Buffalo Bills 2019-20 NFL Postseason - Odds and Predictions

Written by: Mike Lukas
Updated October 14, 2022
9 min read

After a 2018 season with far too many quarterback sacks allowed, the Buffalo Bills’ front office has rebuilt their front line, but already that plan has fallen short with the unfortunate news that center Mitch Morse is currently sidelined and in concussion protocol while veteran tackle LaAdrian Waddle’s quad injury will most likely keep him from playing in 2019.

The big goal for the 2019 Bills is to score more points – they were ranked 30th in that category last season – but to get to the postseason their many offseason acquisitions on both sides of the ball need to pay off.

Head coach Sean McDermott hopes to lead his Bills back to the playoffs, where the struggling Buffalo franchise has appeared once in nineteen long seasons, and here we take a look at the odds and predictions that oddsmakers have now released on how likely it is for this supposedly upgraded team to play football this January.

The 2019 Buffalo Bills are:

  • Owners: Terrence and Kim Pegula
  • General Manager: Brandon Beane (Hired May 2017)
  • Head Coach: Sean McDermott (Hired January 2017)
  • Offensive Coordinator: Brian Daboll (Hired January 2018)
  • Defensive Coordinator: Leslie Frazier (Hired January 2017)
  • Quarterback: Josh Allen (2nd season, all with the Bills)
  • Offensive Stars: Running back LeSean McCoy and kick returner, Andre Roberts
  • Defensive Stars: Linebacker Lorenzo Alexander and free safety Jordan Poyer

How did the Buffalo Bills do in 2018?

The 2018 Buffalo Bills’ season was disappointing to the owners, front office, coaches, players and fans alike since the Bills put up a lousy 6-10 record and a 3rd place finish in the AFC East, a bitter pill given their stellar 2017 when the team finally got to the playoffs for the first time in seventeen seasons.

After designated starter, Nathan Peterman posted a 0.0 passer rating, rookie quarterback Josh Allen was thrown into regular-season action as early as September and eventually became responsible for six of the teams’ losses as a starter.

The Bills won four of their final seven games after starting the season with a discouraging 2-7 run and showed promise at random points throughout a season doomed from the get-go after losing many players to trades, roster cuts, and retirement.

What major offseason moves happened in Buffalo?

The Bills signed five offensive linemen through free agency this offseason, and they are center Mitch Morse (KC), right tackle Ty Nsekhe  (WSH), right guard Spencer Long (NYJ), guard/tackle Jon Feliciano (OAK) and tackle LaAdrian Waddle (NE).

General manager Brandon Beane also improved the Bills’ defense by drafting defensive tackle Ed Oliver in the first round, but it’s scoring where the franchise needs the most help, so more targets for Allen have been added, including free-agent receivers John Brown, Cole Beasley and tight end Tyler Kroft.

In addition to receiving targets, running backs Frank Gore and T.J. Yeldon were signed to beef up Buffalo’s ground attack, a smart move given that star back LeSean McCoy just turned thirty-one years old in July.

Read our article on Buffalo Bills Biggest Offseason Moves.

When was the last time the Bills made the playoffs?

In 2017, head coach McDermott’s rookie season, the Bills made the playoffs for the first time since 1999, and just as they did over a decade and a half prior, they lost in the Wild Card Playoff round, this time the Jacksonville Jaguars by a sad score of 3-10.

Anyone who follows the Bills knows that making the postseason is a bit of a franchise sore spot these days, and even more so is the Super Bowl, where Buffalo has appeared four times in a row (1990-93) and lost all four times.

To find a Buffalo Bills championship win, you have to go all the way back to 1964 and 1965, when for two back-to-back seasons Coach of the Year Lou Saban’s boys won AFL Championships, both against the (then) San Diego Chargers.

Why WILL the Bills make it to the postseason in 2019?

Despite the commonly held belief that free agents hate playing in Buffalo, general manager Beane was extremely successful in addressing his team’s biggest needs (protecting the quarterback, scoring more points) by signing some respectable veterans in the offseason.

And second-year quarterback Josh Allen showed much improvement as the 2018 season ended, completing 65.38 percent of his passes in Week 17 during a 42-17 whooping of the Miami Dolphins, so expect him to start out the season way stronger than he did a year ago.

The Bills won’t be better than the New England Patriots, of course, but they can be better than the New York Jets and the Miami Dolphins, so if they somehow manage to post ten wins or more they could earn one of the AFC Wild Card Spots and shock the football world with a postseason visit.

Why WON’T the Bills make it to the postseason in 2019?

