Woman's NCAA Tournament Odds & Predictions 2025: South Carolina Favored to Repeat

• South Carolina remains the betting favorite; their odds shifted slightly from +160 to +150.

• The top 12 in the AP Rankings are the same in Week 3 as they were for the Week 2 rankings.

• Biggest Mover: Oklahoma went from +25000 to +5000.

We are still very early in the NCAAW season. We have not seen too many competitive games among the nation’s best teams, but we have seen everyone play at least once. Of course, since the vast majority have only played soft opponents, it is difficult to judge how good a team may or may not be this season.

But that does not mean you should wait to bet on a team to win the national championship. The odds for many of the contenders will not be as long as they are once they record a few more wins. On that note, let’s take a look at the latest 2024-25 NCAAW National Championship odds.

NCAAW Tournament Odds

The following table contains a list of the national championship odds for the week 3 top 25 with odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Bettors new to BetMGM can claim the following bonus: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*

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NCAAW Preseason Championship Trends

• 18 of 43 preseason No.1s went on to win the national championship.

• Ten of the last 21 winners were preseason No. 1s.

• But only one in the last seven seasons (South Carolina, 2022).

• Every national champion since 2003 was ranked inside the top 16 of the preseason rankings.

• 19 of the last 21 national champs were ranked inside the preseason top ten.

• The two outliers were LSU in 2023 (preseason No. 16 and Maryland in 2006 (preseason No. 14). 

2025 NCAAW National Championship: Favorites Win to NCAAW Tournament 

If preseason trends continue to run true this season, then we can theoretically narrow down the pool of potential winners quite a bit. Of course, that doesn’t mean you should automatically rule out a team not ranked inside the preseason top 25 (or 16).

But it may be wise to proceed with caution and keep wagers on long shots to a minimum. After all, a $1 bet on Ohio State to win the national championship at +50000 will win you $500. There are certainly worse ways to spend a dollar.

For our purposes, as it pertains to our preseason projections, we’ll be sticking with teams inside the preseason top 25. On that note, let’s take a brief look at some of the top contenders.

South Carolina +150 at BetMGM

• Defending NCAAW National Champions

• 2024-25 Record: 4-0

• AP Rank: No. 1

The win over Michigan in the season opener was probably closer than expected, but otherwise, the Gamecocks are what we thought they were—the most dominant women’s college basketball team in the country. They have already played (and dominated) a top-ten team (then-No. 9 North Carolina State).

Heading into the season, the only roster concern was the lack of a proven, dominant post player. It may be too soon to call her ‘dominant,’ but Chloe Kitts is off to a solid start with a pair of double-doubles. She leads the Gamecocks in scoring (17.3 points per game) and rebounds (10.3 per game).

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UConn +400 at BetMGM

• 2024 Recap: Lost to Iowa in Final Four

• 2024-25 Record: 3-0

• AP Rank: No. 2

UConn has been one of the best teams in the country despite injury issues involving the team’s best players in the last couple of years. We’re only three games in, but so far, so good. Paige Bueckers is living up to the hype; she leads the team in scoring with 21.3 points per game and is shooting 65% from the floor.

Fans have to really be happy because her best game to date was against the best team they’ve played—then-No. 14 North Carolina. She led the way with 29 points in the 69-58 win on Nov. 15.

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USC +500 at BetMGM

• 2024 Recap: Lost to UConn in Elite 8

• 2024-25 Record: 4-0

• AP Rank: No. 3

The Trojans wasted no time making an early statement with a win over a ranked team right out of the gate, 68-66, over then-No. 20 Ole Miss. JuJu Watkins had a double-double with 27 points and 10 rebounds. Watkins has not disappointed, with 21.5 points per game. She also leads the team in assists (4.8), steals (3.8), and blocks (3) per game.

Since their tight game vs. Ole Miss in the opener, they have beaten their opponents by 55, 85, and 31 points.

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Notre Dame +650 at BetMGM

• 2024 Recap: Lost to Oregon State Sweet 16

• 2024-25 Record: 4-0

• AP Rank: No. 6

The Fighting Irish have yet to face anyone that could, well—put up much of a fight with wins by 44, 44, 46, and 36 points. But they will have some real battles on deck with No. 3 USC (Nov. 23), No. 19 TCU (Nov. 29), Utah (Nov. 30), and No. 4 Texas with a date against No. 2 UConn a week later.

