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Arizona is averaging the second-most points in the country (90.1 PPG).
Washington State is second in the Pac-12 in opponent scoring (67.00 PPG).
Oregon is 5-6 over their last 11 games.
Just when we thought this Pac-12 regular season race was over, Washington State has clawed its way back into the picture. They upset the Wildcats in Tucson on Thursday to temporarily take the division lead but lost it after being blown out by ASU in Tempe.
The Cougars' impressive win sets the stage for what should be a thrilling Pac-12 Conference Tournament. While Washington State and Arizona are locked into the NCAA Tournament, the rest of the conference will need to impress in Las Vegas to make the Big Dance. That will lead to high-intensity games as these teams battle to save their season.
Below, we will share the latest odds to win the Pac-12 regular season title, preview the three favorites to win the conference tournament, and our pick for who will come out on top.
The Wildcats lost their first home game of the season last week against Washington State. It was their second loss of the season to the Cougars, which is why we don’t like their chances to capture this year’s Pac-12 Tournament title.
Arizona’s non-conference run was very impressive, with wins against Duke (road), Michigan State (neutral court), Wisconsin (home), and Alabama (neutral court). The Wildcats offense has been their strong suit, averaging the second-most points in the country (90.1 PPG). The problem is that they have been tamed twice by a Cougars team that is great on defense.
The Wildcats will head north to take on the rival Sun Devils in Tempe before hosting a good Oregon team. Three of the team’s final four games will be on the road, meaning we will learn much about this team over the season's final two weeks.
The Cougars are coming off a disappointing loss after getting caught in a trap game against ASU. It was Washington State’s second loss since January 6, following a massive road win against Arizona. While Saturday’s loss may cost them the Pac-12 regular season title, their win over Arizona has us betting on them to win the conference tournament.
The Cougars succeed through their defense, ranking second in the conference in opponent scoring (67.0 PPG). It helped them turn their season around in early January, allowing them to go on a massive run through the Pac-12. The Cougars were able to slow down Arizona’s elite offense, holding them to 70 at home and 77 on the road. That is far below the Wildcats' average (90.1 PPG), showing that Washington State has the recipe for success.
On top of their success on the court, Washington State will be more motivated to make a run in the Pac-12 tournament. They will join Oregon State as the only two schools remaining in the Pac-12 next season. The two schools will have ownership of the conference, but it won’t hold the same sway as it does now. That could crush recruiting, leading them to become mid-majors. That means this may be the team’s last chance to make their mark on a national stage, and they won’t take that lightly.
Washington State has just three games left and will face USC and UCLA this week.
Oregon comes in as a distant third compared to Washington State and Arizona. They started the season 13-3 but have gone 5-6 since then. That includes a rough loss to Cal on Saturday, their second in their last four games. Losses like that have made the Ducks’ place in the NCAA Tournament much less certain.
While Oregon has some talent, their 10-6 conference record has us doubting their chances in the Pac-12 tournament. They have understandable losses to Washington State, Arizona, and Colorado. However, they also have ugly losses to Utah, UCLA, and Cal. That does not give us confidence that they can make a run to the title game, much less win it all.
Oregon will take on Oregon State on Wednesday before heading to Tucson to take on Arizona on Saturday.
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.More info on Michael Savio
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