As already mentioned above, injuries are making some of the Bills’ offseason moves irrelevant, and if that continues to be true during the regular season, Buffalo could get off to another slow start.

Allen is good under center, but with an all-new line and so many targets who he’s never thrown to before, expect another unavoidable learning curve from this young quarterback, whose main priority this season should be to avoid getting hit and going down.

The AFC is improving nowadays, with the Cleveland Browns and the Indianapolis Colts and the Los Angeles Chargers now firing on all cylinders, so the idea that the Buffalo Bills could compete in that league at this point and somehow backdoor its way to the postseason doesn’t seem very believable.  

What are the current odds and predictions for the Buffalo Bills’ 2019 NFL postseason?

One look at the odds and predictions below and it’s fairly obvious that the oddsmakers do not seem to be huge Buffalo Bills fans.

They are basically predicting a third-place finish for the Bills in the AFC East, and that will not cut it for making the playoffs given the current talent in that conference.

But who knows – Josh Allen may find (and keep) his NFL mojo with this new line and targets and if their offense can become better scorers, their defense, ranked second in the league last year, could rise up again and save the postseason day for this franchise.

If you are in New Jersey you can bet on Buffalo Bills odds for the 2019-2020 NFL season on 888Sport and BetStars NJ. Good luck!

Will the Buffalo Bills make the NFL playoffs in 2019? 

Sportsbook YES NO Link
888Sport NJ +350 -480
BetStars NJ +500 -800

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Analysis: The question here becomes – do you so believe that the 2019 Buffalo Bills will make the playoffs that you would bet $480 dollars to make $100?

Can’t imagine anyone feeling comfortable taking that bet, except maybe Allen’s best friend or lover, so this might not be the best gamble for anyone outside of that particular circle.

Of course, if you have some kind of insane insider information that makes this bet somehow worth it, by all means, crack open that gambling kitty and go to town.  

Odds of the Bills winning the AFC East

Sportsbook Division Winner Link
888Sport NJ +1200
BetStars NJ +1000

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Analysis: Looks like the oddsmakers are predicting the Buffalo Bills as the third-place finishers in the AFC East, but second place is not far behind.

It all depends on how new head coach Adam Gase’s New York Jets step up, and with their second-year quarterback Sam Darnold getting a huge offensive boost with dual-threat Le’ Veon Bell now on the roster, that seems a lot more likely to happen.

The Patriots are a lock for first (unless Old Man Brady suddenly implodes and ends his GOAT reign) and the Miami Dolphins appear to be basement dwellers hoping for better times ahead, so it will take an impressive double-digit win total for the Bills to truly compete for the AFC East title this season.

Odds of the Bills earning an AFC Wild Card

Sportsbook Wild Card Link
888Sport NJ +700

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Analysis: It’s important to note here that ten other AFC teams have better odds than the Bills to earn a Wild Card Spot this offseason, so it might not be the best bet you can lay money on.

Even if the Bills post an unbelievable ten wins – which is highly unlikely given their competition – another team (like the Chargers or the Colts or maybe even the Browns) will most likely win eleven games because that’s what it takes these days to earn an AFC Wild Card spot.

McDermott has done it before, though, and he’s been given a lot more talent to work within 2019, so at the very least keep your eye on this team to make a surprising splash in their conference this year.

Odds of the Bills winning the AFC Championship

Sportsbook AFC Championship Link
888Sport NJ +4000
BetStars NJ +5000

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Analysis: Twelve other AFC teams have a better chance to win this bet, sure, but who knows, Allen may very well click perfectly with new receivers John Brown and Cole Beasley and start throwing for more sixes than he did during his rookie campaign (10 touchdown passes).

Their defense was already stellar, but now add Ed Oliver in there and they may have just become more dominant, which means even more time for the offense to score.

Without scoring, though, the Bills (and all teams) are doomed to finish way less than in first and will fall short of the playoffs every time.

Odds of the Bills winning Super Bowl LIV

Sportsbook NFL Championship Winner Link
888Sport NJ +8000
BetStars NJ +10000

* 21+ | NJ only | If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER

Analysis: If you have money that you seriously want to lose, this is the bet to blow it all on, because twenty-six other NFL teams have a better chance of beating these odds.

Then, add to that the fact that every time the Bills have made it to the Super Bowl (four times, see above), they have fallen short and gone home the losers, so that makes this bet an even higher risk overall.

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Mike Lukas

Sports Betting & Gambling Industry Analyst

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Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager.
Nationality: American
Education: N/A
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: Caesars Palace Casino
23 years
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