We do not know for certain what we have in Notre Dame right now, but we will certainly know in a couple of weeks.

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Texas +750 at BetMGM

• 2024 Recap: Lost to North Carolina State in Elite 8

• 2024-25 Record: 3-0

• AP Rank: No. 4

The Longhorns have started the season off nice and easy with a trio of soft opponents right out of the game: Southeast Missouri, Lamar, and DePaul. None of the games were competitive, of course, as Texas won by 72, 37, and 30 points. 

Taylor Jones leads the team in scoring so far with just 15.3 points per game, but she’s only played 18.7 minutes per game. With such an easy schedule so far, no one is averaging more than 21.5 minutes per game (Laila Phelia).

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My Picks to Win the NCAAW Championship

Favorite - South Carolina

The defending champs are the easiest pick to make, but I can’t see any reason not to. Yes, there are other talented teams, but no one that I’d say holds a candle to the Gamecocks. Their backcourt is tremendous, and they may have found their missing ingredient (a post player) in forward Chloe Kitts.

If you are going to bet on them, now may be the time. They may not have plus-money odds for long.

Dark Horse - Notre Dame

It’s the stats that have me calling the Fighting Irish my dark horse. As a top-ten team, they are supposed to be pretty good. But ‘pretty good’ is not going to beat South Carolina. But if they can post the kind of stats they have so far once they start playing competitive teams, they might be the team.

• Six players are averaging in double-digits

• Hannah Hidalgo is averaging 25 points per game

• Olivia Miles—18.3 ppg and 8 rebounds per game

• Liatu King—17.7 ppg and 9.7 rpg

• Kate Koval—12.8 ppg and 13 rpg.

Stats will be inflated vs. soft teams, but Notre Dame is supposed to be one of the best teams in the nation. Maybe they keep it up…

Long shot - Oklahoma

I’ve got no reason to think that they can compete with the top dogs right now. They’ve beaten up on the three opponents they’ve played, as they should have. But I am intrigued by a team whose national championship odds have gone from +25000 to +5000 after playing three easy opponents.

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NCAAW Championship History

The Women’s NCAA Division I basketball tournament began in 1982, with 32 teams participating. Louisiana Tech won the first title, defeating Cheyney 76-62. Over the years, the number of teams participating has ranged from 32 to 64 (since 1994). As of the 2022 Tournament, the number of teams expanded to 68.

UConn holds the record for most appearances as a No. 1 seed with 22 followed by Tennessee with 21. 

Past NCAAW Championship Winners

The following table contains the list of the teams that have won the women’s national championship and their records.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the NCAAW Championship

Now that we’ve gone over the NCAAW Championship odds and several of the top contenders to win this year’s title, it’s time to figure out which sportsbook you want to use. Here is a quick look at a comparison of three of the top sportsbooks in the industry, but you can check out our sportsbook reviews here: 

How to Read NCAAW Championship Betting Lines

NCAAW Championship odds are considered a futures market with a three-digit number preceded by a plus (+) or minus (-) sign. The number and sign are the odds of the market and tell bettors how much they’ll win. 

For example, if you were to bet on South Carolina’s preseason odds to win the national championship +160, a $100 wager will result in a $260 payday, your stake plus $160 in winnings.

But let’s say you wait until the end of another undefeated regular season, and the Gamecocks odds are -180. That means it will take a $180 wager to win $100. Betting $100 is not mandatory, of course. To see how much you can win when you bet XXX, plug your stake and the odds into our odds calculator.

States With Betting Restrictions on the NCAAW Championship Odds

The following states have restrictions regarding betting on college basketball (and college sports in general). States listed do not allow betting on teams from in-state colleges and universities unless otherwise specified:

• New Jersey

• Illinois

• Tennessee: Live betting is also prohibited.

• Virginia: Live betting is also prohibited.

• New Hampshire

• New York: Betting on events held in New York is also prohibited.

• Oregon: Betting on college teams can only be done at casinos.

• Rhode Island: Betting is also prohibited on events held in-state.

• Washington DC

• Connecticut

• Delaware

• No live betting in Mississippi

• New Mexico

• South Dakota

• Washington