Best NFL Player Prop Bets Week 11

Week 11 of the NFL season is here, and it’s started with a bang: The Tennessee Titans beat the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. 

In that game, though, Packers wide receiver Christian Watson caught two more touchdowns, bringing his total to five or the last five days. 

What other players will have success (or not so much) in Week 11? Let’s take a look. 

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers

Pick: Baker Mayfield Over 0.5 Passing TDs (-130) at DraftKings

The Panthers are on the road against the Ravens, and Mayfield is the starting quarterback. In this one, the Panthers are 13-point dogs, which already puts them in a prime position to potentially score, at the very least, in garbage time.

In his last outing, Mayfield, in relief of P.J. Walker against the Bengals, threw two scores.

The Ravens allow nearly 270 passing yards per game at home and defend the run well. D’Onta Foreman is the Panthers' primary source of production lately. With them projected to trail, Mayfield will need to throw.

Also, remember that Mayfield is familiar with this environment due to his time with the Cleveland Browns. 

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Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders

Pick: Brian Robinson Jr. Any Time TD (+105) at Caesars

The Commanders head out on the road after a win over the Eagles and draw the Texans and their league-worst run defense in terms of yards allowed per game. Over the last three games, the Texans have allowed 216 yards on the ground. 

Robinson had 26 carries against the Eagles for 86 yards and found the endzone, and he’s in a great position to do so again in this one. 

None of the Texans' front seven players is an above-average run defender. 

On top of all this, we’re getting a plus price here—this is an easy bet. 

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New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

Pick: Allen Robinson Over 48.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at DraftKings

The Rams will be without wide receiver Cooper Kupp for at least the next four games as he undergoes ankle surgery.

With that, Robinson should be next in line to be the No. 1 receiving option. 

It’s been an up-and-down year for Robinson in his first year with the Rams and with quarterback Matthew Stafford. Still, he’s averaging six targets per game over his last three outings. 

With John Walford at quarterback last week, Robinson had 44 yards and went for 54 in Week 8. 

With Kupp out, Stafford will need a reliable receiver. Robinson fits that mold far better than Van Jefferson and Ben Skowronek. 

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Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

Pick: Jonathan Taylor Over 85.5 Rushing Yards (-119) at Caesars

We saw it in their game against the Commanders: The way to beat the Eagles is to run the ball and control the time of possession.

Thankfully for the Colts, they have Taylor out of the backfield, who’s been playing great lately, averaging no less than 4.8 yards per carry over his last three games. Against the Raiders, Taylor averaged nearly seven yards per carry.

Now, the Eagles did sign Ndamukong Suh and Linval Joseph as depth to the defensive line, who should be able to step in this week and at least make an impact on first and second down. Still, Taylor should get north of 85.5 based on volume alone. 

Expect more than 20 carries in this one for Taylor and Jeff Saturday Colts. 

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