorite to win the tournament.

We see a path for Colorado to make the championship game, but they aren’t good enough to top Arizona. They lost twice to the Wildcats by a combined 67 points. Both games were blowouts, showing the massive gap between themselves and the regular season champs. The good news is that Colorado is on Washington State’s side of the bracket, which they beat once this season.

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Washington State (+500 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

The Cougars made a strong run at the Pac-12 regular-season title this season but lost two of their last four games. It was a bad time to drop two bad losses, and it has caused bookmakers to doubt their ability to make a run in the Pac-12 Tournament. While they are the only team to beat Arizona twice, their other losses cause us to worry that they can make it to face the Wildcats for a third time in the championship game. 

Washington State’s offense isn’t great, ranking seventh in scoring (74.9 PPG) in the conference. They make up for it with their lock-down defense, allowing the second-fewest points per game (67.3 PPG) in the Pac-12. Their defense led them to shut down a great Arizona offense twice and brought them within a game of a regular season title. 

As impressive as the Cougars have been this season, we don’t see them making it to the Pac-12 Tournament’s final game. They will likely face Cal and Colorado, two teams they lost to during the regular season. According to the latest KenPom rankings, Colorado is twenty-seventh in overall efficiency (+18.18), while Washington State is forty-fifth (+15.95). 

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Who Will Win the Pac-12 Tournament - My Pick

Arizona Wildcats

Arizona is much better than any other team in this conference, and they will be very motivated to win the Pac-12’s final conference tournament. Their offense is suffocating, and they have dominated every team not named Washington State. Given the Cougars' more difficult path to the final game, we think Arizona will cruise to a Pac-12 Tournament title and capture a top seed for the NCAA Tournament.

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Michael Savio

Sports Betting Analyst

Gambling News
Online Sports Betting
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Political Science
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
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