Best NFL Player Prop Bets Week 17

Week 17 of the NFL season is here, and it’s time to look at the three best player props as we head into the weekend. 

The top headlines include the Denver Broncos firing head coach Nathaniel Hackett and the Las Vegas Raiders benching quarterback Derek Carr who’s seemingly done as a Raider in general. 

With that, let’s dive in. 

Arizona Cardinals vs. Atlanta Falcons

Pick: Coly McCoy Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+160) at DraftKings

Veteran quarterback Colt McCoy is going up against the Atlanta Falcons. He has a great opportunity to have one of his better games over the last few years. 

McCoy has started three games this season, appeared in another, and has just one passing touchdown to his name. In fact, over the last nine seasons, McCoy has more than one touchdown pass in a single season just three times.

Against the Falcons, McCoy draws a pass defense that allows nearly 240 passing yards per game, which is eighth in the league. On top of that, the Falcons allow 1.5 passing touchdowns per game and are at 1.7 over the last three games. 

McCoy is far from a gun-slinger, but this game could turn into a shootout if Falcons quarterback Desmond Ridder can get something going. If that happens, McCoy has superior weapons, headlined by wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins. 

Take the risk here at +160. 

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers

Pick: Sam Darnold Under 0.5 Passing TDs (+159) at Caesars 

Getting a +159 price for Darnold not to throw a touchdown pass is excellent value. 

Darnold has four starts this season, and in each of them, he has exactly one touchdown pass. 

Honestly, albeit in limited action, Darnold hasn’t looked completely invaluable. He’s only completing 61.4% of his passes. Still, he’s coming off a performance against the Detroit Lions where he completed 68.2% of his passes for 250 yards and a touchdown.

On the top against the Buccaneers, Darnold will face a defense allowing passing touchdowns lately. This season, the Buccaneers allow 1.6 passing touchdowns per game. 

However, when it comes to passing yards allowed, they surrender just 195.1, which is fourth-best in the NFL.

The Panthers are on a good run here, but the Panthers' game plan here should be to run the ball with D’Onta Foreman, as the Buccaneers allow over 120 rushing yards per game. 

Keep this ball out of Darnold’s hands, as the Buccaneers are averaging 1.7 takeaways per game over their last three games. 

A stat line of 180-200 yards passing and zero touchdowns seem wholly possible here. 

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Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints

Pick: Miles Sanders Any Time TD (-123) at Caesars 

The -123 price isn’t as bad as you’d think. Heading into this matchup against the Saints, it’s unclear whether quarterback Jalen Hurts will play. He has yet to practice at the time of this writing, so it’s looking like he could see another appearance from Gardner Minshew.

If so, running back Miles Sander is set up to have a big day on the ground against a Saints defense that allows over 130 rushing yards and nearly one rushing score per game. 

Sanders is averaging five yards per carry this season on 236 carries and has 11 touchdowns. He hasn’t scored since he got two in Week 14, but against the Saints at home, with Minshew likely to start, look for Sanders to get plenty of work here. 

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